Thursday 27 Aug - Saturday 5 Sep

The period begins generally unsettled, albeit with lighter winds than of late, but still accompanied by showers or longer spells of rain for most. Towards the bank holiday weekend, these spells of rain and wind may perhaps become more confined towards eastern areas, with the driest conditions mostly likely in the west and south. Although, the southwest may see some further spells of wind and rain at first. Temperatures should be near or slightly below the average for this time of year, with a potential for some frost overnight, but otherwise feeling warm in any sunnier spells. Although confidence is low into September, it is likely that the first part will see a transition into a more zonal pattern, with the north unsettled and the south generally drier and warmer.

Sunday 6 Sep - Sunday 20 Sep

Although confidence is low for this period, it likely that the south will see the best of the drier and warmer conditions whilst northern areas, in particular the northwest, will see more unsettled weather. However, it is possible for unsettled conditions or drier spells to spread into all parts of the UK at times. Temperatures should be around the average, with a potential for some warmer spells in southern and eastern areas.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Wet and windy at times. Occasional warmth

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Monday 24 August – Sunday 30 August

Wet and windy at times. Temperatures near average.

This weekend, much of the UK will be showery and rather windy. Some of the showers are likely to be heavy and locally thundery. However, there will also be sunny intervals, with the best of these in the south. Temperatures will be near to the late August average albeit with the wind making it feel rather cool. On Monday, most areas look like seeing cloud and showery rain spreading from the west. Feeling cool under any rain.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, the UK is likely to experience unsettled weather as a deep low pressure area moves in from the west. There is the potential for widespread and rather heavy rain, perhaps accompanied by strong winds in places. The second half of next week should see a gradual change in the weather. Indications are for showery and breezy conditions to slowly give way to drier and calmer weather as high pressure approaches from the west. However, it is unlikely to become particularly warm with temperatures near or slightly below average. Confidence in the forecast falls rather low by the end of the week. There is a risk that wet and breezy conditions persist.

Monday 31 August – Sunday 6 September

Wet and windy spells. Occasionally calmer.

The first week of September marks the start of meteorological autumn and some of us can expect distinctly autumnal weather. Current indications are for low pressure areas to move in from the Atlantic; these lows are expected to bring wet and breezy weather at times to the UK. Wettest and breeziest conditions are favoured to be in the west and north, the south-eastern quarter of England should be a little less wet with nearer-average rainfall.

However, if we see the remnants of one or two tropical storms or hurricanes approaching the UK, some widely very wet and windy weather is possible. Most areas should also see occasional drier, brighter and calmer periods of weather, in-between the low pressure areas. Temperatures are likely to alternate around the seasonal average.

Monday 7 September – Sunday 20 September

A changeable outlook. Warm and calmer for a time.

Changeable weather conditions appear likely through the middle part of September. There are signs of a temporary change to drier and warmer weather just before mid-month, this is because high pressure may expand northwards from the Azores for a time. England and Wales are likely to see the lengthiest of any drier, calmer and warmer periods of weather. However, Scotland and Northern Ireland are favoured to become less wet and less windy for a time with nearer-average rainfall.

After mid-month, a return to wetter and windier weather is favoured. A low pressure track should bring above-average rainfall again for some, most likely in the north and west of the UK. Temperatures should remain near or slightly above average. The breezy conditions should keep the nights often mild.

Further ahead

September is currently shaping-up to be wet and windy at times. We will take another look at the prospects for any ex-tropical storms or hurricanes to approach the UK.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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As Expected, the low pressure system which is expected to arrive during the middle part of this week has been officially named by the Met Office as Storm Francis as shown below.

#StormFrancis has been named

A deep area of low pressure will bring heavy rain and the risk of severe gales in places during Tuesday and Wednesday

Warnings have been issued, more information here https://t.co/vdbKXpnseG

stay #WeatherAware pic.twitter.com/UZk11JB7s8

— Met Office (@metoffice) August 24, 2020

 This is now, the first time that we have had more than one named storm during the summer. This follows quickly on from Storm Ellen and so, Storm Francis will now be our second named storm in the space of about a week.

