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Offline Gavin D  
#941 Posted : 06 November 2019 15:52:59(UTC)
Gavin D

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Posts: 23,584
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Met office 10 Day Trend

Low pressure
More rain
Colder than average

Next week

Feeling cold
Further rain and hill snow
Some drier interludes

 

Offline Gavin D  
#942 Posted : 07 November 2019 14:11:46(UTC)
Gavin D

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Tuesday 12 Nov - Thursday 21 Nov

On Tuesday, there will be sunshine and blustery showers for most, with some hail possible. There may also be some sleet at lower levels across the North, along with possible hill snow from North Wales northwards. Strong winds for many, with gales possible in the northwest, which will make it feel cold. The rest of the working week looks set to remain rather cold and unsettled, with rain or showers for many as well as some snow over high ground in the north. Occasional stormier periods are possible in the south. Some overnight frost and fog is likely during quieter interludes. Towards the end of the period, more settled weather may become established in the south, with more widespread fog and frost as rain and stronger winds are displaced northwest.

Friday 22 Nov - Friday 6 Dec

Through the second half of November and into December, confidence remains very low. The period may start with unsettled conditions, with the rain and wind expected to be more prevalent in the northwest of the UK. There is a likelihood that fog and frost could become more widespread than earlier in November, particularly in the south and east of England, with the fog potentially clearing slowly into the mornings. Throughout this period, there are indications that there could be a slow transition into more settled weather, especially in the south and east of England. This could mean that temperatures may return close to the average by the end of the month, although it could still be rather cold at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#943 Posted : 07 November 2019 19:30:37(UTC)
Gavin D

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Posts: 23,584
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Flood warning: Stay at home, this is a major incident says council chief

  Quote

 

“Stay at home – this is a full blown incident.”

That’s the stark advice from a Cabinet member who says the city is struggling to cope with serious flooding following torrential rainfall. “This is not great, I am not going to lie to you,” said Coun Mark Jones, cabinet member for environment, streetscene and climate change. “The rain is going to get worse again tonight. We have a full emergency service running and we are monitoring the situation as best we can but we are inundated.

 

https://www.thestar.co.uk/news/politics/council/flood-warning-stay-home-major-incident-says-council-chief-919391

Offline Gavin D  
#944 Posted : 07 November 2019 19:31:38(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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Meadowhall Christmas Live 2019 CANCELLED at last-minute after flooding hits Sheffield

  Quote

 

Meadowhall Christmas Live 2019 has been cancelled due to flooding. 

The event was due to start at 6.30pm with acts including Jonas Blue, Fleur East and Ella Henderson set to perform. Sheffield has been battered by torrential rain all day with flood warnings in place and numerous roads closed.

Trains have been cancelled with the yellow tram route and the the tram train services terminating at Meadowhall South/Tinsley. A spokesperson from Meadowhall, said: “Due to the adverse weather and the subsequent impact this has had on the regional public transport infrastructure, it is with regret that the decision has been made to cancel this evening’s Meadowhall Christmas Live concert.

 

https://www.thestar.co.uk/news/weather/meadowhall-christmas-live-2019-cancelled-last-minute-after-flooding-hits-sheffield-919501

Offline Gavin D  
#945 Posted : 07 November 2019 19:32:41(UTC)
Gavin D

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Persistent rainfall leaves city streets of Sheffield flooded

 

  Quote

Heavy rainfall has left the streets of Sheffield flooded and emergency contractors working at "full capacity" to prevent further flooding. A council spokesperson said a "full emergency service was running" across the city, with one contractor saying the rain was "not far from biblical". Northbound exit and entry roads on the M1 at junction 34 for Meadowhall have been closed due to the adverse weather. The worst of the flooding is expected in the early hours of Friday.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-50333233

Offline Gavin D  
#946 Posted : 07 November 2019 19:33:42(UTC)
Gavin D

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UK weather: Midlands and Yorkshire see half a month's rain in one day

  Quote

 

Rainfall could reach 100mm by Friday morning, according to the Met Office.

