Onwards.

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2020-12-31&id=2132f3e3-d96c-470c-93cc-44edfbf2b95a

 

From the previous thread 

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Meanwhile - Milan woke up to 12" of snow this morning!

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BBC video forecasts showing a period of snow north of M4 for Wed, caveat it's likely to be another nowcast closer to the time.

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METO just updated the first half of longer term forecast- now mentioning very cold

Saturday 2 Jan - Monday 11 Jan

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2020-12-31&id=2132f3e3-d96c-470c-93cc-44edfbf2b95a

 

From the previous thread 

Sorry not cancelled , it was yesterdays warning that was cancelled

Good 13:30 forecast from Matt Taylor IMBYism 

Snow in from the West on Wednesday and then from the North on Thursday 

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METO just updated the first half of longer term forecast- now mentioning very cold

Saturday 2 Jan - Monday 11 Jan

Mixed conditions are likely during the beginning of this period. It will be dry at times, more so in the west, with intervals of rain, sleet and snow more likely affecting northern and eastern coastal areas. Significant accumulations of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow falling down to lower-level areas inland. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or even very cold, bringing a risk of frost, ice, and freezing fog.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Mon 28 Dec 2020

Martin

That's a good change 

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Saturday 2 Jan - Monday 11 Jan

Mixed conditions are likely during the beginning of this period. It will be dry at times, more so in the west, with intervals of rain, sleet and snow more likely affecting northern and eastern coastal areas. Significant accumulations of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow falling down to lower-level areas inland. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or even very cold, bringing a risk of frost, ice, and freezing fog

Monday 11 Jan - Monday 25 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of January, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder wetter and windier spells, but less frequently than usual.

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Saturday 2 Jan - Monday 11 Jan

Mixed conditions are likely during the beginning of this period. It will be dry at times, more so in the west, with intervals of rain, sleet and snow more likely affecting northern and eastern coastal areas. Significant accumulations of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow falling down to lower-level areas inland. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or even very cold, bringing a risk of frost, ice, and freezing fog

Monday 11 Jan - Monday 25 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of January, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder wetter and windier spells, but less frequently than usual.

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

The extended hasn't been updated has it? The latest ECM should feed in I would have thought.

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The extended hasn't been updated has it? The latest ECM should feed in I would have thought.

 

Extended has updated yesterday it was 10th to 24th

Extended has updated yesterday it was 10th to 24th

Fair enough. I've given up trying to second guess these. 

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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-55465164 
Is up to 3” the new heavy?

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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-55465164
Is up to 3” the new heavy?

”Heavy” refers to the rate of fall, not the amount. Three inches in a short space of time would be heavy, yes. 

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METO just updated the first half of longer term forecast- now mentioning very cold

Saturday 2 Jan - Monday 11 Jan

Mixed conditions are likely during the beginning of this period. It will be dry at times, more so in the west, with intervals of rain, sleet and snow more likely affecting northern and eastern coastal areas. Significant accumulations of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow falling down to lower-level areas inland. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or even very cold, bringing a risk of frost, ice, and freezing fog.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Mon 28 Dec 2020

Martin

So not 'rather cold?' then 

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New dictionary definition for "heavy" needed arising from media reports:

Heavy snow in Midlands leads to travel warnings and road disruption

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-55465164

Edit: In my yoof I would have called the snow in the pictures in that report a "dusting"

 

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But children today don't know what snow is, so ascribing any measure of severity will bewilder them totally

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New dictionary definition for "heavy" needed arising from media reports:

Heavy snow in Midlands leads to travel warnings and road disruption

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-55465164

Edit: In my yoof I would have called the snow in the pictures in that report a "dusting"

 

Wewill have to get used to this. The media has been lying about politics for four years why should it change for the weather. The media, facts and the truth don't exist any more.

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The met office have issued a level 3 alert for severe cold weather in northern England

Current alert level: Level 3 - Cold Weather Action

Issued at: 09:01 on Tue 29 Dec 2020

There is a 90% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions/heavy snow between 0900 on Tuesday 29 Dec and 0900 on Friday 01 Jan in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.

The current spell of colder weather is expected to continue through the remainder of this week, due to cold northerly air affecting the country. Temperatures are expected to fall be at persistently low single figures, particularly across the northern England, with an increased risk of meeting alert criteria. All areas are likely to see cold, overnight conditions, with a risk of icy patches and overnight frosts. Temperatures in some areas will then remain in low single figures during the daytime. Showers will be mainly restricted to coastal areas, but where these move inland, they may turn wintry, with low temperatures resulting in a chance of snow to low levels at times, especially across the north. An area of rain, which could turn to sleet or snow at times, is forecast to affect southern regions and maybe southern central areas from Wednesday afternoon and perhaps into Thursday. Although there is low confidence in the exact track and northerly extent of the rain, sleet and snow, there is a risk that it could produce snow accumulations to low levels across parts of southern and southeastern England. A widespread ice risk is then forecast following the clearance of the rain. The trend in temperatures and wintry conditions will be monitored, with a likelihood that the warning will be extended through into next week.

An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/?tab=coldWeatherAlert&season=normal#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

 

Sunday 3 Jan - Tuesday 12 Jan

Likely remaining cold throughout this period with the risk of wintry hazards. It will be dry at times, with the driest and clearest conditions likely in the west and northwest, and showers likely further east. These showers often wintry with hill snow but with a chance of snow falling to lower-levels at times. There is potential for spells of more organised precipitation, accompanied by stronger winds to move north from the continent into southern and central areas. Additionally, there is also the potential for precipitation to move into northern areas if high pressure declines. Both scenarios could bring an associated snow risk particularly over hills. Temperatures are likely to be below average bringing the risk of frost and freezing fog along with very cold overnight temperatures over any snow cover.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Dec 2020

Tuesday 12 Jan -Tuesday 26 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are likely to continue into this period, with associated wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be drier and more settled in the north and possibly extending into western areas. Exceptionally cold conditions are not expected however some severe overnight frosts are likely over any snow cover. Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards would persist nationwide.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Dec 2020