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Online Hungry Tiger  
#41 Posted : 05 December 2021 11:24:39(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,674
Location: South Cambridgeshire

I'm happy with what I've gone for this month. 4.75C

I think we'll have to wait til January for any dramatic cold.

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline ARTzeman  
#42 Posted : 06 December 2021 12:06:17(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,986
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       5.3c      Anomaly      0.0c provisional to 3rd

Metcheck                   4.22c     Anomaly       -0.77c

Netweather                5.01c     Anomaly       -0.1c

Peasedown St John    4.77c    Anomaly     -0.13c.   

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline ARTzeman  
#43 Posted : 07 December 2021 11:39:58(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,986
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       5.0c      Anomaly      -0.2c provisional to 6th

Metcheck                    4.03c    Anomaly      -0.96c

Netweather                 4.81c    Anomaly      -0.29c

Peasedown St John   4.92c    Anomaly     0.02c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Grandad  
#44 Posted : 08 December 2021 12:27:28(UTC)
Grandad

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 30/10/2014(UTC)
Posts: 2,160
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Central Solihull

Hey Guys...

How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?

Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?

You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.

Grandad

Online Hungry Tiger  
#45 Posted : 08 December 2021 14:49:49(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,674
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Grandad Go to Quoted Post
Hey Guys...
How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?
Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?
You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.
Grandad

Probably the best way to do this is to PM GW. He runs the competition and is pretty good.

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline ARTzeman  
#46 Posted : 08 December 2021 15:06:08(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,986
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       4.9c     Anomaly       -0.2c provisional to 7th

Metcheck                    4.18c   Anomaly       -0.82c

Netweather                 4.82c   Anomaly       -0.29c

Peasedown St  John    5.4c    Anomaly      0.5c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Saint Snow  
#47 Posted : 08 December 2021 15:50:41(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 54,381
Man
Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: Grandad Go to Quoted Post
Hey Guys...
How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?
Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?
You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.
Grandad

 

 

Each month GW will post both a table of the entries for the current month (in that month's thread), and the amended league table for the previous month (in that previous month's thread).

Depending on how busy he is, that could be a few days after, or over a week. 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline GezM  
#48 Posted : 08 December 2021 16:12:06(UTC)
GezM

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,291
Man
United Kingdom
Location: St Albans

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

Met Office Hadley       4.9c     Anomaly       -0.2c provisional to 7th

Metcheck                    4.18c   Anomaly       -0.82c

Netweather                 4.82c   Anomaly       -0.29c

Peasedown St  John    5.4c    Anomaly      0.5c. 

I must admit this is much higher than I expected for the first week. I was banking on something closer to 3.5C and then rising after that. Doesn't bode well for my slightly below average prediction unless we get that high pressure to sit on us for a couple of weeks!

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Offline Whether Idle  
#49 Posted : 08 December 2021 19:17:27(UTC)
Whether Idle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 03/09/2006(UTC)
Posts: 9,187
Man
Location: Dover

I've won more "months" this year than when I topped the competition in 2016, but decided my strategy of going either high or low had back fired at least as often as it had been successful, so I went around average for December, having given up any hope of winning the competition in October.   Well done to the November winners and good luck to all those in the hunt.  I await the list of predictions with interest.

The CET for the months of this year have been notoriously difficult to predict and some of the stratagems deployed in the past by some of the more seasoned competitors have not been effective.  I am convinced that as the weather gyrates in ever more extreme episodes in response to the background warming, that more extreme months will become even more frequent, making an already fiendishly difficult competition even more challenging.  

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Offline ARTzeman  
#50 Posted : 09 December 2021 12:13:10(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,986
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        5.0c      Anomaly      -0.0c provisional to 8th

Metcheck                     4.30c    Anomaly       -0.70c

Netweather                  4.97c    Anomaly       -0.14c

Peasedown St John      5.04c    Anomaly     0.14c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Saint Snow  
#51 Posted : 10 December 2021 09:35:09(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 54,381
Man
Location: St Helens

I'm not giving this up, yet! 

Going off current output, it could be close - all depends on the exact conditions the UK high delivers, and how long it can stick around.