Commuters have been facing travel chaos in northern England as trains have been cancelled and motorists are blocked from travelling because of flooded roads. Parts of the north Midlands and Yorkshire have seen around half of the average November rainfall just today, the Met Office has said. More rain is expected this evening. Some 80 flood warnings and 109 flood alerts have been issued by the Environment Agency.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/midlands-and-yorkshire-see-half-a-months-rain-in-one-day-11856753

Offline Surrey John  
#947 Posted : 07 November 2019 19:45:37(UTC)
Surrey John

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Location: West Wiltshire

The local online media has reported that Surrey will treat roads tonight, first time this winter

https://www.getsurrey.co.uk/news/surrey-news/gritters-heading-out-across-surrey-17219712

Roughly in centre of low pressure with fairly clear skies, so I guess could be some local fog patches

 

Corsham, Wiltshire

95m ASL

Offline Gavin D  
#948 Posted : 07 November 2019 21:08:18(UTC)
Gavin D

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Posts: 23,584
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Weather online seasonal outlook

Quote

 

Mild, wet December

January wintry at times?

Issued: Friday 1st November 2019
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling

*December*

  • Dominated by a westerly flow.
  • Generally mild, few chillier spells.
  • Most rain Scotland, windy and wet here at times.
  • Drier to the south.

*January*

  • Cool west to northwest flow.
  • Wintry showers Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland.
  • Risk of snow edging south.
  • Could be rather wintry at times.

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/seasonal-outlook.htm

Offline Gavin D  
#949 Posted : 08 November 2019 09:59:13(UTC)
Gavin D

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UK weather: 'Danger to life' severe flood warnings issued as river levels rise

Quote

 

One police force in Yorkshire has told local residents to only leave their properties if it is absolutely necessary to do so. The Environment Agency has issued "danger to life" severe flood warnings as river levels rise and travel is disrupted across parts of northern England.

It has urged people to stay away from swollen rivers - with the flood warnings affecting the River Don. Sky's Sally Lockwood, who is in Doncaster, said the latest recording showed the River Don in the area had risen to 6.29m - the average is between 0.2m and 3.6m.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-public-urged-to-stay-away-from-swollen-rivers-amid-extensive-flooding-11857056

Offline tallyho_83  
#950 Posted : 08 November 2019 10:03:18(UTC)
tallyho_83

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Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,085
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: Gavin D Go to Quoted Post

Weather online seasonal outlook

Quote

 

Mild, wet December

January wintry at times?

Issued: Friday 1st November 2019
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling

*December*

  • Dominated by a westerly flow.
  • Generally mild, few chillier spells.
  • Most rain Scotland, windy and wet here at times.
  • Drier to the south.

*January*

  • Cool west to northwest flow.
  • Wintry showers Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland.
  • Risk of snow edging south.
  • Could be rather wintry at times.

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/seasonal-outlook.htm

I Posted and was discussed on previous page Gav!?

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline Gavin D  
#951 Posted : 08 November 2019 10:11:44(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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Australia bushfires: Record number of emergencies in New South Wales

Quote

 

Australian authorities say an "unprecedented" number of emergency-level bushfires are threatening the state of New South Wales (NSW). More than 90 blazes were raging across the state on Friday.

Gusty winds and up to 35C heat have exacerbated the fires, many of which are in drought-affected areas. There are reports of people trapped in their homes in several places, with crew unable to reach them due to the strength of the fires.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-50341207

Offline Gavin D  
#952 Posted : 08 November 2019 20:55:56(UTC)
Gavin D

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Next week

Further rain at times
Some hill snow
Feeling chilly
Risk of frost

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50354048

Offline Gavin D  
#953 Posted : 09 November 2019 10:40:27(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled with more progressive fronts later.

_________________________________

Saturday 9 November – Sunday 17 November

Unsettled, cold at times, with frequent rain

A very cold start across most of the country on Saturday with a band of rain pushing in from the west to affect western and and south-western parts of the country, perhaps some central areas too. As the rain first moves in it will meet cold air and this may bring sleet and snow on hills and, perhaps briefly to lowlands. Whilst the sleet and snow will quickly transition to rain as the front brings in milder air, the Welsh mountains may cling on to some cooler air for much of the day so snow is possible in here int the early afternoon before things dry out. Most of Scotland and eastern England will stay dry and sunny on Saturday, but will feel cool through the day. Sunday looks to be a largely dry if rather chilly day, but overnight an active front will arrive, bringing rain for most by Monday morning.

