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Offline Surrey John  
#961 Posted : 11 November 2019 13:08:24(UTC)
Surrey John

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Joined: 19/10/2007(UTC)
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Man
Location: Kingston upon Thames

Met office weather warnings for Thursday

Appears even London is in the rain and hill snow area

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2019-11-14&id=ec08dc06-1b6d-4946-9fd1-158356bd3ecf


 

Edited by user 11 November 2019 14:32:20(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Kingston upon Thames

15m ASL
Offline Gavin D  
#962 Posted : 11 November 2019 14:26:24(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
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Saturday 16 Nov - Monday 25 Nov


Saturday looks to be an improvement from the recent unsettled theme. Showers or spells of rain should push away from the southeast leaving drier and sunnier conditions. Rain looks likely to creep into the west throughout the day, with Northern Ireland and Scotland seeing the worst of the weather. Looking ahead, a return to the unsettled weather seems probable with rain or showers and some snow on northern hills. Winds may turn to a more easterly direction, which could lead to more rain in the east and drier conditions in the west. Overnight frost and fog is likely during quieter spells, which may extend across much of the country towards the end of the period.


Tuesday 26 Nov - Tuesday 10 Dec


Through the second half of November and into December, confidence remains low. The strongest winds and more prolonged periods of rain are likely in the south at first. The driest and brightest weather is more likely in the north, especially northeast. However, there is a continued risk of rain and hill snow at times for northern locations. There is a chance that there will be a gradual transition to more unsettled weather in the north, accompanied by periods of strong winds and rain, while the southeast becomes more settled and drier. Temperatures are likely to be below average at the beginning of this period, with the potential for widespread frosts overnight. Temperatures may return to around average for the time of year, but colder periods are possible in the north.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#963 Posted : 12 November 2019 15:34:22(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 8,837
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Sunday 17 Nov - Tuesday 26 Nov


Mist and freezing fog possible under clear skies to start on Sunday. A cloudy, cold day follows with many areas seeing showers through the day. Through the start of next week confidence is very low but some dry, bright and cold weather is likely in places but rain still possible, falling as hill snow at times. Frost and freezing fog possible by night. By the end of next week there may be a switch to more unsettled and relatively milder conditions. This will bring rain for many, but particularly in western areas, and the risk of snow on higher ground accompanied by strong winds. By the end of the period more settled weather is expected for many but remaining unsettled in the west. Temperatures milder than of late.


Wednesday 27 Nov - Wednesday 11 Dec


The start of the period will see some settled weather in the east with rain, strong winds and possibly gales continuing in the west. Through early December confidence remains very low but there could be a period of more settled weather across much of the UK. This will bring drier conditions for many through the day but there will be a chance of frost and fog developing for many areas through the night. Temperatures look to be around average for the time of year.


 


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/ 

Offline Gavin D  
#964 Posted : 13 November 2019 10:03:56(UTC)
Gavin D

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BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Unsettled and often wet, but less cold later.


_________________________________


Wednesday 13 November – Sunday 17 November


Unsettled, cold at times, with frequent rain


Low pressure is likely to be near or over the UK, especially across the south, throughout the rest of this week and the coming weekend. From Wednesday, low pressure will slide across Ireland and bring outbreaks of rain to the Southwest and Wales, as well as Northern Ireland later. Eastern England and Scotland will stay mostly fine and dry, but a few isolated showers in northern Scotland may bring some hail to a few spots.


On Thursday, this low pressure system will head into the English Channel, bringing a slow-moving and weakening front over the south. Although the front is fairly weak, some northerly winds on the northern side will help bring outbreaks of heavy rain into the Midlands and East Anglia. Through the evening and overnight the front will drift northwards into southern parts of northern England, but heavy rain will tend to ease. There is a risk of a some areas in the Midlands, especially the East Midlands, seeing flooding from more heavy rain where river levels are already high.


The end of the week and start of the weekend will see this low pressure linger to the southeast of the UK and drifting into the North Sea. This will keep much of England and Wales wet and windy, while Scotland stays drier with a brisk northerly wind. There is a chance of some locally heavy downpours in the East on Saturday, with further flooding risks. However, by Sunday a ridge of high pressure will build in from the west, bringing a respite to the wet weather. It will turn cooler with brisk northerly winds bringing in some cold, polar air.


