Wednesday 26 May - Friday 4 Jun

High pressure will slowly become the overarching pattern across the UK during the period as it moves in from the west. This will bring mostly settled conditions across the country, but with some moderate showers at first in the east likely. There remains a risk of some rain or showers at times throughout, most likely affecting areas in the far south or the far north if so. The overall temperatures are likely to be close to or below the average for this time of year, with some warmer days balanced out by colder nights. Becoming more uncertain later in the period, but the most likely scenario is for largely dry weather to continue across much of the UK, particularly in southern and eastern parts of the country.

Friday 4 Jun - Friday 18 Jun

Confidence is low for this period, but it is most likely that dry weather will continue across the UK, especially in southern and eastern areas. There is still a possibility of more unsettled weather making its way into the country, bringing rain and strong winds. If this occurs then it is most likely to affect areas in the north and northwest. Temperatures are likely to return to near average overall, with warm days but cooler nights.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Thursday 27 May - Saturday 5 Jun

High pressure will slowly become the overarching pattern across the UK during this period, as it gradually builds in from the west. This will bring mostly settled conditions across the country, but with the chance of showers in the east at first. There however remains the risk of some brief interludes of rain or showers at times, most likely affecting areas in the far south or the far north. Temperatures overall are likely to be close to or below the average for this time of year, with some warmer days balanced out by colder nights. Becoming more uncertain later in the period, but the most likely scenario is for largely dry weather to continue across much of the UK, particularly in southern and eastern parts of the country.

Saturday 5 Jun - Saturday 19 Jun

Confidence is low for this period, but it is most likely that dry weather will continue across the UK, especially in southern and eastern areas. There is still a possibility of more unsettled weather making its way into the country, bringing rain and strong winds. If this occurs then it is most likely to affect areas in the north and northwest. Temperatures are likely to return to near average overall, with warm days but cooler nights.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Often unsettled and cooler than normal.

_________________________________

Saturday 22 May – Sunday 30 May

Winds calming down but staying cool, unsettled.

After an unseasonable stormy weekend in late May, next week is looking a bit more settled in terms of the wind speeds. High pressure is likely to build to the west of the UK through the week, pushing the Atlantic lows from the weekend into Scandinavia. A cool northerly wind will develop in their wake, and this will keep things feeling below average to continue the trend of a cool May. Scattered showers, sometimes thundery, are likely for northern and eastern areas. It's looking drier and sunnier for the bank holiday weekend, but still feeling cooler than normal.

Monday 31 May – Sunday 6 June

A growing chance of scattered afternoon showers.

High pressure over the bank holiday weekend will gradually begin to slide away to the southwest in early June. However, this might take a good part of the week, so a lot of drier and sunnier weather is expected to start. Low pressure from Scandinavia will eventually find its way to the UK from the east, turning things increasingly more unsettled. First in eastern areas, but eventually for most of the country. The rain will most often take the form of scattered afternoon heavy or thundery showers, rather than stormier weather with bands of rain.

With low pressure east of us and high pressure to the southwest, the large scale weather pattern helps promote northerly or north-westerly winds through the week. This will keep the temperatures below average, bringing in air from Iceland and the North Atlantic. Our best bet to get warmer, more summerlike temperatures will be if we can tap into sub-tropical Atlantic or African air, and to do that we need a south-westerly or southerly wind. The main alternate scenario for early June is that high pressure remains overhead instead of shifting away. This is still a cool pattern, but it would remain dry and settled throughout the week instead of turning showery. There is a chance sub-tropical air may filter into western areas, but this is thought to be unlikely. We have high confidence on the temperatures staying below normal, but medium confidence on showery weather later in the week as there is perhaps a 30% chance that high pressure remains in place.

Monday 7 June – Sunday 20 June

Staying cool with a changeable weather pattern.

Through the middle part of June, we expect a rather changeable pattern to emerge across the Atlantic Ocean and Europe. Changeable in the rainfall patterns around highs and lows, but much more consistent in terms of the temperatures. The general pattern of low pressure to our east and high pressure to our west or southwest is expected to remain. This will continue to promote northerly winds and below average temperatures throughout the month. The changeability comes from the high and low pressure systems jostling for control over the UK. There are no clear signals for either to be dominant for the entire month.

Instead, we expect broad low pressure from Scandinavia to bring unsettled, cool weather that will occasionally be broken up by high pressure building in from the southwest. When low pressure is in control, there will be a greater chance for some unseasonably windy days from Atlantic weather fronts. There will also be plenty of sunshine and shower days as well. When high pressure is overhead, it will be more settled, sunnier, and dry, but still feeling a little cool for June. Timing out when we might see high pressure is difficult, and the computer models are having a very challenging time with this. We have high confidence that temperatures will remain below average despite the shifting pressure systems.

The risk scenario is that high pressure remains firmly in charge throughout the month, keeping it dry and sunny. This also brings with it a growing, lesser risk of warmth later in the month. If high pressure shifts into Germany, we may be able to get southerly winds to tap into the hot African air. We expect a 30% chance of the drier, high pressure pattern, and only a 10% chance of the very warm southerly winds.

Further ahead

Although summer weather still eludes us, we will look more in depth at June and try and pin down our chances for some drier, sunnier conditions.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Friday 28 May - Sunday 6 Jun

High pressure will be the largely dominant feature across the UK during this period, as it gradually builds in from the west. This will bring mainly fine and settled conditions across the UK, with temperatures recovering and feeling locally warm in southern and central areas. There however remains the possibility of cloudier weather and some rain at times towards the west and northwest of the UK. Mostly dry conditions are likely to continue through this period especially towards the south and east but there remains the risk of some brief interludes of rain or showers, most likely affecting areas in the northwest and far south. Temperatures overall are likely to be close to average for the time of year, with some warmer days balanced out by colder nights.

