Looking like yet another December for the "forgettably mild" category then
It'll be a shame in a way if we don't get a decent snowfall this winter as the disruption caused to people's lives in the context of whats going on now would be historically minimal !

Met Office Hadley        5.0c       Anomaly        0.1c Provisional to 14 th

Metcheck                     4.70c     Anomaly         -0.30c

Netweather                  5.25c     Anomaly         0.16c

Peasedown St John     5.8c       Anomaly        -0.9c. 

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Met Office Hadley       5.2       Anomaly    0.3c Provisional to 15th

Metcheck                    4.90c    Anomaly    -0.10c

Netweather                 5.34c    Anomaly    -0.34c 

Peasedown St John    5.9c      Anomaly     -0.8c.    

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I think I went 2.9c. Ever the optimist...

  It’s all your fault then!  

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  It’s all your fault then!  

 

Yup. 

#mockers

 

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Met Office Hadley        5.4c        Anomaly      0.5c  Provisional to 16th.

Metcheck                     4.99c       Anomaly       0.00c

Netweather                  5.62c       Anomaly       0.53c

Peasedown St John     5.42c       Anomaly       -1.28c.

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Here is the list of predictions for December

Table 1

Oh FFS. 

As bad as I feared. 

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Oh FFS. 

As bad as I feared. 

Looking at the Dec predictions, I think you are the only one who can beat Darren S - but it needs a Dec CET of under 3.02c

 

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Looking at the Dec predictions, I think you are the only one who can beat Darren S - but it needs a Dec CET of under 3.02c

 

 

Given the weather we'd need from now to the end of the month to deliver such a CET, I think everyone will be hoping I win 

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Met Office Hadley        5.6c       Anomaly      0.7c Provisional to 17th

Metcheck                     5.27c     Anomaly      0.28c

Netweather                  5.78c     Anomaly      0.69c

Peasedown St John     5.68c     Anomaly      -1.02c.

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Looking at the Dec predictions, I think you are the only one who can beat Darren S - but it needs a Dec CET of under 3.02c

 

Yes, it looks like congratulations to Darren S then . Below that, all the runners up positions are up for grabs and largely dependent on how long and cold the cool down is. Looks like there will be a lot of reshuffling whichever way it goes!

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Here is the list of predictions for December

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Table 1

 

Ever the optimist.

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Oh FFS. 

As bad as I feared. 

Ahh, but your optimism is to be admired!   I wish!  

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Met Office Hadley        5.6c      Anomaly     0.7c  Provisional to 18th.

Metcheck                     5.27      Anomaly     0.28c

Netweather                  5.78c     Anomaly    0.69c

Peasedown St John     5.68c     Anomaly    -1.02.     

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It might not be a mild month overall. Depends on how the big diving trough scenario plays out, assuming it does at all, later next week.

GFS 06z had one of the colder outcomes modelled so far, with a run of cold days and freezing nights dragging my CET estimate down from the low 6s as of 23rd to the low 5s for the final figure.

The 00z, though, wasn't as cold, the CET staying in the higher half of the 5s. Then we have the ECM 00z which looks less cold still based on where it has things as of day 10.

This is all from a provisional Hadley CET starting point for 18th, mind, which may well be 0.1 to 0.3°C too high (as it often is).

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Met Office Hadley       6.0c       Anomaly      1.2c Provisional to 19th.

Metcheck                       5.68c      Anomaly        -0.69c

Netweather                    6.3c        Anomaly        1.21c

Peasedown St John       6.35c      Anomaly         -0.35c.

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Met Office Hadley       6.0c       Anomaly       1.2c Provisional to 20th

Metcheck                    5.69c     Anomaly        0.70c

Netweather                 6.33c     Anomaly        1.24c

Peasedown St John     6.6c      Anomaly        -0.1c.  

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Ahh, but your optimism is to be admired!   I wish!  

 

Admired or derided?

(my thinking was that I could play safer and perhaps finish 6th or 7th, or go for a more extreme punt that would see me potentially top 3, because even if got it wrong, there's not much difference between 9th and 20th in the grand scheme of things )

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Met Office Hadley         6.1c      Anomaly    1.2c Provisional to 21st

Metcheck                      5.88c    Anomaly    0.89c

Netweather                   6.5c      Anomaly    1.41c

Peasedown St John      6.59c    Anomaly     -0.11c      

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