Monday 18 November – Sunday 24 November


Cold start but turning milder then wetter


For the last full week of November, little change is expected to the overall weather pattern for the UK. We are likely to still see low pressure overhead or nearby keeping things unsettled and a bit cooler than normal. This low will have some slow-moving and weak fronts at times, and these will bring some longer outbreaks of rain for some parts of the country while elsewhere there are some lengthy dry spells and fine, sunny days.


As the low pressure centre shifts around, there is a chance that we may occasionally see a weak ridge of high pressure creep in. On Monday 18th one of these highs looks like it will move in from the west. With low pressure to the east bringing in some colder polar air from the north, the high pressure will make Monday night feel very cold with widespread frost across the country. Low pressure returning for the rest of the week will see things stay a bit milder and unsettled, with a risk of some locally heavy rain. This will likely trigger some localised flooding.


For the end of the week and weekend, we should start to see a gradual shift in the weather pattern as low pressure becomes more entrenched to the west and southwest of the UK. This will keep things unsettled and wet at times, but it will also shift the winds to a more southerly direction and tap into some milder Mediterranean air. Temperatures should tend to be closer to normal, for the time of year by the weekend, bringing some relief from the recent colder weather.


Monday 25 November – Sunday 8 December


Gradually shifting to more typical winter weather


Towards the end of November and through the first week of December, we expect there to be a gradual shift from the wet and unsettled conditions seen so often during October and November to a more typical winter scenario. This will see high pressure to the east, across Russia and Scandinavia weaken and allow Atlantic weather systems to return into North Europe, bringing more active fronts. These fronts will be faster-moving and bring brief outbreaks of heavy rain and strong winds at times.


The main change is that warm fronts and high pressure to the southwest will tend to send more tropical air into the UK, lifting our temperatures from below average to near or a bit above average. Overnight frosts and hill-snow will gradually become less likely, but there may be a few crisp days and nights. There is a risk that weather systems may bring some very strong winds as well. There is a chance that this strong high pressure over Russia will stick around further into December. If this happens, things will stay cooler with some longer outbreaks of rain and lighter winds. As the days continue to shorten, the chances of snow will increase in the hills and even for lowlands, mainly for Scotland.


Further ahead


How's the weather shaping up as we move closer to Christmas?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Online johncs2016  
#965 Posted : 13 November 2019 11:57:43(UTC)
johncs2016

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 13/06/2016(UTC)
Posts: 5,456
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Location: West Pilton, Edinburgh

I've just noticed that the Met Office has issued its first yellow warning of this season for ice. That warning covers the east of Scotland and here in Edinburgh, we are right underneath that.


Furthermore, that warning comes into effect at 7pm this evening, and expected to remain in force until 10am tomorrow morning.


More details of that can be found here.


 

Located in the most boring part of the UK when it comes to our weather where hardly anything ever happens which is even remotely interesting in terms of our weather (other than yet more constant grey skies), and with the more interesting weather usually always occurring elsewhere in the UK apart from here.
Offline Gavin D  
#966 Posted : 13 November 2019 15:20:24(UTC)
Gavin D

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Monday 18 Nov - Wednesday 27 Nov


A frosty start to Monday with some patchy mist or freezing fog. The rest of the day will be cold and cloudy with some showers across eastern areas, staying largely dry in the west. Despite low confidence in this period, the start of next week should be drier and brighter for many but it will be cold. There is a possibility of rain in the west, which may fall as hill snow at times. By the end of next week, there may be a switch to relatively milder conditions with winds becoming more southerly. Further rain and strong winds look to continue in western areas initially with a risk of snow on higher ground. Meanwhile further east, drier and more settled weather is expected.


