Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login. New Registrations are disabled.

Notification

Icon
Error

7 Pages«<4567>
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline Bertwhistle  
#101 Posted : 30 May 2019 14:46:39(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/11/2015(UTC)
Posts: 5,716
Location: Central Southern England

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread Go to Quoted Post
Average now seems cool after so many warm Mays... out of interest does anyone have the highest temp for the month so far and is it the lowest for May for some time as I am kind of thinking it must be given that even 1996 managed to go above 25c at the end ?

Worth hanging on there Spring: 27C could be pipped at the weekend, depending on sunshine amounts and how quickly the Atlantic edge pushes in on Sunday.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Remember Finlake!

Offline Spring Sun Winter Dread  
#102 Posted : 30 May 2019 20:01:13(UTC)
Spring Sun Winter Dread

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/01/2016(UTC)
Posts: 64
United Kingdom
Location: Berkhamsted, Herts

I saw that... only problem is it will be June then !
Offline johncs2016  
#103 Posted : 30 May 2019 20:53:48(UTC)
johncs2016

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 13/06/2016(UTC)
Posts: 5,257
Man
United Kingdom
Location: West Pilton, Edinburgh

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread Go to Quoted Post
I saw that... only problem is it will be June then !

Yep, and that means that GW will no doubt be beavering away and pondering over what to put into June's CET thread which he will no doubt be about to create at some time around now.

On that note as well, it's a real shame that Brian has shut down and locked the MOD thread which until now, was always quite a good place to see what people are saying about what might happen during the coming month in terms of the model output.

 

 

Edited by user 30 May 2019 20:56:26(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

MY THREE LOCAL WEATHER STATIONS

EDINBURGH GOGARBANK (more up to date sunshine totals come from here)

Latitude: 55° 55' 40.8'' N (DMS) or 55.928° (Dec)

Longitude: 3° 20' 34.8'' W (DMS) or -3.343° (Dec)

Altitude: 57m above mean sea level

EDINBURGH AIRPORT (added as an additional backup)

Latitude: 55° 56' 53.88'' N (DMS) or 55.9483° (Dec)

Longitude: 3° 20' 40.92'' W (DMS) or -3.447° (Dec)

Altitude: 33m above mean sea level

ROYAL BOTANIC GARDENS, EDINBURGH (the closest station to where I live)

Latitude: 55° 58' 1.2'' N (DMS) or 55.967° (Dec)

Longitude: 3° 13' 1.2'' W (DMS) or -3.2217° (Dec)

Altitude: 26m above mean sea level

Offline Col  
#104 Posted : 30 May 2019 21:13:51(UTC)
Col

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 913
Location: Bolton 160m asl

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 Go to Quoted Post

 

Yep, and that means that GW will no doubt be beavering away and pondering over what to put into June's CET thread which he will no doubt be about to create at some time around now.

On that note as well, it's a real shame that Brian has shut down and locked the MOD thread which until now, was always quite a good place to see what people are saying about what might happen during the coming month in terms of the model output.

 

I don't know what has gone on there, I can't see anyting particularly contentious although that may have been deleted of course. In addition, the previous MOD thread has now vanished.

We do have a de facto MOD thread in the 'Summer 2019 Weather' thread though.

Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/c...UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Offline Global Warming  
#105 Posted : 30 May 2019 21:58:09(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,134

We were on course to finish quite a bit below 11C this month after a cooler few days this week. But the temperatures shot up today and as a result the CET is now at 10.99C by my calculations, up 0.16C today. Another warm one tomorrow should see us finish around 11.16C.

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Caz  
#106 Posted : 31 May 2019 03:40:27(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,257
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Col Go to Quoted Post

I don't know what has gone on there, I can't see anyting particularly contentious although that may have been deleted of course. In addition, the previous MOD thread has now vanished.

We do have a de facto MOD thread in the 'Summer 2019 Weather' thread though.

The previous thread got off track with a couple of unnecessarily bad posts, followed by several other people commenting on them!  Nothing at all to do with the model output which completely derailed it.  Brian did ask that the new thread stay on topic and he closed it when it threatened to do otherwise.  Can’t blame him and it’s a shame that people abuse such a great facility.

So, on topic with this one.  I am way out this month and I’m preparing for a tumble down the table!  I have a lot of catching up to do for the rest of the year!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Col  
#107 Posted : 31 May 2019 04:44:02(UTC)
Col

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 913
Location: Bolton 160m asl

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

The previous thread got off track with a couple of unnecessarily bad posts, followed by several other people commenting on them!  Nothing at all to do with the model output which completely derailed it.  Brian did ask that the new thread stay on topic and he closed it when it threatened to do otherwise.  Can’t blame him and it’s a shame that people abuse such a great facility.

So, on topic with this one.  I am way out this month and I’m preparing for a tumble down the table!  I have a lot of catching up to do for the rest of the year!  

Not a particularly good month for me either although it's better than it might have been a week or so back. I will most certainly be relinquishing my top spot though! I think what caught people out was the very cool conditions at the start of the month lasted a lot longer than initially forecast and many predictions (including mine) took that into account. Despite some much warmer conditions in the 2nd half of the month it never fully recovered from that cold start.

Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/c...UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Offline Caz  
#108 Posted : 31 May 2019 05:29:01(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,257
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Col Go to Quoted Post

 

Not a particularly good month for me either although it's better than it might have been a week or so back. I will most certainly be relinquishing my top spot though! I think what caught people out was the very cool conditions at the start of the month lasted a lot longer than initially forecast and many predictions (including mine) took that into account. Despite some much warmer conditions in the 2nd half of the month it never fully recovered from that cold start.

Yes I agree and I think the cool nights did more damage to the averages.  A few frosts early in the month and not a lot milder at night until the last few days.  Here’s to better June predictions for us both. 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Bertwhistle  
#109 Posted : 31 May 2019 06:58:12(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/11/2015(UTC)
Posts: 5,716
Location: Central Southern England

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread Go to Quoted Post
I saw that... only problem is it will be June then !

Ah....yes; slight oversight there!

Very mild night here last night- wonder what the CET stations recorded. Last day for the number to go up again, so here's hoping...

 

Edited by user 31 May 2019 07:01:29(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Remember Finlake!

Online ARTzeman  
#110 Posted : 31 May 2019 11:35:07(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 25,881
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley         11.4c.       Anomaly     0.3c. Provisional to 30th.

Metcheck                      11.40c        Anomaly     -0.01c

Netweather                   11.72c      Anomaly       0.43c

Mean of my watched 10 stations 12.24c. Difference 0.22c.   

Edited by user 31 May 2019 11:36:30(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Global Warming  
#111 Posted : 31 May 2019 20:35:29(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,134

Not as warm today as I had expected. In fact maximums were well down on yesterday.

Final CET estimate from me for May is 11.13C

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#112 Posted : 01 June 2019 09:30:01(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,134

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_mean_2019

Final official CET for May is 11.15C

Congratulations to Jerry P who was spot on with his prediction.

Edited by user 01 June 2019 09:32:44(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Online ARTzeman  
#113 Posted : 01 June 2019 13:24:39(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 25,881
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Finals  For May 2019

Met Office Hadley             11.15c.

Metcheck                          11.5c.

Netweather                       11.3c.  

Mean of my 10 watched stations 12.3c Difference 0.2c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Bertwhistle  
#114 Posted : 01 June 2019 15:01:23(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/11/2015(UTC)
Posts: 5,716
Location: Central Southern England

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_mean_2019

Final official CET for May is 11.15C

Congratulations to Jerry P who was spot on with his prediction.

Downjustment just as you predicted GW. Well done for that and well done Jerry.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Remember Finlake!

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#115 Posted : 01 June 2019 19:24:04(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,776
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle Go to Quoted Post

 

Downjustment just as you predicted GW. Well done for that and well done Jerry.

Damit - That downjustment. I went for 11.5C - thought I'd hit it. Never mind - not too far out though.

 

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#116 Posted : 01 June 2019 19:26:57(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,776
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Col Go to Quoted Post

 

I don't know what has gone on there, I can't see anyting particularly contentious although that may have been deleted of course. In addition, the previous MOD thread has now vanished.

We do have a de facto MOD thread in the 'Summer 2019 Weather' thread though.

Keep it on topic - and no silly comments. Don't worry Col - I'm not criticising you at all - But others in the MO thread - a windbag fest I called it - caused that to be suspended. So in the summer 2019 thread - forecast charts and forecast models are the ones for that to keep things on topic.

 

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Caz  
#117 Posted : 01 June 2019 19:38:59(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,257
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Well done Jerry P!  

I was way too high c/o too much wishful thinking!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Jerry P  
#118 Posted : 01 June 2019 20:02:09(UTC)
Jerry P

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 382

Thanks all 😀

My first monthly win in the competition and once the month got started with the forecast colder spell, I thought I might be fairly close. To get it spot on was a fluke of course and will probably never happen again!! I was quite surprised that nearly all the predictions were for an above average month but I guess the way the year's gone so far means that's the form horse.

Now for June.....

West Somerset, 103m asl
Offline Caz  
#119 Posted : 02 June 2019 08:28:31(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,257
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Jerry P Go to Quoted Post
Thanks all 😀

My first monthly win in the competition and once the month got started with the forecast colder spell, I thought I might be fairly close. To get it spot on was a fluke of course and will probably never happen again!! I was quite surprised that nearly all the predictions were for an above average month but I guess the way the year's gone so far means that's the form horse.

Now for June.....

  Too modest!  What you should have said is: having studied all the charts and historical data, it was clear to you from the start what the May CET would be!  

Well done!  I look forward to seeing your June prediction!  Mine is of course just a random guess!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Bertwhistle  
#120 Posted : 03 June 2019 18:07:19(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/11/2015(UTC)
Posts: 5,716
Location: Central Southern England

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

 

Damit - That downjustment. I went for 11.5C - thought I'd hit it. Never mind - not too far out though.

 

That 11.5 is actually a good guess HT; my much higher one has led me to the head of a snake on the snakes and ladders board, I'm afraid.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Remember Finlake!

Users browsing this topic
7 Pages«<4567>
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Code of conduct

× FORUM Settings Posting League USER PHOTOS Sky Eye Camera Sky Eye Live Sky Eye Gallery MODEL CHARTS Arome Arpege ECM ECM ENS GEM GEFS GFS HIRLAM Icon Met Office UM Fax CFS GFSP