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Late July Heatwave - potential record breaker?
Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 06/11/2010(UTC) Posts: 6,833  Location: Leeds
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Originally Posted by: Justin W  Over the last 10 hours, the Met Office automated output has dialled back the projected max down the hill in Wye tomorrow by 2C - from 38C to 36C. That’s probably because the focus of the heat has shifted. If the record goes it’ll probably be somewhere between London and Cambridge. |
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 14,745 Location: Folkestone
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We've been here many times before though whereby projected forecast temperatures are sometimes smashed on the day. It happens more times than it falls short. I'm in the 39c club for the UK tomorrow....shame I'll miss out on all the fun here on the forum. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 23,157
Location: Northeast Hampshire
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Originally Posted by: Justin W Over the last 10 hours, the Met Office automated output has dialled back the projected max down the hill in Wye tomorrow by 2C - from 38C to 36C. I don't think we will see the all-time record broken tomorrow. Hmm, the Northolt and Heathrow ones have gone from 39 to 38 as well. I wonder whether the storms last night pushing further east than forecast might have introduced more moisture and affected things a bit? Either way it will be interesting tracking the figures tomorrow!  |
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 23,157
Location: Northeast Hampshire
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BTW for those who think the models are overplaying it, 100F+ is heavily odds-on on Betfair, so you can get about 5/2 about the 100F being missed, for a few quid... |
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 4,206
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Originally Posted by: Rob K BTW for those who think the models are overplaying it, 100F+ is heavily odds-on on Betfair, so you can get about 5/2 about the 100F being missed, for a few quid... On the BBC1 Weather at 13:30 today they gave odds of 60% that we would hit an all time high tomorrow. Not far off what the Bookies are quoting |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 23,157
Location: Northeast Hampshire
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Originally Posted by: lanky On the BBC1 Weather at 13:30 today they gave odds of 60% that we would hit an all time high tomorrow. Not far off what the Bookies are quoting And of course 100F is only 37.8c so we could easily get 100F+ but miss the record. In fact that's what I went for in the competition! |
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl. |
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Rank: Administration
Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 53,317
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Originally Posted by: lanky On the BBC1 Weather at 13:30 today they gave odds of 60% that we would hit an all time high tomorrow. Not far off what the Bookies are quoting Is that from MeteoGroup or the Met Office? I was told by a journalist this morning that the 60% chance doing the rounds comes from the Met Office. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 16/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 4,697
Location: Muswell Hill, North London
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Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze Is that from MeteoGroup or the Met Office? I was told by a journalist this morning that the 60% chance doing the rounds comes from the Met Office. The MetOffice had on their Twitter they were forecasting a 60% of the all time record going |
Mark Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 20,505
Location: N.Y.Moors
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FWIW Met Office predict 30 for tomorrow here now compared to 29C earlier.
That would equal 1st July 2015.
It's nowhere near hottest day though that would be in August 2003 or 1976 *before records began  |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 16/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 4,697
Location: Muswell Hill, North London
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Latest Aperge showing 39C being quite widespread. The latest update also has a 41C! Edited by user 24 July 2019 15:22:40(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified |
Mark Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC) Posts: 21,139  Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands
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Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 I think the extent of the heat will be noteworthy regardless. The Met Office shows a huge area of 35c covering much of England, from Kent up to Yorkshire and from Worcestershire to Lincolnshire. The national record might not go but I imagine many places will break their local records.  I think you’re right. It’s the fact this heatwave is so widespread that makes it special. When the National summer record was set, I wonder what temps were like across the country. |
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire. Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 04/01/2012(UTC) Posts: 7,155  Location: Bishop's Stortford, Hertfordshire
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Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Latest Aperge showing 39C being quite widespread. The latest update also has a 41C! Incredible!!! It's effort for today is pretty much spot on. |
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 23,157
Location: Northeast Hampshire
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Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 41,038 Location: Galley Common, 130m.
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Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman Incredible!!! It's effort for today is pretty much spot on. Would be so nice to see rounded up 40C mark tomorrow and perhaps once in your life time to see this unless it become more frequent in future.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 25/04/2007(UTC) Posts: 3,417 Location: Knowhere
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Our forecast (Haremere Hall) has gone up from 36 to 37 in the last 24 hrs. For a location which is only 12 miles from the coast and 100m asl, that's quite a temperature! |
Somewhere in the Weald AONB |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 16/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 4,697
Location: Muswell Hill, North London
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Mark Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 23,157
Location: Northeast Hampshire
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Will be annoyed if we end up with 39.9C... like the 29.9C October reading a few years back! |
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 06/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 3,202 Location: Tonbridge, Kent
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Meto now saying 70% chance to break the record tomorrow |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 14,745 Location: Folkestone
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Originally Posted by: Rob K Will be annoyed if we end up with 39.9C... like the 29.9C October reading a few years back! Would you ? It just means you will then have to wait until next year to hit the big 40.0 |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 23,157
Location: Northeast Hampshire
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Originally Posted by: Gusty Would you ? It just means you will then have to wait until next year to hit the big 40.0 Or next month  |
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl. |
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Late July Heatwave - potential record breaker?
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