RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 May 2020 18:44:58

Originally Posted by: SJV 


 


Blimey that's a ridiculous difference between the total tests and number tested 



"More or Less" on R4 this morning is worth a catch-up listen if you missed it and have the required attention span. 


Relevant topics covered:


1. Gov't litany of lies on testing figures were laid bare (yet again).


2. Prof. Spiegelhalter claims schools reopening is safe.


3. The reasons why German Covid-19 deaths are so low compared to UK.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000j949


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
John p
20 May 2020 18:45:26

Originally Posted by: Darren S 


I still don't understand why the number of positive tests has gone down compared to yesterday. (See my post on Page 10).


EDIT: This shows breakdown by Pillar and explains historical data revisions have been made.


https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public



I can think of a few reasons why they might want to start showing a sustained drop in figures. Especially before 1st June 


Camberley, Surrey
Chunky Pea
20 May 2020 18:54:36

Originally Posted by: Essan 




I was planning on having a night in my tent in the garden ..... but its been so dry the ground is too hard to get a tent peg in now 



 


You could try throwing a jug or two of water around the points where you want to place the pegs just to soften up the soil a bit... or, just use your boot as a hammer.


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
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John p
20 May 2020 19:03:17

It seems from Rob’s link that if a person has a throat swab and nasal swab, that counts as two tests. Most sane people would think these should be classed as being part of the same test.


Camberley, Surrey
SJV
  • SJV
  • Advanced Member
20 May 2020 19:22:27

Originally Posted by: John p 


It seems from Rob’s link that if a person has a throat swab and nasal swab, that counts as two tests. Most sane people would think these should be classed as being part of the same test.



As well as non-diagnostic tests included in the figures, as many as 30,000. This government has no shame.


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Maunder Minimum
20 May 2020 19:29:23

Well worth watching if you have the time:



New world order coming.
Essan
20 May 2020 19:33:35

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


You could try throwing a jug or two of water around the points where you want to place the pegs just to soften up the soil a bit... or, just use your boot as a hammer.




Or I could put the pegs into the cracks in the ground.

Except my pegs aren't 2 inches wide .... 

Off topic, but, this has been one of the warmest, sunniest, driest springs on record here.   Sod's law was fulfilled  (as I predicted would happen  back in early March).   


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
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speckledjim
20 May 2020 19:33:45
Received details from my daughter’s school re returning from 02 June (1st is a training day). It’s very comprehensive in terms of the approach they are taking to ensure child safety so I’m very comfortable sending her back. Kids arriving/leaving different times, being allocated a teacher and classroom that they stay in, and they are only allowed to mix with their groups at break time.
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
John p
20 May 2020 19:35:05

Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Well worth watching if you have the time:




Judging by the rogues gallery of speakers, that’s a firm “no thanks” from me. 😂


Camberley, Surrey
Gandalf The White
20 May 2020 19:40:35

Originally Posted by: John p 


It seems from Rob’s link that if a person has a throat swab and nasal swab, that counts as two tests. Most sane people would think these should be classed as being part of the same test.



But the government does report both the number of tests and the number of people tested so there's no attempt at deception.  Apart from that, if the throat and nasal swab involve two laboratory tests then arguably it is relevant as a measure of utilisation of testing capacity.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
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The Beast from the East
20 May 2020 19:46:14

Originally Posted by: SJV 


 


As well as non-diagnostic tests included in the figures, as many as 30,000. This government has no shame.



This is the Vote Leave Government. The same people are running the scene and manipulating the numbers. Self testing is rubbish and the time it takes for some tests to come back makes a mockery of it and will lead to false negatives, perhaps done on purpose to try and justify opening up the economy


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
SJV
  • SJV
  • Advanced Member
20 May 2020 19:47:56

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


 


But the government does report both the number of tests and the number of people tested so there's no attempt at deception.  Apart from that, if the throat and nasal swab involve two laboratory tests then arguably it is relevant as a measure of utilisation of testing capacity.