Thursday 28 Nov - Thursday 12 Dec


The start of the period will see some settled weather in the east with rain, strong winds and possible gales in the west. Through early December, confidence remains very low but there could be a period of more settled weather across much of the UK. This would bring drier conditions for many through the day with a chance of frost and fog developing overnight. Temperatures look to be around average for the time of year.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#967 Posted : 14 November 2019 15:13:45(UTC)
Gavin D

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Tuesday 19 Nov - Thursday 28 Nov


Heavy rain will spread eastwards across Wales and parts of southern and central England through Tuesday, though northern and eastern areas should remain mostly dry and bright through the day. Towards the end of the week it should turn milder with a risk of prolonged rain likely across western parts with the possibility of some transient hill snow. There is also a risk strong winds and coastal gales. Towards the end of the period strong winds and coastal gales accomanined by rain may continue across western areas with more settled conditions likely to develop in eastern parts. This would bring a risk of frost and fog developing overnight across eastern parts and possibly more widespread later.


Thursday 28 Nov - Thursday 12 Dec


The start of the period will see some settled weather in the east with rain, strong winds and possible gales in the west. Through early December, confidence remains very low but there could be a period of more settled weather across much of the UK. This would bring drier conditions for many through the day with a chance of frost and fog developing overnight. Temperatures look to be around average for the time of year.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#968 Posted : 15 November 2019 15:41:23(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 8,837
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Wednesday 20 Nov - Friday 29 Nov


The unsettled weather is set to carry on into next week, as weather systems continue to push in across the UK, bringing a risk of rain and showers for many. It will turn milder than as of late, but it may feel cooler in some stronger winds that accompany any spells of rain. The west and northwest will likely see the best of any drier and more settled weather conditions. There is a greater than normal chance of overnight fog forming in any clearer spells overnight, which could be slow to clear in places. The showers may continue to be wintry over the highest ground bringing some sleet or snow at times. Temperatures are expected to be around average or perhaps slightly milder for the time of year.


Saturday 30 Nov - Saturday 14 Dec


A transition to more settled weather seems most likely for at least the southern half of the UK. Although periods of rain are possible here, they will probably be considerably patchier and less frequent than the west and northwest where spells of wind and rain interspersed with showers will predominate. Showers may turn wintry over high ground. Frost and freezing fog, which may be slow to clear, is most likely overnight under clear skies in the east and south. Temperatures are expected to be around average, or just above, for the time of year.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline White Meadows  
#969 Posted : 16 November 2019 07:41:50(UTC)
White Meadows

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Location: West Sussex

Anyone know when the met office contingency planners forecast is released?
Offline Brian Gaze  
#970 Posted : 16 November 2019 08:03:58(UTC)
Brian Gaze

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Posts: 46,860

Originally Posted by: White Meadows Go to Quoted Post
Anyone know when the met office contingency planners forecast is released?

Here you go.

SHOW TWEETS

Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Offline doctormog  
#971 Posted : 16 November 2019 08:51:31(UTC)
doctormog

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Posts: 69,271

Originally Posted by: White Meadows Go to Quoted Post
Anyone know when the met office contingency planners forecast is released?


Probably not for a week or two as the last one was issued on the 24th of October. Here is the temperature one https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/forecast-temp-ndj-v2.pdf 


 


It will be available here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/government/contingency-planners/index 

Edited by user 16 November 2019 08:52:43(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline David M Porter  
#972 Posted : 16 November 2019 09:57:22(UTC)
David M Porter

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Location: Lenzie, Kirkintilloch, Glasgow

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze Go to Quoted Post

 
Here you go.



I'd take this with a pinch of salt to be honest, just as I would if they were suggesting the opposite.
As was mentioned by someone in the model output thread, the MetO appear to have been somewhat off-base wrt their predictions for temperatures during this autumn. After an above-average September, October turned out to be slightly below-average and November looks to be going the same way unless their is a major change in the last week or so of the month.

