theweatheroutlook

Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
01 July 2020 11:31:25

For july the lowest ever recorded daytime high is 7.5C. Good chance of beating that over the next week or so.


These are the projected GFS highs away from high ground:


 


Thursday: 9.9C (Northern tip of Outer hebridies)


Friday: 9.3C (West mainland scotland near coast)


Saturday: 10.3C (As above)


Sunday: 7.8C (As above)


Monday: 8.7C (As above)


 


So not far off the all time record on Sunday in W scotland. The key to breaking the record is to get rain falling the entire day.


 

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
ARTzeman
01 July 2020 11:38:50

1st July 11.2c  04:59 this morning PSJ





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
doctormog
01 July 2020 12:11:23

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


For july the lowest ever recorded daytime high is 7.5C. Good chance of beating that over the next week or so.


These are the projected GFS highs away from high ground:


 


Thursday: 9.9C (Northern tip of Outer hebridies)


Friday: 9.3C (West mainland scotland near coast)


Saturday: 10.3C (As above)


Sunday: 7.8C (As above)


Monday: 8.7C (As above)


 


So not far off the all time record on Sunday in W scotland. The key to breaking the record is to get rain falling the entire day.


 



When you say west of Scotland presumably this is for a low altitude location not up a mountain? 

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
01 July 2020 13:24:52

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


When you say west of Scotland presumably this is for a low altitude location not up a mountain? 



Yes


 

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
01 July 2020 13:58:19
How depressing. Good test to see whether Covid-19 will come back in the winter though I suppose.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
doctormog
01 July 2020 14:20:32

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


 


Yes


 



Whereabouts exactly? 9.3°C seems an incredibly precise value for the GFS model given the resolution of data available.

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
richardabdn
01 July 2020 21:04:56

The July record low max here is 10C on 14th July 1968 and 5 th July 1978.


I would hope we are not going to see anything as awful as that but one things for sure - far more likely to get close to that record low these days than the record high of 30C 

Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything


2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
02 July 2020 10:58:07

Things don't improve. Cold air not budging from N scotland


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
doctormog
02 July 2020 11:55:27

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Things don't improve. Cold air not budging from N scotland




Less cold on the next run.


Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
02 July 2020 15:37:53

Today's minimax (no mountain) is Baltasound at 12.2C


Not that impressive.


 

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Tim A
02 July 2020 16:24:25

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Today's minimax (no mountain) is Baltasound at 12.2C


Not that impressive.


 



Perhaps lower in England?


Emley Moor might not have got above 11.5c, Bingley at least 12.2c.


12.9c max here  currently 12.6c very poor for July but does happen occasionally.

Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl


Tim A
03 July 2020 07:42:55
Fylingdales, North Yorks was the coldest at 11.6c.
Here it was the second coldest July Max I have recorded since moving here in 2014.
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl


richardabdn
03 July 2020 11:02:34

10.0C at noon which is the coldest temperature I can ever recall seeing during the middle of the day in July.
​
We'll see if it can rise any further to avoid equalling the all time Aberdeen record low of 10C. Forecast high was 13C ,which is 5C below average and dreadful for July, but what is being experienced currently is truly in a different league of awful. Absolutely shocking. This would be a below average start to October never mind July.​


Yesterday's mean temperature of 10.1C was the lowest in my records going back to 2005 (min 5.7C, max 14.4C). Today will beat that if the max is lower than 11.4C as min was 8.8C. That would also see a new record low max set as my current record is 11.5C on 18th July 2012.

Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything


2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November
picturesareme
03 July 2020 11:25:16

Originally Posted by: Tim A 

Fylingdales, North Yorks was the coldest at 11.6c.
Here it was the second coldest July Max I have recorded since moving here in 2014.


Fylingdales is a remote site 250m up a hill, and close to the north sea.

Essan
03 July 2020 11:28:30

Official max of 22.2c here yesterday.    Which is as near normal for the time of year as makes no odds

Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Tim A
03 July 2020 11:41:41

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


 


Fylingdales is a remote site 250m up a hill, and close to the north sea.



Still quite notable though and Emley Moor and Leeds Bradford  Airport away from the coast were still no more than 12c.


Has been a horrendous start to July around these parts .

Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl


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