GFS 0z has Hp to the west of the UK for the next week or so, alternating mild westerlies with cool northwesterlies. The depression boosted by Hurricane Dorian now comes closer than the original forecast which was centred on Iceland and on Wed 11th is by the Western Isles. ECM 0z keeps this depression on its original track past Iceland to the Norwegian Sea.
The distant GFS run develops quite a deep depression over SE England on Sun 15th with cold Northeasterlies to follow, but the ens runs contradict this - after a spell with below average temps and intermittent rain, quite a lot of members are showing a warm-up at this time.
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Chichester 12m asl