SHOW TWEETS

"Sometimes what we accept as the truth may not be the full story".
Hercule Poirot (David Suchet)
Offline Gavin D  
#973 Posted : 16 November 2019 10:14:30(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 8,837
Man
United Kingdom

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Milder than recently but staying wet and breezy


_________________________________


Saturday 16 November – Sunday 24 November


Often unsettled but slowly turning milder


This weekend, much of the UK will see a lot of cloud together with showery outbreaks of rain. The best of any lengthier periods of dry weather will be over Northern Ireland, western Scotland and southeast England where a few brighter intervals are possible. Temperatures will be close to average for many areas this weekend but Scotland will be rather cold. Drier and brighter but chillier weather is likely to develop for a time early next week as a high pressure ridge topples in from the north-west. A widespread frost is possible on Monday night


A slow recovery in temperatures is then expected through the middle to latter part of next week as chilly northerly winds give way to milder south or south-easterlies. However, it is likely to become more unsettled again with outbreaks of rain spreading from the west. It looks like western and south-western parts of the UK will have the most prolonged rainfall with a risk of localised flooding. Further east and north across the UK, there should also be some rain at times but with lower rainfall totals.


There is a slight risk that colder air lingers or returns to northern areas of the UK but, at present, we expect milder air to make inroads northwards through the week.


Monday 25 November – Sunday 1 December


Wet and breezy at times but quite mild


November is expected to end on a damp and breezy theme. Low pressure areas are likely to be often centred somewhere to the west of the UK, bringing bands of rain and showers at times. Brisk southerly winds are expected at times too. Overall, rainfall amounts are likely to be above average, with western areas wettest and windiest. Temperatures should be often near or a little above the seasonal average. Therefore, the risk of snow looks to be quite supressed. Night frosts should be infrequent. There is a slight chance that high pressure ends up being nearer to the east of the UK than expected, which would bring a drier week for the east.


Monday 2 December – Sunday 15 December


Quite mild but wet. Potentially turning windy


Indications are for the first half of December to be influenced by low pressure systems. These low pressure areas likely to bring wet and breezy conditions at times, initially most frequent over western parts of the UK. By the second week of December, there are signs of more widespread wet weather with the potential for strong winds at times as low pressure areas pass to the north of the UK. However, it should stay fairly mild with temperatures often alternating between average and above average. However, there is a chance that high pressure remains nearer to the south of the UK than expected, which would bring drier and calmer conditions to the south and east, in particular.


Further ahead


We will take another look to see whether confidence has increased for an unsettled but milder outlook. Will the weather stay wet and breezy for the General Election week?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Offline Gavin D  
#974 Posted : 16 November 2019 15:06:51(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
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Thursday 21 Nov - Saturday 30 Nov


The unsettled weather is set to carry on into next week, as weather systems continue to push in across the UK, bringing a risk of rain and showers for many. It will turn milder than as of late, but it may feel cooler in some stronger winds that accompany any spells of rain. The west and northwest will likely see the best of any drier and more settled weather conditions. There is an above average risk of overnight fog forming in any clearer spells overnight, which could be slow to clear in places. The showers may continue to be wintry over the highest ground bringing some sleet or snow at times. Temperatures are expected to be around average or perhaps slightly milder for the time of year.


Sunday 1 Dec - Sunday 15 Dec


A transition to more settled weather seems most likely for at least the southern half of the UK. Although periods of rain are possible here, they will probably be considerably patchier and less frequent than the west and northwest where spells of wind and rain interspersed with showers will predominate. Showers may turn wintry over high ground. Frost and freezing fog, which may be slow to clear, is most likely overnight under clear skies in the east and south. Temperatures are expected to be around average, or just above, for the time of year.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline tallyho_83  
#975 Posted : 16 November 2019 18:10:02(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
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Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: Gavin D Go to Quoted Post


BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Milder than recently but staying wet and breezy


_________________________________


Saturday 16 November – Sunday 24 November


Often unsettled but slowly turning milder


This weekend, much of the UK will see a lot of cloud together with showery outbreaks of rain. The best of any lengthier periods of dry weather will be over Northern Ireland, western Scotland and southeast England where a few brighter intervals are possible. Temperatures will be close to average for many areas this weekend but Scotland will be rather cold. Drier and brighter but chillier weather is likely to develop for a time early next week as a high pressure ridge topples in from the north-west. A widespread frost is possible on Monday night


A slow recovery in temperatures is then expected through the middle to latter part of next week as chilly northerly winds give way to milder south or south-easterlies. However, it is likely to become more unsettled again with outbreaks of rain spreading from the west. It looks like western and south-western parts of the UK will have the most prolonged rainfall with a risk of localised flooding. Further east and north across the UK, there should also be some rain at times but with lower rainfall totals.