Thankfully though, the front will sweep across the UK quickly, and by midday or early afternoon rain will clear to the southeast. It will, unfortunately, scupper chances of observing the transit of Mercury across the Sun in the Southeast (with proper protective solar filters on your telescope!). For the rest of the week and weekend, low pressure is expected to linger near or just north of the UK, keeping things unsettled. After a brief, early-week stint of more progressive fronts, things will gradually transition to slower-moving, inactive fronts. This will mean longer outbreaks of rain in places, but also some longer dry interludes as well. Low pressure will keep the temperatures on the cooler side of average, and later in the week there is a chance that a few nights could be quite cold with widespread frost.

Monday 18 November – Sunday 24 November

Staying cooler than normal and often wet

For the last full week of November, little change is expected in the overall weather pattern for the UK. We will likely still see low pressure overhead or nearby keeping things unsettled and a bit cooler than normal. This low will have some slow-moving and weak fronts at times, and these will bring some longer outbreaks of rain for some parts of the country while elsewhere there are some lengthy dry spells and fine, sunny days. As the low pressure centre shifts around, there is a chance that occasionally we may see a weak ridge of high pressure creep in. If this happens overnight, widespread frost is likely to occur across the country.

This will also increase the chances for some hill sleet or snow as the next band of rain moves in over the colder air. With temperatures falling one or two degrees below average through the week, things will tend to feel a bit wintry with some cold mornings and crisp afternoons. There is also a risk that some of these slow-moving fronts could bring a locally very heavy rain event to some spots. This will likely trigger some localised flooding as well. Unfortunately, pinning down exactly where this may happen is not currently possible. The fronts will also tend to be weak, so heavy rain is not as likely, but any strengthening of small-scale low pressure could set up a heavy rain event.

Monday 25 November – Sunday 8 December

Staying wet, but increasingly windy and mild

Towards the end of November and through the first week of December, we expect there to be a gradual shift in the weather pattern from this cooler, often wet October and November into a more typical winter scenario. This will see high pressure to the east in Russia and Scandinavia weaken and allow Atlantic weather systems to return into North Europe. This will bring more active fronts and some windier weather, so things will still be rather unsettled. It is, after all, still a British autumn. The main change in that warm fronts and high pressure to the southwest will tend to send more tropical air into the UK, lifted out temperatures from below average to near or a bit above average. Overnight frosts and hill snow will gradually become less likely.

There is a risk that a few of these weather systems may bring in some very strong winds as well. Again, this is nothing out of the ordinary for this time of year, but we have so far had a somewhat unusual weather pattern dominating. However, there is a chance that this strong high pressure in Russia will be a bit more tenacious, clinging to life and sticking around deep into December. If this happens, things will stay cooler with some longer outbreaks of rain and lighter winds. As the days continue to shorten, snow chances will increase in hills and even for lowlands.

Further ahead

How likely will more frosts be for the rest of November, and will the odds that we see any early lowland snowstorms increases head into winter?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Offline Gavin D  
#954 Posted : 09 November 2019 12:27:35(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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'Danger to life': Seven severe flood warnings remain after deluge

Quote

 

Boris Johnson says the flooding does not amount to a "national emergency", but Labour calls for an inquiry.

There remains a "danger to life" in parts of South Yorkshire after some areas had a month's rainfall in 24 hours. Seven severe flood warnings are in place - all of them on the River Don, in and around Doncaster. There are also 54 flood warnings, covering rivers including the Trent, the Dearne, the Derwent, the Ryton and the Rother.

Boris Johnson has said the flooding does not amount to a "national emergency" - as Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn called for an inquiry.  The prime minister visited the flood-hit town of Matlock in Derbyshire on Friday - close to where a woman died in a swollen river. He thanked members of the emergency services and said the government had allocated £2.6bn for a "huge programme of flood defences and flood preparation". 

Mr Corbyn called for an inquiry into how the UK's flood defences could be improved. "My thoughts are with the family of the woman who has died after being swept away by floodwater in Derbyshire," he wrote on Twitter. "There needs to be an inquiry into these floods and what more should be done to protect communities from the growing risks of flooding."

 

https://news.sky.com/story/danger-to-life-seven-severe-flood-warnings-remain-after-deluge-11857938?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter

Offline roadrunnerajn  
#955 Posted : 09 November 2019 12:57:07(UTC)
roadrunnerajn

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Joined: 16/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,120

I was born and bred in Matlock Derbyshire and never in 51yrs had the river been that high...it has been reported by Matlock council that it was 5cm below the December 1965 flood line.