 

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Saturday 29 Aug - Monday 7 Sep

The period will begin generally unsettled, albeit with lighter winds than of late for most, but still accompanied by showers or longer spells of rain in the east at first. Perhaps turning drier for most for the weekend with sunny spells and the odd shower. Temperatures below the seasonable average, with a potential for some frost overnight, but otherwise feeling warm in any sunnier spells. Although confidence is rather low, it is likely that the first part of September will see a return to more changeable weather, with the north unsettled and the south generally drier. Temperatures will probably be around average in the north, with any particularly warm spells most likely in the south.

Monday 7 Sep - Monday 21 Sep

Although confidence is low for this period, it likely that the south will see the best of the drier and warmer conditions whilst northern areas, in particular the northwest, will see more unsettled weather. However, it is possible for unsettled conditions or drier spells to spread into all parts of the UK at times. Temperatures should be around the average, with a potential for some warmer spells in southern and eastern areas.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Orange rain warnings for most of the West and South here with widespread yellow wind warnings. About 2 inches of rain forecast quite widely. I haven't had a chance to look at figures yet but given that I recorded almost 2 inches of rain in one day alone at my location last week, I'd say that we must be looking at a record breaking month here for some locations as regards rainfall.

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Sunday 30 Aug - Tuesday 8 Sep

A largely dry day for most on Sunday with warm sunny spells at times, as well as some cloud and a few light showers. Generally light to moderate winds, but perhaps turning breezier in the east making it will feel much cooler. Looking ahead into next week, overall conditions look to turn more unsettled with spells of rain and strong winds, most likely across southern areas. It should become drier and less windy throughout the period, though there is a risk of further outbreaks of rain arriving in the far west later on. Temperatures should generally be slightly cooler than normal early on, with a risk of overnight frost, before gradually climbing back up towards average.

Wednesday 9 Sep - Wednesday 23 Sep

While confidence is low for this period, it likely that the south will see the best of the drier and warmer conditions whilst northern areas, in particular the northwest, will continue to see more unsettled weather. However, it is possible for unsettled conditions to spread out over all areas at times and similarly for drier spells to become more widespread over the UK. Temperatures should be around or slightly above the average, with potential for some warmer spells in southern and eastern areas.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Monday 31 Aug - Wednesday 9 Sep

A largely dry day for most on Monday with warm sunny spells at times. Generally light to moderate winds, but perhaps turning cloudier and breezier from the west later with possibly some outbreaks of rain reaching the far west in the evening. Looking further ahead into next week, overall conditions look to turn more unsettled with spells of rain and strong winds, most likely across southern areas. It should become drier and less windy throughout the period, though there is a risk of further outbreaks of rain arriving in the far west later on. Temperatures should generally be slightly cooler than normal early on, with a risk of overnight frost, before gradually climbing back up towards average.

Thursday 10 Sep - Thursday 24 Sep

While confidence is low for this period, it likely that the south will see the best of the drier and warmer conditions whilst northern areas, in particular the northwest, will continue to see more unsettled weather. However, it is possible for unsettled conditions to spread across all areas at times and similarly for drier spells to become more widespread over the UK. Temperatures should be around or slightly above the average, with potential for some warmer spells, especially in southern and eastern areas.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Tuesday 1 Sep - Thursday 10 Sep

Outbreaks of rain are likely to progress east through the day on Tuesday, possibly turning heavy in the west and southwest and with isolated showers possible in the east in the afternoon. Generally moderate winds, but strong winds expected near western coasts. Looking further ahead into next week, overall conditions look to turn more unsettled with spells of rain and strong winds, most likely across southern and western areas. It should become drier and less windy through the period, though there is a risk of further outbreaks of rain arriving in the far west later on. Temperatures should generally be slightly cooler than normal early on, with a risk of overnight ground frost, before gradually climbing back up towards average later.