There is a slight risk that colder air lingers or returns to northern areas of the UK but, at present, we expect milder air to make inroads northwards through the week.


Monday 25 November – Sunday 1 December


Wet and breezy at times but quite mild


November is expected to end on a damp and breezy theme. Low pressure areas are likely to be often centred somewhere to the west of the UK, bringing bands of rain and showers at times. Brisk southerly winds are expected at times too. Overall, rainfall amounts are likely to be above average, with western areas wettest and windiest. Temperatures should be often near or a little above the seasonal average. Therefore, the risk of snow looks to be quite supressed. Night frosts should be infrequent. There is a slight chance that high pressure ends up being nearer to the east of the UK than expected, which would bring a drier week for the east.


Monday 2 December – Sunday 15 December


Quite mild but wet. Potentially turning windy


Indications are for the first half of December to be influenced by low pressure systems. These low pressure areas likely to bring wet and breezy conditions at times, initially most frequent over western parts of the UK. By the second week of December, there are signs of more widespread wet weather with the potential for strong winds at times as low pressure areas pass to the north of the UK. However, it should stay fairly mild with temperatures often alternating between average and above average. However, there is a chance that high pressure remains nearer to the south of the UK than expected, which would bring drier and calmer conditions to the south and east, in particular.


Further ahead


We will take another look to see whether confidence has increased for an unsettled but milder outlook. Will the weather stay wet and breezy for the General Election week?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook



So...


Often Unsettled and turning milder.


Wet and breezy at times and mild.


Quite mild but wet and turning windy....


Ok then!😂😆


 


So big changes in our weather I see.. or am I only the one thinking they have the same forecast for the next month..all they have done is just 're worded it.🙄. And the fact they stress 'turning more unsettled'. As if it hasn't already been 'Unsettled enough. 


Also they said first half of December will be influenced by low pressure systems. And 2nd week there will be more widespread wet weather.


Whats the difference? 


 


 

------------------------------------------------------------
Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (5m asl)
Offline Gavin D  
#976 Posted : 17 November 2019 14:40:41(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
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Friday 22 Nov - Sunday 1 Dec


The unsettled weather is set to carry on into next week, as weather systems continue to push in across the UK, bringing a risk of rain and showers for many. It will turn milder than as of late, but it may feel cooler in some stronger winds that accompany any spells of rain. The west and northwest will likely see the best of any drier and more settled weather conditions. There is an above average risk of overnight fog forming in any clearer spells overnight, which could be slow to clear in places. The showers may continue to be wintry over the highest ground bringing some sleet or snow at times. Temperatures are expected to be around average or perhaps slightly milder for the time of year.


Monday 2 Dec - Monday 16 Dec


A transition to more settled weather seems most likely for at least the southern half of the UK. Although periods of rain are possible here, they will probably be considerably patchier and less frequent than the west and northwest where spells of wind and rain interspersed with showers will predominate. Showers may turn wintry over high ground. Frost and freezing fog, which may be slow to clear, is most likely overnight under clear skies in the east and south. Temperatures are expected to be around average, or just above, for the time of year.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#977 Posted : 18 November 2019 09:00:09(UTC)
Gavin D

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UK weather forecast: Danger to life warning for ice as temperatures drop to -9C


 




Quote

Forecasters have issued a danger to life ice warning as temperatures plummet to as low as -9C tonight. If the mercury drops to -9C it will be the coldest night of the season so far, the Met Office said. An ice alert for the Highlands, Orkney and Shetland islands is in force today, with the worst of the weather expected to end by 10am.





http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/weather/uk-weather-forecast-danger-to-life-warning-for-ice-as-temperatures-drop-to-9c/ar-BBWUPB2?li=BBoPWjQ&ocid=ACERDHP17

Offline Gavin D  
#978 Posted : 18 November 2019 15:17:20(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 8,837
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Saturday 23 Nov - Monday 2 Dec


The unsettled weather is set to carry on into next week, as weather systems continue to push in across the UK, bringing a risk of rain and showers for many. It will turn milder than as of late, but it may feel cooler in some stronger winds that accompany any spells of rain. The west and northwest will likely see the best of any drier and more settled weather conditions. There is an above average risk of overnight fog forming in any clearer spells overnight, which could be slow to clear in places. The showers may continue to be wintry over the highest ground bringing some sleet or snow at times. Temperatures are expected to be around average or perhaps slightly milder for the time of year.


