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Question December UK Temperature analysis and discussion - Particular emphasis on the Central England Temperature
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Offline Bertwhistle  
#1 Posted : 30 November 2019 17:42:34(UTC)
Bertwhistle

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Location: Central Southern England

Not sure if this thread is going ahead; GW I do hope you are okay?

All- I pmd my prediction to GW just in case.

Also all- apologies if I'm just too myopic to have seen the thread somewhere.

Edited by moderator 01 February 2020 14:26:08(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

August 2020: best heatwave since '95
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Offline Caz  
#2 Posted : 30 November 2019 19:03:23(UTC)
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Oh!  I hope GW’s OK too. Perhaps he’s busy and hopefully will come along soon with his very useful stats and averages.

I’ve pm’d my December guess. 

Edited by user 30 November 2019 19:04:35(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

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Offline Caz  
#3 Posted : 01 December 2019 04:51:55(UTC)
Caz

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Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle Go to Quoted Post

Not sure if this thread is going ahead; GW I do hope you are okay?

All- I pmd my prediction to GW just in case.

Also all- apologies if I'm just too myopic to have seen the thread somewhere.

There’s no reason for this not to go ahead and I’m sure GW won’t mind you starting the thread.

I suggest everyone pm’s their prediction to GW as usual, for him to process when he has the time.  

HT, could you sticky this please?  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Offline Jonesy  
#4 Posted : 01 December 2019 08:53:26(UTC)
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Sent GW a PM with mine, I want that wooden spoon one way or another
Medway Towns (Kent)

The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !

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Offline Hungry Tiger  
#5 Posted : 01 December 2019 10:32:03(UTC)
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I'll sticky this thread. All GW has to do is just enter then what he needs.

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

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Offline Caz  
#6 Posted : 01 December 2019 11:26:11(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

I'll sticky this thread. All GW has to do is just enter then what he needs.

 

Thanks HT!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Offline Global Warming  
#7 Posted : 01 December 2019 12:01:25(UTC)
Global Warming

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Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Sorry I am very behind again as too busy at the moment. Predictions can be made up until midnight tonight.

Historic CET summary for December

1971-2000 5.1C (30 years)  

1981-2010 4.6C (30 years)  

1999-2018 5.1C (last 20 years)  

Edited by user 01 December 2019 12:02:51(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c
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Offline Caz  
#8 Posted : 01 December 2019 15:02:12(UTC)
Caz

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Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Thanks GW!  Good to know you’re OK but don’t work too hard! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

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Offline Bertwhistle  
#9 Posted : 01 December 2019 15:40:21(UTC)
Bertwhistle

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Location: Central Southern England

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Sorry I am very behind again as too busy at the moment. Predictions can be made up until midnight tonight.

Historic CET summary for December

1971-2000 5.1C (30 years)  

1981-2010 4.6C (30 years)  

1999-2018 5.1C (last 20 years)  

Glad you're OK GW; worried for a mo. Were so grateful that you set this up each month, and I don't suppose there's anything we can do to share the load?

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

August 2020: best heatwave since '95
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Offline Global Warming  
#10 Posted : 01 December 2019 21:14:51(UTC)
Global Warming

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Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Here is the first look at the December tracker.

After a chilly start it looks like temperatures will climb above average as we move into the second week of the month.

TABLE1

TABLE2

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c
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Offline Global Warming  
#11 Posted : 01 December 2019 21:19:31(UTC)
Global Warming

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Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Here is the contingency planners forecast from the Met Office. December has a greater than average probability of being milder than average, as does the winter as a whole. Not really surprising when you see what the Met Office's own GLOSEA5 seasonal model has been churning out recently.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/forecast-temp-djf-v1.pdf

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c
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Offline Global Warming  
#12 Posted : 01 December 2019 21:48:24(UTC)
Global Warming

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Okay so I have predictions now from everyone in the annual competition so I am going to close the December predictions at this point and post the table for you. Some interesting numbers this month. Col and Gusty at opposite ends of the spectrum so should be an interesting month.

TABLE

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c
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Offline Caz  
#13 Posted : 02 December 2019 04:32:56(UTC)
Caz

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Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Okay so I have predictions now from everyone in the annual competition so I am going to close the December predictions at this point and post the table for you. Some interesting numbers this month. Col and Gusty at opposite ends of the spectrum so should be an interesting month.

TABLE

Oooh!  That’s interesting indeed!  What a competition!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

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Offline Col  
#14 Posted : 02 December 2019 05:29:08(UTC)
Col

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Location: Bolton 160m asl

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

Oooh!  That’s interesting indeed!  What a competition!  

Interesting indeed, bring on the cold!

Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/c...UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
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Offline Frank H  
#15 Posted : 02 December 2019 08:40:13(UTC)
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Location: Wrightington, Wigan

 

Correct me if i'm wrong but for Col to win the cet needs to be below 4.40.

For a Gusty win it has to be above 5.13

Anything in between the 2 values and gezM wins

Very good contest with the leaders' predictions well spread.
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Online Windy Willow  
#16 Posted : 02 December 2019 09:48:32(UTC)
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Location: NW Kent 119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

Good luck everyone!Here's hoping I've not guessed too high! 

119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

NW Kent

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Online Windy Willow  
#17 Posted : 02 December 2019 09:50:18(UTC)
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Location: NW Kent 119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

Oh & of course a big thank you to GW! Hope you're not too snowed under...with work! 

119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

NW Kent

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Offline ARTzeman  
#18 Posted : 02 December 2019 11:17:26(UTC)
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Met Office Hadley           2.4c.       Anomaly        -2.4c Provisional to 1st.

Metcheck                        1.55c      Anomaly        -3.44c

Netweather                     2.48c      Anomaly        -2.63c

Peasedown St John     2.7c         Anomaly       3.27c.          

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Offline Saint Snow  
#19 Posted : 02 December 2019 14:13:54(UTC)
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Location: St Helens

I'm hoping Mr Ally Pally Snowman wins this month.

 

 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

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Offline Gusty  
#20 Posted : 02 December 2019 14:38:33(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Col Go to Quoted Post

 Interesting indeed, bring on the cold!

Interesting indeed.

Bring on the mild 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground...m/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11

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