I'm happy with what I've gone for this month. 4.75C

I think we'll have to wait til January for any dramatic cold.

Met Office Hadley       5.0c      Anomaly      -0.2c provisional to 6th

Metcheck                    4.03c    Anomaly      -0.96c

Netweather                 4.81c    Anomaly      -0.29c

Peasedown St John   4.92c    Anomaly     0.02c.

Originally Posted by: Grandad

Hey Guys...
How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?
Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?
You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.
Grandad

Probably the best way to do this is to PM GW. He runs the competition and is pretty good.

Originally Posted by: Grandad

Hey Guys...
How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?
Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?
You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.
Grandad

Each month GW will post both a table of the entries for the current month (in that month's thread), and the amended league table for the previous month (in that previous month's thread).

Depending on how busy he is, that could be a few days after, or over a week. 

I've won more "months" this year than when I topped the competition in 2016, but decided my strategy of going either high or low had back fired at least as often as it had been successful, so I went around average for December, having given up any hope of winning the competition in October.   Well done to the November winners and good luck to all those in the hunt.  I await the list of predictions with interest.

The CET for the months of this year have been notoriously difficult to predict and some of the stratagems deployed in the past by some of the more seasoned competitors have not been effective.  I am convinced that as the weather gyrates in ever more extreme episodes in response to the background warming, that more extreme months will become even more frequent, making an already fiendishly difficult competition even more challenging.  

I'm not giving this up, yet! 

Going off current output, it could be close - all depends on the exact conditions the UK high delivers, and how long it can stick around.

Met Office Hadley       5.2c      Anomaly       0.2c provisional to 10th

Metcheck                    4.32c    Anomaly       -0.67c

Netweather                 5.08c    Anomaly       -0.03c

Peasedown St John     5.22c    Anomaly      0.32c.

Originally Posted by: GezM

I agree. I think a mild month overall is the most likely outcome. Based on current  model output I think it's going to need a very cold last 10 days to get the CET back down to 4.5C or below. 

I'm afraid I must contradict you there, for while the 850 temperatures look to stay high for some time, by Friday, models agree on a drier continental flow establishing, allowing surface temps to drop away. An inversion may set up over the CET zone, if winds are light enough. Even without one, I can see overnight lows being at least a little below what GFS currently predicts for 17th onward.

https://twitter.com/peacockreports/status/1469757482658631680

As things stand, it looks most likely to be another 'neutralisation' like we saw in November, though there are events afoot in the tropics which could facilitate a cold final week to the month via a -NAO pattern and push the CET below average.