Assuming CET for January is adjusted to 5.5C,and with 6.0 for December, I calculate that to get whole winter down to below average ie 4.4C requires Feb  to come in at 1.6C or below

Well, I said I'd be relying on February being very cold indeed, and with a milder Jannuary than I envisioned, I sure do need something quite extraordinary!

In fact, if the CET does end up at 5.5C for January then I'm looking for a Feb CET of -3.4C by my calculations

Well, I said I'd be relying on February being very cold indeed, and with a milder Jannuary than I envisioned, I sure do need something quite extraordinary!

In fact, if the CET does end up at 5.5C for January then I'm looking for a Feb CET of -3.4C by my calculations

If your out, then I'm definately long gone, i can just about envisage a new record breakingly cold Feb, but not by that margin.

Two months in and we are just about 1C above average.

A February CET of 2.1C would bring us in bang on average for this winter. Anything less than that would mean a fourth consecutive below average winter which would be quite impressive, especially given the very warm first half of the winter.

Two months in and we are just about 1C above average.

A February CET of 2.1C would bring us in bang on average for this winter. Anything less than that would mean a fourth consecutive below average winter which would be quite impressive, especially given the very warm first half of the winter.

With feb 1-13th at 0.2C calculate that winter CET cumulative fell to 4.0.With a forecast average of 5.6 for rest of month final winter figure would be around 5.0c

Yes I agree Roger. Taking my CET figures for February rather than the laughable data Hadley has put out so far I currently estimate the winter CET will come in at 4.98C. So something very close to 5C looks about right.

It looks like the winners here will either be Trickster and speckledjim or sydneyontees

Latest estimate is a final winter CET of 5.15C

Using Hadley final winter  CET figure is 5.1C .This means there are two winners-Trickster and SpeckledJim both exactly on 5.1 C.Congratulations!

Yes sorry not got round to posting the final chart.

Winter CET finished at 5.13C