Tuesday 3 Dec - Tuesday 17 Dec


A transition to more settled weather seems most likely for at least the southern half of the UK. Although periods of rain are possible here, they will probably be considerably patchier and less frequent than the west and northwest where spells of wind and rain interspersed with showers will predominate. Showers may turn wintry over high ground. Frost and freezing fog, which may be slow to clear, is most likely overnight under clear skies in the east and south. Temperatures are expected to be around average, or just above, for the time of year.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#979 Posted : 18 November 2019 17:23:32(UTC)
Gavin D

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A level 2 cold weather alert is in place for northern England until Wednesday




Quote

 


Current alert level: Level 2 - Alert and Readiness


Issued at: 08:44 on Mon 18 Nov 2019


There is a 70% probability of severe cold weather between 0900 on Monday 18 Nov and 1200 on Wednesday 20 Nov in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.


Cold and largely settled to start the week with widespread night time frosts, particularly across the north of the country. Temperatures will struggle to recover by day, despite the sunshine, and may be suppressed further by overnight freezing fog patches. Because of this, the trigger criteria is expected to be met across parts of northeast England, northwest England and Yorkshire and Humber. From Wednesday onwards, the weather will turn more unsettled from the west with increased wind, cloud and rain which will slowly raise average temperatures across England. Despite this, it will remain rather cold across eastern parts until the weekend.


An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map 


 





https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/?tab=coldWeatherAlert&season=normal#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

Offline Gavin D  
#980 Posted : 20 November 2019 10:05:32(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 8,837
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BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Wet and breezy at times but turning milder


_________________________________


Wednesday 20 November – Sunday 24 November


Turning milder. Wettest in the southwest


Wednesday will see a lot of dry weather for many with bright or sunny periods but a brisk southeasterly wind will make it feel chilly. The far west and southwest of the UK will be cloudier, though, with patchy rain. Chilly in the north and east on Wednesday night with a patchy frost. Thursday and Friday will be cloudier at times and breezy with a brisk southeasterly wind and some increasingly patchy rain gradually spreading from the southwest to the northeast.


Temperatures will rise a little, with most places escaping a frost during the nights. This weekend will also be cloudy at times with a low pressure area passing to the south, bringing showery outbreaks of rain but with some drier interludes as well. A little milder than recently with most places escaping a frost during the nights. However, frost is still possible locally in western Scotland.


Monday 25 November – Sunday 1 December


Wet and breezy at times but quite mild


A damp and breezy end to the month. Low pressure areas are likely to be often centred somewhere to the west of the UK, bringing bands of rain and showers. Brisk southerly winds are expected at times too. Overall, rainfall amounts are likely to be above average, with western areas wettest and windiest.


It is likely to be milder than recently with temperatures often above the seasonal average. Therefore, any frost should be localised and infrequent. There is a chance that low pressure areas track further east at times later in the week. If this happens, it would remain showery and windy but temperatures would fall nearer to the average, with less mild west or northwesterly winds.


Monday 2 December – Sunday 15 December


Mild but wet. Potentially windy at times


The outlook for the first half of December indicates low pressure systems passing to the west and the north of the UK, dominating the weather. Areas of low pressure are expected to bring wet and breezy conditions at times, with the wettest and windiest conditions likely to be over western and northern parts of the UK, where above average rainfall amounts are anticipated. It should be mild, with temperatures generally above the average for the time of year, thanks to prevailing southerly and westerly winds.

There are indications that the low pressure track could become stronger for a time around the second week of December perhaps bringing very wet conditions with the threat of some strong winds. However, there are chances that high pressure could stay close to southeastern Britain, which would lead to drier and calmer conditions there. Only a slight risk of significantly colder weather developing by mid-month. A mild outlook currently looks most likely.


Further ahead


Any signs of snow in the forecast in the run-up to Christmas?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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