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July UK temperature analysis and discussion - Particular emphasis on the Central England Temperature series
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Online Gavin D  
#141 Posted : 28 July 2022 13:03:19(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 30,113
Man
United Kingdom

Hadley

18.1c to the 27th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average
1.5c above the 81 to 10 average
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Offline TimS  
#142 Posted : 28 July 2022 13:20:28(UTC)
TimS

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 13/04/2010(UTC)
Posts: 10,968
Location: Brockley

Originally Posted by: Gavin D Go to Quoted Post

Hadley

18.1c to the 27th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average
1.5c above the 81 to 10 average

Come on CET, you can do it. Keep above 18C.

Need that to keep the dreams of equalling 1995 alive.

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
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Online Gavin D  
#143 Posted : 29 July 2022 12:05:55(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
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Hadley

18.1c to the 28th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average
1.5c above the 81 to 10 average
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Offline Col  
#144 Posted : 29 July 2022 14:09:23(UTC)
Col

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 1,709
Location: Bolton 160m asl

Originally Posted by: Gavin D Go to Quoted Post

Hadley

18.1c to the 28th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average
1.5c above the 81 to 10 average

It should surely stay above 18C now. I went for 18.52C and it's unlikely to rise that far. The warm/hot weather is mainly towards the SE and it will need more than that to push it up to that level. However I'm thinking it could edge up to 18.3C or so.

Edited by user 29 July 2022 15:44:11(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/c...UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
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Online Gavin D  
#145 Posted : 30 July 2022 12:49:05(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 30,113
Man
United Kingdom

Hadley

18.1c to the 29th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average
1.4c above the 81 to 10 average
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Online Gavin D  
#146 Posted : 31 July 2022 13:14:54(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 30,113
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Hadley

18.1c to the 30th

2.1c above the 61 to 90 average

1.4c above the 81 to 10 average
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Offline Stormchaser  
#147 Posted : 31 July 2022 20:38:14(UTC)
Stormchaser

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Joined: 24/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 12,076
Man
Location: West Hants

Looks like my total error for the past 3 months will be about 0.3°C, pretty uncanny ... too bad (for me) the preceding tri-month total was 2.8°C .

Summer's been kind to me so far but I daren't assume August will play ball. The weather has a thing for pulling rugs out from underneath feet!

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :)

Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports

2021's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)

Keep Calm and Forecast On
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Online lanky  
#148 Posted : 01 August 2022 13:44:37(UTC)
lanky

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Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
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Man

The July 2022 CET is out at 18.2C (+2.2 anom)

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2022.txt

for the benefit of the league table I get 18.17 as the actual figure to 2 cecimals

Martin

Richmond, Surrey
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Online Caz  
#149 Posted : 01 August 2022 18:32:14(UTC)
Caz

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Posts: 23,903
Woman
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Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: lanky Go to Quoted Post

The July 2022 CET is out at 18.2C (+2.2 anom)

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2022.txt

for the benefit of the league table I get 18.17 as the actual figure to 2 cecimals

Oooh!  I went for 18.2c. 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

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Offline Frank H  
#150 Posted : 01 August 2022 18:48:56(UTC)
Frank H

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/01/2014(UTC)
Posts: 260
Location: Wrightington, Wigan

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

Oooh!  I went for 18.2c. 

Good effort Caz, it couldn't be closer.

No doubt you'll be moving up the table which I'll post later
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Online Caz  
#151 Posted : 01 August 2022 18:53:27(UTC)
Caz

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Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,903
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Frank H Go to Quoted Post

 

Good effort Caz, it couldn't be closer.

No doubt you'll be moving up the table which I'll post later

It’s about time I moved up!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

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Offline Frank H  
#152 Posted : 01 August 2022 19:23:17(UTC)
Frank H

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/01/2014(UTC)
Posts: 260
Location: Wrightington, Wigan

 

Table to July:

jmm20052.49
ap snowman2.85
col2.90
hippydave3.44
stomchaser3.46
gusty3.50
saint snow3.50
scillydave3.60
gezm3.64
sswd3.84
frank h3.84
splinter3.86
taylor17404.12
rickm4.21
dingle rob4.44
redmoons4.71
caz4.80
whether idle4.82
snowshoe4.99
lanky5.24
the professional5.25
hungry tiger5.26
moomin755.46
sussex snow magnet5.64
surreyjohn5.72
artzeman6.20
duncan mcallister6.44
darren s6.64
kendalian7.31
windywillow7.35
springsun7.62
bolty7.85
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Offline Hungry Tiger  
#153 Posted : 02 August 2022 09:33:29(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,811
Location: South Cambridgeshire

18.2C imo is in the hot cetogory. Surprised in some ways it wasn't higher.

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

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Online GezM  
#154 Posted : 03 August 2022 08:43:44(UTC)
GezM

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Posts: 1,380
Man
United Kingdom
Location: St Albans

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

It’s about time I moved up!  

Well done Caz 

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
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Online GezM  
#155 Posted : 03 August 2022 08:44:46(UTC)
GezM

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,380
Man
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Location: St Albans

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

18.2C imo is in the hot cetogory. Surprised in some ways it wasn't higher.

 

Probably the Stonyhurst factor

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
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Online lanky  
#156 Posted : 03 August 2022 18:43:55(UTC)
lanky

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Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 5,117
Man

Originally Posted by: GezM Go to Quoted Post

 

Well done Caz 

Oooh I think we need to get the rule book out for this one

to 1 dec place Caz gets it spot on with 18.2

to 2 dec places Frank H gets it with 18.15 when it was 18.17

referee !!

Martin

Richmond, Surrey
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Offline Frank H  
#157 Posted : 03 August 2022 20:36:21(UTC)
Frank H

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/01/2014(UTC)
Posts: 260
Location: Wrightington, Wigan

Originally Posted by: lanky Go to Quoted Post

 

Oooh I think we need to get the rule book out for this one

to 1 dec place Caz gets it spot on with 18.2

to 2 dec places Frank H gets it with 18.15 when it was 18.17

referee !!

There isn't a rule on this as the met office changed their presentation to one decimal place part way through the year.

As i'm involved I deliberately didn't comment on the monthly winner other than offering ambiguous praise to Caz.

With this being GW's competition, its probably best to leave things as they are for the remainder of the year. That is to continue using 2 decimal places for predictions/results.

After that a decision can be taken, hopefully by GW.
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