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline ARTzeman  
#52 Posted : 10 December 2021 11:18:06(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,986
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley      5.1c      Anomaly     0.1c provisional to 9th

Metcheck                   4.41c     Anomaly     -0.58c

Netweather                5.09c     Anomaly     -0.02c

Peasedown St John   5.17c     Anomaly     0.27c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Online Caz  
#53 Posted : 11 December 2021 08:10:25(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,643
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow Go to Quoted Post

I'm not giving this up, yet! 

Going off current output, it could be close - all depends on the exact conditions the UK high delivers, and how long it can stick around.

I think you’ll be OK. I’ve gone a degree higher at 5.5c. Too high but I’m well out of the running anyway. 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline springsunshine  
#54 Posted : 11 December 2021 09:03:26(UTC)
springsunshine

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/11/2011(UTC)
Posts: 1,801
Location: Bournemouth

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

I think you’ll be OK. I’ve gone a degree higher at 5.5c. Too high but I’m well out of the running anyway. 

I think you`ll have a good month Caz.The cet could be as high as 7c this time next week and anything is possible after that.Everyone is assuming this high pressure is going north  but it could also return south and keep the mild flow going. I went for 5.8c so am in the same boat

Offline ARTzeman  
#55 Posted : 11 December 2021 10:49:23(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,986
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       5.2c      Anomaly       0.2c provisional to 10th

Metcheck                    4.32c    Anomaly       -0.67c

Netweather                 5.08c    Anomaly       -0.03c

Peasedown St John     5.22c    Anomaly      0.32c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline GezM  
#56 Posted : 11 December 2021 11:38:01(UTC)
GezM

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,291
Man
United Kingdom
Location: St Albans

Originally Posted by: springsunshine Go to Quoted Post

 

I think you`ll have a good month Caz.The cet could be as high as 7c this time next week and anything is possible after that.Everyone is assuming this high pressure is going north  but it could also return south and keep the mild flow going. I went for 5.8c so am in the same boat

I agree. I think a mild month overall is the most likely outcome. Based on current  model output I think it's going to need a very cold last 10 days to get the CET back down to 4.5C or below. 

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Offline Stormchaser  
#57 Posted : 11 December 2021 19:57:47(UTC)
Stormchaser

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 24/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 12,066
Man
Location: West Hants

Originally Posted by: GezM Go to Quoted Post

I agree. I think a mild month overall is the most likely outcome. Based on current  model output I think it's going to need a very cold last 10 days to get the CET back down to 4.5C or below. 

I'm afraid I must contradict you there, for while the 850 temperatures look to stay high for some time, by Friday, models agree on a drier continental flow establishing, allowing surface temps to drop away. An inversion may set up over the CET zone, if winds are light enough. Even without one, I can see overnight lows being at least a little below what GFS currently predicts for 17th onward.

https://twitter.com/peacockreports/status/1469757482658631680

 

As things stand, it looks most likely to be another 'neutralisation' like we saw in November, though there are events afoot in the tropics which could facilitate a cold final week to the month via a -NAO pattern and push the CET below average.

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :)

Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports

2021's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)

Keep Calm and Forecast On

Offline ARTzeman  
#58 Posted : 12 December 2021 11:17:30(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,986
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        5.3c        Anomaly       0.3c provisional to 11th

Metcheck                     4.72c      Anomaly       -0.28c

Netweather                  5.17c      Anomaly       0.08c

Peasedown  St John     5.8c     Anomaly    0.94c.

 

Roll on the 17th. Cooler then.... 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Online Caz  
#59 Posted : 12 December 2021 20:19:03(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,643
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: springsunshine Go to Quoted Post

 

I think you`ll have a good month Caz.The cet could be as high as 7c this time next week and anything is possible after that.Everyone is assuming this high pressure is going north  but it could also return south and keep the mild flow going. I went for 5.8c so am in the same boat

If I have a good month, it’ll be a total fluke!  I’ve been rubbish this year!   

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline western100  
#60 Posted : 12 December 2021 21:26:17(UTC)
western100

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/10/2010(UTC)
Posts: 494
Location: Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

After a relatively cool / cold start to December, IMBY comfortably under 5 at 4.1 average

It’s going to take a hammering upwards over this week with DD temps widely and high night maxes

Still think something around 5-6 is possible based on the output for some cold inversion possible next week.

Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

100m ASL

Twitter…..@Weather4u2

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