Sunday 6 Jun - Sunday 20 Jun

Confidence is low for this period, but it is most likely that largely dry weather will continue across much of the UK, especially towards the south and east. Some spells of more unsettled weather bringing rain and strong winds remains a possibility which would be most likely towards the north and northwest. Temperatures are likely to be near average overall, with warm days but still some chilly nights.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Sunday 30 May - Tuesday 8 Jun

High pressure will initially be dominant over the UK, with many areas experiencing warm, dry and sunny weather on Sunday and Monday, however, outbreaks of rain are signalled to gradually move in from the northwest on Monday, marking a change to more unsettled conditions. Showers are likely to be widespread through the middle part of next week, many of which could be heavy and there is a risk of thunderstorms, more so in central and southeastern areas. Prolonged spells of rain are possible at times too. There will be some drier and brighter intervals but in general temperatures will be slightly below average during this unsettled period. By the end of the period, more settled conditions are expected to return and temperatures should recover to back average.

Tuesday 8 Jun - Tuesday 22 Jun

Confidence is low for this period, but it is most likely that drier and more settled conditions looks most probable across much of the UK. Whilst a good deal of fine and dry weather is possible across central and southern areas, rain is also likely at times. The north and northwest of the UK may well be more unsettled, with more frequent spells of rain and shorter-lived spells of dry conditions than elsewhere. On the whole, temperatures are likely to be around average, with warm days but still the odd chilly night, and southern areas may occasionally receive spells of warmer than average weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Monday 31 May - Wednesday 9 Jun

Warm, settled conditions are likely to persist across many areas during early next week. There is the potential for outbreaks of rain to arrive across parts of the northwest on Monday but it is then very uncertain how far south and east more unsettled conditions develop during next week. Whilst there is still likely to be a good deal of dry weather, showers, which could be heavy, become more likely across the south and west during the latter part of next week. Temperatures most likely remaining around or above average. By the end of the period, a northwest-southeast split in conditions becomes more probable; more unsettled and cooler in the northwest, drier and warmer in the southeast.

Tuesday 8 Jun - Tuesday 22 Jun

Confidence is low for this period, but it is most likely that drier and more settled conditions looks most probable across much of the UK. Whilst a good deal of fine and dry weather is possible across central and southern areas, rain is also likely at times. The north and northwest of the UK may well be more unsettled, with more frequent spells of rain and shorter-lived spells of dry conditions than elsewhere. On the whole, temperatures are likely to be around average, with warm days but still the odd chilly night, and southern areas may occasionally receive spells of warmer than average weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Tuesday 1 Jun - Thursday 10 Jun

An anticyclonic pattern will continue to bring warm, settled conditions across many areas during next week. However, a band of rain will impact the far northwest, bringing more unsettled and cooler weather here for a time. Whilst there is still likely to be a good deal of dry weather for the first week of June, showers, which could be heavy and possibly thundery, and prolonged spells of rain become more likely across the south and west from midweek onwards. Temperatures most likely remaining around or above average. By the end of the period, a northwest to southeast split in conditions becomes more probable; more unsettled and cooler in the northwest, drier and warmer in the southeast.

Wednesday 9 Jun - Wednesday 23 Jun

Confidence is low for this period, but it is most likely that drier and more settled conditions looks most probable across much of the UK. Whilst a good deal of fine and dry weather is possible across central and southern areas, rain is also likely at times. The north and northwest of the UK may well be more unsettled, with more frequent spells of rain and shorter-lived spells of dry conditions than elsewhere. On the whole, temperatures are likely to be around average, with warm days but still the odd chilly night, and southern areas may occasionally receive spells of warmer than average weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Tuesday 1 Jun - Thursday 10 Jun

An anticyclonic pattern will continue to bring warm, settled conditions across many areas during next week. However, a band of rain will impact the far northwest, bringing more unsettled and cooler weather here for a time. Whilst there is still likely to be a good deal of dry weather for the first week of June, showers, which could be heavy and possibly thundery, and prolonged spells of rain become more likely across the south and west from midweek onwards. Temperatures most likely remaining around or above average. By the end of the period, a northwest to southeast split in conditions becomes more probable; more unsettled and cooler in the northwest, drier and warmer in the southeast.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

That bit in bold must be music to Downpour's ears 

I don't want to create another thread but as this is the media thread here goes.

We don't need no education. 

https://www.dorsetecho.co.uk/news/19330980.dorset-named-uks-answer-tenerife-study/

Or in case a sub editor comes to http://www.twitter.com/@dorsetechoellie rescue a screen capture.

(you might need to allow linked images to see it)

Brits set to buy 42 million pints as forecasters predict weekend heatwave

"Brits are set to buy 42 million pints this bank holiday weekend as forecasters predict temperatures of up to 25C in some parts of England. Thousands have packed their bags and are heading to top getaway locations for the weekend, with long queues forming on motorways across the South and South West of England and Wales.

Saturday is set to be cloudy but Sunday will bring sunshine to thousands getting away for the first time in over a year - on staycations and seeing loved ones. The end of the bank holiday weekend could see temperatures rise as high as 25C in West London, the Met Office said.

Many will also head to the pub with friends for a drink indoors for the first time in months"

https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/bank-holiday-brits-42-million-pints-many-pubs/