Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login. New Registrations are disabled.

Notification

Icon
Error

7 Pages123>»
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline Bertwhistle  
#1 Posted : Saturday, November 30, 2019 5:42:34 PM(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/20/2015(UTC)
Posts: 6,904
Location: Central Southern England

Not sure if this thread is going ahead; GW I do hope you are okay?

All- I pmd my prediction to GW just in case.

Also all- apologies if I'm just too myopic to have seen the thread somewhere.

Edited by moderator Saturday, February 1, 2020 2:26:08 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

August 2020: best heatwave since '95

Wanna join the discussion?! Login to your TheWeatherOutlook forum account. New Registrations are disabled.

Offline Caz  
#2 Posted : Saturday, November 30, 2019 7:03:23 PM(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/28/2008(UTC)
Posts: 24,007
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Oh!  I hope GW’s OK too. Perhaps he’s busy and hopefully will come along soon with his very useful stats and averages.

I’ve pm’d my December guess. 

Edited by user Saturday, November 30, 2019 7:04:35 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Caz  
#3 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 4:51:55 AM(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/28/2008(UTC)
Posts: 24,007
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle Go to Quoted Post

Not sure if this thread is going ahead; GW I do hope you are okay?

All- I pmd my prediction to GW just in case.

Also all- apologies if I'm just too myopic to have seen the thread somewhere.

There’s no reason for this not to go ahead and I’m sure GW won’t mind you starting the thread.

I suggest everyone pm’s their prediction to GW as usual, for him to process when he has the time.  

HT, could you sticky this please?  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Jonesy  
#4 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 8:53:26 AM(UTC)
Jonesy

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 7/21/2008(UTC)
Posts: 4,264
Man
Location: Medway

Sent GW a PM with mine, I want that wooden spoon one way or another
Medway Towns (Kent)

The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#5 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 10:32:03 AM(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 4/11/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,902
Location: South Cambridgeshire

I'll sticky this thread. All GW has to do is just enter then what he needs.

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline Caz  
#6 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 11:26:11 AM(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/28/2008(UTC)
Posts: 24,007
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

I'll sticky this thread. All GW has to do is just enter then what he needs.

 

Thanks HT!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Global Warming  
#7 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 12:01:25 PM(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/7/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Sorry I am very behind again as too busy at the moment. Predictions can be made up until midnight tonight.

Historic CET summary for December

1971-2000 5.1C (30 years)  

1981-2010 4.6C (30 years)  

1999-2018 5.1C (last 20 years)  

Edited by user Sunday, December 1, 2019 12:02:51 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline Caz  
#8 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 3:02:12 PM(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/28/2008(UTC)
Posts: 24,007
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Thanks GW!  Good to know you’re OK but don’t work too hard! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Bertwhistle  
#9 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 3:40:21 PM(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/20/2015(UTC)
Posts: 6,904
Location: Central Southern England

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Sorry I am very behind again as too busy at the moment. Predictions can be made up until midnight tonight.

Historic CET summary for December

1971-2000 5.1C (30 years)  

1981-2010 4.6C (30 years)  

1999-2018 5.1C (last 20 years)  

Glad you're OK GW; worried for a mo. Were so grateful that you set this up each month, and I don't suppose there's anything we can do to share the load?

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

August 2020: best heatwave since '95

Offline Global Warming  
#10 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 9:14:51 PM(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/7/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Here is the first look at the December tracker.

After a chilly start it looks like temperatures will climb above average as we move into the second week of the month.

TABLE1

TABLE2

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline Global Warming  
#11 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 9:19:31 PM(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/7/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Here is the contingency planners forecast from the Met Office. December has a greater than average probability of being milder than average, as does the winter as a whole. Not really surprising when you see what the Met Office's own GLOSEA5 seasonal model has been churning out recently.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/forecast-temp-djf-v1.pdf

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline Global Warming  
#12 Posted : Sunday, December 1, 2019 9:48:24 PM(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/7/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Okay so I have predictions now from everyone in the annual competition so I am going to close the December predictions at this point and post the table for you. Some interesting numbers this month. Col and Gusty at opposite ends of the spectrum so should be an interesting month.

TABLE

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline Caz  
#13 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 4:32:56 AM(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/28/2008(UTC)
Posts: 24,007
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Okay so I have predictions now from everyone in the annual competition so I am going to close the December predictions at this point and post the table for you. Some interesting numbers this month. Col and Gusty at opposite ends of the spectrum so should be an interesting month.

TABLE

Oooh!  That’s interesting indeed!  What a competition!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Col  
#14 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 5:29:08 AM(UTC)
Col

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 1/12/2013(UTC)
Posts: 1,759
Location: Bolton 160m asl

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

Oooh!  That’s interesting indeed!  What a competition!  

Interesting indeed, bring on the cold!

Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/c...UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Offline Frank H  
#15 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 8:40:13 AM(UTC)
Frank H

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 1/1/2014(UTC)
Posts: 275
Location: Wrightington, Wigan

 

Correct me if i'm wrong but for Col to win the cet needs to be below 4.40.

For a Gusty win it has to be above 5.13

Anything in between the 2 values and gezM wins

Very good contest with the leaders' predictions well spread.

Offline Windy Willow  
#16 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 9:48:32 AM(UTC)
Windy Willow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 1/10/2016(UTC)
Posts: 1,070
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: NW Kent 119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

Good luck everyone!Here's hoping I've not guessed too high! 

119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

NW Kent

Offline Windy Willow  
#17 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 9:50:18 AM(UTC)
Windy Willow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 1/10/2016(UTC)
Posts: 1,070
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: NW Kent 119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

Oh & of course a big thank you to GW! Hope you're not too snowed under...with work! 

119.377 m /391.658 feet asl

NW Kent

Offline ARTzeman  
#18 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 11:17:26 AM(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 7/14/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,468
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley           2.4c.       Anomaly        -2.4c Provisional to 1st.

Metcheck                        1.55c      Anomaly        -3.44c

Netweather                     2.48c      Anomaly        -2.63c

Peasedown St John     2.7c         Anomaly       3.27c.          

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Saint Snow  
#19 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 2:13:54 PM(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 4/5/2006(UTC)
Posts: 56,107
Man
Location: St Helens

I'm hoping Mr Ally Pally Snowman wins this month.

 

 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Offline Gusty  
#20 Posted : Monday, December 2, 2019 2:38:33 PM(UTC)
Gusty

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 4/7/2006(UTC)
Posts: 15,537
Man
Location: Folkestone

Originally Posted by: Col Go to Quoted Post

 Interesting indeed, bring on the cold!

Interesting indeed.

Bring on the mild 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground...m/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/

Users browsing this topic
Similar Topics
December UK temperature analysis and discussion (Weather)
by Global Warming 11/29/2021 9:52:57 PM(UTC)
December UK Temperature analysis and discussion (Weather)
by Global Warming 11/29/2020 7:58:23 PM(UTC)
7 Pages123>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Code of conduct

× FORUM Settings USER PHOTOS Sky Eye Camera Sky Eye Gallery MODEL CHARTS Arome Arpege ECM ECM ENS GEM GEFS GFS Icon E Fax CFS UK Met UK Met UK UK Met UKV UK Met MOGREPS-G