In the late 1970s they dredged the river from Matlock bridge to south of Matlock Bath by up to 2m and removed a weir. You can imagine how much rain must of fallen to reach that level. The area is fairly fast flowing so silt build up has been minimal.

Helston Cornwall 62m asl. Land of the eternal spring (13c and overcast mizzle)
Offline Gavin D  
#956 Posted : 09 November 2019 15:42:14(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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Thursday 14 Nov - Saturday 23 Nov

Thursday is likely to be a continuation of the recent unsettled theme, with showers or longer periods of rain for some, especially in the southern half of the UK. The best chance of sunshine will be in sheltered northeastern areas. The end of the week will probably remain cold and unsettled, with rain/showers and some snow on northern hills. Winds may turn to a more easterly direction, which would lead more rain in the east and drier conditions for western locations. Overnight frost and fog is likely during quieter periods, which may extend across much of the country from the northwest towards the end of the period. However, spells of wind and rain are still possible across southern parts.

Sunday 24 Nov - Sunday 8 Dec

Through the second half of November and into December, confidence remains low. The strongest winds and more prolonged periods of rain are likely in the south at first. The driest and brightest weather is more likely in the north, especially northeast. However, there is a continued risk of rain and hill snow at times for northern locations. There is a chance that there will be a gradual transition to more unsettled weather in the north, accompanied by periods of strong winds and rain, while the southeast becomes more settled and drier. Temperatures are likely to be below average at the beginning of this period, with the potential for widespread frosts overnight. Temperatures may return to around average for the time of year, but colder periods are possible in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#957 Posted : 09 November 2019 17:53:42(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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Next 10 day's

Cold
Blustery at times

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50362294

Offline Gavin D  
#958 Posted : 10 November 2019 14:47:07(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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Friday 15 Nov - Sunday 24 Nov

Friday is likely to be an improvement from the recent unsettled theme, with showers or longer periods of rain pushing away from the southern half of the UK. Drier, sunnier conditions are set to follow, with a few wintry showers over the hills in the northeast. Looking ahead, a return to cold and unsettled weather seems likely with rain/showers and some snow on northern hills. Winds may turn to a more easterly direction, which would lead to more rain in the east and drier conditions for western locations. Overnight frost and fog is likely during quieter periods, which may extend across much of the country from the northwest towards the end of the period. However, spells of wind and rain are still possible across southern parts.

Monday 25 Nov - Monday 9 Dec

Through the second half of November and into December, confidence remains low. The strongest winds and more prolonged periods of rain are likely in the south at first. The driest and brightest weather is more likely in the north, especially northeast. However, there is a continued risk of rain and hill snow at times for northern locations. There is a chance that there will be a gradual transition to more unsettled weather in the north, accompanied by periods of strong winds and rain, while the southeast becomes more settled and drier. Temperatures are likely to be below average at the beginning of this period, with the potential for widespread frosts overnight. Temperatures may return to around average for the time of year, but colder periods are possible in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Gavin D  
#959 Posted : 11 November 2019 11:45:29(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 23,584
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I'm A Celebrity bosses are 'on red alert' as bush fires rage just 10 kilometres away from the campsite DAYS before the show returns

 

  Quote

Bush fires decimating portions of rural New South Wales and Queensland could pose a serious risk to the current series of I'm A Celebrity... Get Me Out Of Here! The ITV show - hosted by Ant McPartlin and Declan Donnelly - is poised to return for a nineteenth series on November 17, but producers are said to be concerned about the natural disaster and its proximity to their purpose built camp. The nearest reported fires have been 10 kilometres away at Queensland's Lamington National Park, prompting bosses to 'closely monitor' the situation ahead of the launch. 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-7671895/Im-Celeb-bosses-red-alert-Australias-bush-fires-threaten-burn-campsite.html

Offline Surrey John  
#960 Posted : 11 November 2019 13:08:24(UTC)
Surrey John

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 19/10/2007(UTC)
Posts: 935
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Location: West Wiltshire

Met office weather warnings for Thursday

Appears even London is in the rain and hill snow area

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2019-11-14&id=ec08dc06-1b6d-4946-9fd1-158356bd3ecf

 

Edited by user 11 November 2019 14:32:20(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Corsham, Wiltshire

95m ASL

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