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Online Gavin D  
#901 Posted : 28 October 2019 14:50:39(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
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United Kingdom

Saturday 2 Nov - Monday 11 Nov

Saturday is looking very unsettled, with rain and low cloud clearing slowly east and stronger winds across the country. The west and southwest may see brighter conditions for a time but with a risk of heavy rain later. Temperatures around normal for the time of year and feeling on the mild side at night. More unsettled wet and windy weather may return to all parts early next week, however there is low confidence during this period. The rest of the period will probably have some unsettled spells again with further bouts of wind and rain moving in from the west across most regions. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, or slightly below, with night frosts probably becoming widespread during quieter drier spells.

Tuesday 12 Nov - Tuesday 26 Nov

Through this period confidence is low. However, unsettled conditions look more likely, giving showers or longer spells of rain, with snow possible at times on high ground in the north. Some more settled spells are possible, with driest conditions most likely to be in the north and northwest of the UK. Through mid to late November we may see a change to more frequent west or southwesterly winds with wetter conditions in the west and drier spells in the east. Although temperatures may be below average at first, they are expected to become near average through mid to late November, with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Online Gavin D  
#902 Posted : 29 October 2019 09:18:15(UTC)
Gavin D

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Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
Man
United Kingdom

UK weather forecast: Britain facing two weeks of SNOW and Halloween whiteout as cold bites

A PLUME of freezing air from the Arctic is about to descend across Britain putting parts of the nation at risk of snow through the next fortnight.

Quote

 

Wintery flurries are forecast during the tail end of October and possibly into mid-November as bookies start to slash the odds on a Christmas whiteout. It comes amid forecasts temperatures will plummet to -5C (23F) this week with trick or treaters to the far north of the UK facing a White Halloween. Elsewhere a clash in weather systems will bring an unusually dank and ‘murky’ witching hour, forecasters say,

Weather charts show the risk of a flurry in Scotland on the spookiest night of the year although it will be confined to high ground. Britain’s weather will make a dramatic u-turn over the next 24 hours with bitter northerly winds bringing the first taste of winter. An easterly airflow will set in around mid-week ushering a Scandinavian chill across the nation, forecasters warn.

 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1196732/UK-weather-forecast-snow-warning-Halloween-cold-October-2019-latest

Offline Rob K  
#903 Posted : 29 October 2019 11:17:19(UTC)
Rob K

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 22,009
Location: Northeast Hampshire

Originally Posted by: Gavin D Go to Quoted Post

UK weather forecast: Britain facing two weeks of SNOW and Halloween whiteout as cold bites

A PLUME of freezing air from the Arctic is about to descend across Britain putting parts of the nation at risk of snow through the next fortnight.

Quote

 

Wintery flurries are forecast during the tail end of October and possibly into mid-November as bookies start to slash the odds on a Christmas whiteout. It comes amid forecasts temperatures will plummet to -5C (23F) this week with trick or treaters to the far north of the UK facing a White Halloween. Elsewhere a clash in weather systems will bring an unusually dank and ‘murky’ witching hour, forecasters say,

Weather charts show the risk of a flurry in Scotland on the spookiest night of the year although it will be confined to high ground. Britain’s weather will make a dramatic u-turn over the next 24 hours with bitter northerly winds bringing the first taste of winter. An easterly airflow will set in around mid-week ushering a Scandinavian chill across the nation, forecasters warn.

 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1196732/UK-weather-forecast-snow-warning-Halloween-cold-October-2019-latest

 

What on Earth is this nonsense? It's been cold with a bit of frost over the weekend, but it is going to turn wetter and milder from midweek.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl.
Offline tallyho_83  
#904 Posted : 29 October 2019 12:41:17(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 9,851
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: Gavin D Go to Quoted Post

UK weather forecast: Britain facing two weeks of SNOW and Halloween whiteout as cold bites

A PLUME of freezing air from the Arctic is about to descend across Britain putting parts of the nation at risk of snow through the next fortnight.

Quote

 

Wintery flurries are forecast during the tail end of October and possibly into mid-November as bookies start to slash the odds on a Christmas whiteout. It comes amid forecasts temperatures will plummet to -5C (23F) this week with trick or treaters to the far north of the UK facing a White Halloween. Elsewhere a clash in weather systems will bring an unusually dank and ‘murky’ witching hour, forecasters say,

Weather charts show the risk of a flurry in Scotland on the spookiest night of the year although it will be confined to high ground. Britain’s weather will make a dramatic u-turn over the next 24 hours with bitter northerly winds bringing the first taste of winter. An easterly airflow will set in around mid-week ushering a Scandinavian chill across the nation, forecasters warn.

 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1196732/UK-weather-forecast-snow-warning-Halloween-cold-October-2019-latest

Wrong! It's turning milder and wetter this week! FFS! 