Thursday 10 Sep - Thursday 24 Sep

While confidence is low for this period, it likely that the south will see the best of the drier and warmer conditions whilst northern areas, in particular the northwest, will continue to see more unsettled weather. However, it is possible for unsettled conditions to spread across all areas at times and similarly for drier spells to become more widespread over the UK. Temperatures should be around or slightly above the average, with potential for some warmer spells, especially in southern and eastern areas.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Thursday 3 Sep - Saturday 12 Sep

Rain across northern and eastern parts at the beginning of the period will die out leaving much of the country dry for a time. Further rain and strong winds may develop across northern and western areas through the beginning of September. Southern and eastern areas are more likely to remain drier with bright or sunny spells. Confidence further ahead becomes lower but the most likely scenario will be outbreaks of rain in places and strong winds for some. The rain will be heaviest across the west with gales in the northwest. Southern parts will see the best of any drier weather with rain turning more showery in the north at times. Temperatures around average, though possibly feeling warmer in the south.

Sunday 13 Sep - Sunday 27 Sep

Confidence remains low through this period however more unsettled conditions look likely to develop across the north of the country, particularly northwestern areas, This will mean some wet spells of weather but with dry periods developing between spells of rain. The south will see the best of any drier and warmer weather however some periods of wetter and windier weather are possible at times. Temperatures will be near or at times a little above average though it may turn warmer across the south and east.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Thanks to AccuWeather:

The European Autumn forecast has been published! - 'Tropical Rainstorm Threats' for Autumn. The word Tropical sounds interesting! - Never knew the UK would have a threat of 'TROPICAL STORM'  Maybe post tropical depression but TROPICAL STORM!? - I think not.

 

Don't rate their forecasts for this side of the pond, one iota, although their summer 2020 one has been one of their better efforts. 

 

 

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Looks like the Scottish summer weather ended back in June and from that Met Office update it won't be returning in September!
As is becoming more common now we have our best weather in April and May up here

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Friday 4 Sep - Sunday 13 Sep

The start of the period is likely to start breezy and cool with scattered showers. The showers are most likely across northern and western parts whilst southern areas should see the best of any dry weather. Drier conditions are likely to develop across much of the country into the following week allowing for some sunshine at times. However, further outbreaks of rain and stronger winds are possible across the north of the country at times. There is a small chance that the more unsettled weather could spread to other areas as well. Temperatures should be around average, although it's likely we could see some chilly nights to start of but may turn warmer towards the end of the period.

Monday 14 Sep - Monday 28 Sep

Confidence remains low through this period however more unsettled conditions look likely to develop across the north of the country, particularly northwestern areas. This will mean some wet spells of weather but with dry periods developing between spells of rain. The south will see the best of any drier and warmer weather however some periods of wetter and windier weather are possible at times. Temperatures will be near or at times a little above average though it may turn warmer across the south and east.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Saturday 5 Sep - Monday 14 Sep

The start of the period is likely to start breezy and cool with scattered showers. The showers are most likely across northern and western parts whilst southern areas should see the best of any dry weather. Drier conditions are likely to develop across much of the country into the following week allowing for some sunshine at times. However, further outbreaks of rain and stronger winds are possible across the north of the country at times. There is a small chance that the more unsettled weather could spread to other areas as well. Temperatures should be around average, although it's likely we could see some chilly nights to start off, but may turn warmer towards the end of the period.

Tuesday 15 Sep - Tuesday 29 Sep

Confidence remains low through this period however more unsettled conditions look likely to develop across the north of the country, particularly northwestern areas. This will mean some wet spells of weather but with dry periods developing between spells of rain. The south will see the best of any drier and warmer weather however some periods of wetter and windier weather are possible at times. Temperatures will be near or, at times, a little above average, though it may turn warmer across the south and east.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Aiden then Bella will be the first 2 storm names between today and August 31st 2021

 

Sunday 6 Sep - Tuesday 15 Sep

The period is likely to start with changeable conditions across much of the UK, with a good deal of cloud, rain and showers in places. Generally, temperatures are likely to be rather cool across the country but may be near normal in the south. It's likely that we could see some chilly nights to start off with, but they may gradually turn warmer. There is a chance that some rain and stronger winds may develop early next week in the north and west, with the south and east possibly remaining dry. For the rest of the week, further outbreaks of rain and stronger winds are possible across the north of the country, with a small chance that the more changeable weather could spread to other areas as well.