There is clear deception in relation to tests and targets. We already know that dispatched tests are being counted, as well as non-diagnostic tests which have no bearing on our number of positive cases (note to Gavin D who calculated the false % each day). As it mentions on the R4 programme RobN linked to, you wouldn't count going to a drive-in facility, having the swab and sputum checked as two positive tests (unless you wanted to boost your figures of course ).


Given the vast majority of the general public will look at the headline figures and nothing else I believe it is a form deception, given the reasons above that become clear when you look behind the numbers.


 


edit: and that doesn't even get into the shambles of the results and the time taken (median 4 days I think?)  Thanks Beast, forgotten that.


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The Beast from the East
20 May 2020 19:47:58

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 

Received details from my daughter’s school re returning from 02 June (1st is a training day). It’s very comprehensive in terms of the approach they are taking to ensure child safety so I’m very comfortable sending her back. Kids arriving/leaving different times, being allocated a teacher and classroom that they stay in, and they are only allowed to mix with their groups at break time.


Good luck with that!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gavin D
20 May 2020 19:53:05

Regional data for new cases today in England


The 7 English regions 



  • London +50 (0.2%) 26,579

  • Midlands +206 (0.8%) 24,637

  • North West +195 (0.8%) 24,132

  • North East and Yorkshire +181 (0.8%) 23,182

  • South East +96 (0.5%) 20,510

  • East of England +138 (1.0%) 13,311

  • South West +30 (0.4%) 7,370


The 10 local areas with the highest cases



  1. Kent +55 (1.2%) 4,562

  2. Lancashire +28 (0.8%) 3,406

  3. Birmingham +21 (0.6%) 3,340

  4. Hampshire +10 (0.3%) 3,193

  5. Essex +16 (0.5%) 3,107

  6. Surrey +3 (0.1%) 2,835

  7. Hertfordshire +14 (0.5%) 2,782

  8. Sheffield +7 (0.3%) 2,493

  9. Cumbria +5 (0.2%) 2,153

  10. Staffordshire +14 (0.7%) 2,119


The 10 local areas with the lowest cases



  1. Rutland +1 (3.0%) 33

  2. North East Lincolnshire 148 - No change

  3. Isle of Wight 178 - No change

  4. Torbay 221 - No change

  5. Bath and North East Somerset 230 - No change

  6. Bracknell Forest +3 (1.3%) 240

  7. Windsor and Maidenhead 279 - No change

  8. Calderdale 285 - No change

  9. Portsmouth +1 (0.3%) 313

  10. Hartlepool +15 (4.7%) 319

The Beast from the East
20 May 2020 19:57:40


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
The Beast from the East
20 May 2020 19:59:00

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Regional data for new cases today in England


The 7 English regions 



  • London +50 (0.2%) 26,579

  • Midlands +206 (0.8%) 24,637

  • North West +195 (0.8%) 24,132

  • North East and Yorkshire +181 (0.8%) 23,182

  • South East +96 (0.5%) 20,510

  • East of England +138 (1.0%) 13,311

  • South West +30 (0.4%) 7,370


 


 



Didn't the Express tell us there were zero cases?


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
speckledjim
20 May 2020 20:00:53

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


 


Good luck with that!


 



They have different break times so not an issue


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
JHutch
20 May 2020 20:02:22

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Regional data for new cases today in England


The 7 English regions 



  • London +50 (0.2%) 26,579

  • Midlands +206 (0.8%) 24,637

  • North West +195 (0.8%) 24,132

  • North East and Yorkshire +181 (0.8%) 23,182

  • South East +96 (0.5%) 20,510

  • East of England +138 (1.0%) 13,311

  • South West +30 (0.4%) 7,370



One thing i have noticed is that these figures do not add up to the total positive count for the day. Today that was 2472 and the regional totals shown above add up to 896. I doubt that Scotland, N Ireland and Wales had 1500 between them so was wondering where the extra positives come from? Does it depend on which pillar they are in?

John p
20 May 2020 20:28:13

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


 


Didn't the Express tell us there were zero cases?


 



Was just about to post the same


Camberley, Surrey
speckledjim
20 May 2020 21:08:11
Here in Leeds we have now gone 2 days with no Covid deaths, long may that continue
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
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