Wednesday 16 Sep - Wednesday 30 Sep

In the latter half of the month, much of the UK will likely see changeable conditions with a mixture of dry spells and showers. The best of any drier and warmer conditions will likely be found in the south and there is a slight chance of some warm or very warm spells in southern and eastern areas although confidence is low at this stage. Elsewhere, temperatures are likely to be near or possibly a little above normal.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Aiden then Bella will be the first 2 storm names between today and August 31st 2021

 

You might also be pleased to see that there might also be a storm named after you if we get that far into this year's list (yes, Gavin is on that list). That certainly raised a chuckle with Gavin P. in one of his videos during today.

 

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Monday 7 Sep - Wednesday 16 Sep

Mostly cloudy and dry on Monday with the odd light shower, though areas of heavier and more persistent rain moving eastward across parts of Scotland. Likely to see mostly settled conditions from the west through the early part of next week with sunny spells, whilst a few showers may be seen mainly in the north. A band of rain expected to move in later in the week, bringing strong winds and heavy rain in places for a time. After clearing eastward, a mix of sunny spells and scattered showers likely to follow. Rather breezy conditions probably persisting though, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures generally near normal throughout the period, perhaps just above normal for a time when the rain moves in midweek.

Thursday 17 Sep - Thursday 1 Oct

There is low confidence through the second half of September, but much of the UK will likely see changeable conditions with a mixture of dry spells and showers. The best of any drier and warmer conditions will likely be found in the south and there is a slight chance of some warm or very warm spells in southern and eastern areas although confidence is low at this stage. Northern areas, in particular the northwest, will likely see more unsettled conditions which could spread to other areas. Temperatures away from the south are likely to be near or possibly a little above normal.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Tuesday 8 Sep - Thursday 17 Sep

Cloudy on Tuesday with areas of rain and drizzle in the north, moving southwards through the day with brighter conditions following. Dry with sunshine in the south. Likely to see mostly settled conditions from the west through the early part of next week with sunny spells, whilst a few showers may be seen mainly in the north. A band of rain expected to move in later in the week, bringing strong winds and heavy rain in places for a time. After clearing eastward, a mix of sunny spells and scattered showers likely to follow. Rather breezy conditions probably persisting though, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures generally near normal throughout the period, perhaps just above normal for a time when the rain moves in midweek.

Friday 18 Sep - Friday 2 Oct

There is low confidence through the second half of September, but much of the UK will likely see changeable conditions with a mixture of dry spells and showers. The best of any drier and warmer conditions will likely be found in the south and there is a slight chance of some warm or very warm spells in southern and eastern areas although confidence is low at this stage. Northern areas, in particular the northwest, will likely see more unsettled conditions which could spread to other areas. Temperatures away from the south are likely to be near or possibly a little above normal.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wednesday 9 Sep - Friday 18 Sep

A mainly settled start is expected for this period in the south of the UK with fine and dry weather. Although, with clearer skies and lighter winds, mist or fog may form on some nights. More unsettled spells of weather are expected in the north of the UK with rain and strong winds for many, with a risk of this pushing further south at times. Temperatures should be around average for the time of year, however it may be a little cooler than such for some. Although confidence is low for the latter part of this period, it is more likely that we will see a spell of more settled weather for a time, especially across southern counties.

Saturday 19 Sep - Saturday 3 Oct

Although confidence is low for this period, more settled weather is expected with lighter winds and drier conditions, especially for the south. Any unsettled weather with rain and stronger winds will most likely affect northern counties, however this may push further south at times. It is expected that it will feel a touch cooler than usual for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/