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

Offline ballamar  
#905 Posted : 29 October 2019 15:00:10(UTC)
ballamar

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Posts: 1,395
Location: Essex

Online Gavin D  
#906 Posted : 29 October 2019 15:30:07(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
Man
United Kingdom

Sunday 3 Nov - Tuesday 12 Nov

Sunday is looking very unsettled with rain and showers, heavy in places, pushing across the UK with a few limited drier spells in-between. A windy day with gales, especially in the far southwest and northeast. Through the following week the unsettled theme continues with further areas of rain for most parts interspersed with some drier and brighter spells. It may become drier and cooler at times in the far north, allowing any rain arriving from the south, to turn wintry over northern hills. The unsettled weather is likely to erratically clear southeastwards towards the end of the week, to perhaps become more settled by the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures mainly cooler than average normal, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Wednesday 13 Nov - Wednesday 27 Nov

Through mid to late November confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with colder, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. If it has not already happened, signals are that a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds is most likely to occur, which would bring more unsettled conditions across the country once again. This would mean wetter conditions, especially in the west of the UK where there is also a potential for gales. The east will see the best of any drier weather. Temperatures may start below average at the start of the period but warming up slightly by the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Offline tallyho_83  
#907 Posted : 29 October 2019 18:57:06(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 9,851
Location: Devon

What happened with their seasonal forecast!?

https://www.weatheronlin...rts/seasonal-outlook.htm

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

Offline Rob K  
#908 Posted : 30 October 2019 07:40:56(UTC)
Rob K

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 22,009
Location: Northeast Hampshire

Meanwhile the Sun claims that “a band of high pressure over the UK” will “more than likely lead to snow” in the middle of next month. I give up.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl.
Offline Arcus  
#909 Posted : 30 October 2019 08:29:03(UTC)
Arcus

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 7,819
Man
United Kingdom
Location: North Yorkshire

Originally Posted by: Rob K Go to Quoted Post
Meanwhile the Sun claims that “a band of high pressure over the UK” will “more than likely lead to snow” in the middle of next month. I give up.

Just remember to apply the same level of "I Call Bullsh1t" to the Sun and the Express in their political coverage...

Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

She stayed with me until she moved to Notting Hill, She said it was the place she needs to be

Where the cocaine is fair trade, and frequently displayed, is the Buena Vista Social Club CD

Online Gavin D  
#910 Posted : 30 October 2019 15:22:01(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
Man
United Kingdom

Monday 4 Nov - Wednesday 13 Nov

Monday is looking very unsettled with patchy rain and showers, heavy in places, pushing across the UK with a few drier spells in between. A windy day with gales, especially in northern and eastern areas. Through the following week, the unsettled theme continues with further outbreaks of rain for most parts interspersed with some drier and brighter spells. It may become drier and cooler at times in the far north, allowing any rain to turn wintry over northern hills. The unsettled weather is likely to erratically clear southeastwards towards the end of the week, to perhaps become more settled by the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures mainly cooler than average normal, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Wednesday 13 Nov - Wednesday 27 Nov

Through mid to late November confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with colder, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. If it has not already happened, signals are that a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds is most likely to occur, which would bring more unsettled conditions across the country once again. This would mean wetter conditions, especially in the west of the UK where there is also a potential for gales. The east will see the best of any drier weather. Temperatures may start below average at the start of the period but warming up slightly by the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Online Gavin D  
#911 Posted : 30 October 2019 19:58:04(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
Man
United Kingdom

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Drier mid-November, otherwise rather wet

_________________________________

Wednesday 30 October – Sunday 3 November

Becoming milder, wetter and windier

Rain will linger across the southwest of England and over southernmost Wales during Wednesday. This rain will edge into Northern Ireland on Thursday but much of the UK will have another fine day. Towards the end of the day, some heavier rain will push in form the west and spread east across the UK during Thursday night. Milder air will come in with this rain, reducing the chances of frost. Friday will then be overcast, misty and murky with further rain or drizzle for many, there will also be some hill fog. Across Wales and much of England, the rain will become more showery but locally heavy with a chance of thunder. Overnight, rain will steadily clear eastwards but it is likely to stay wet across Scotland and Northern Ireland. Meanwhile, a deepening low pressure system from the west will bring more rain to SW England and parts of Wales, some heavy with thunderstorm risks, winds will also strengthen, with gusts of 50-60 mph possible in the southwest by morning.

Rain is expected to move north and east across all of Wales and England on Saturday, some heavy, especially for Wales and the south and west of England. More significantly, winds could become very strong with gusts of around 50 mph across southern Britain, possibly over 60 mph in the far SW. Rain should push into Scotland later in the day but it will not be as heavy and with easterly winds some sheltered western areas will be drier. On Sunday, low pressure is likely to linger but weaken. This will bring further rain or showers across the country but winds will steadily ease.

Monday 4 November – Sunday 10 November

Chilly for the north. Rain in the south and west

Rain over southern regions looks likely to spread northwards across the rest of the UK for Monday, some of it heavy, especially across the south. There is a slight risk that the responsible low pressure system will be further south than expected, meaning drier and slightly chillier conditions would be possible for Scotland and Northern Ireland. However, confidence is reasonably high that southern regions will be wet and windy. As the week progresses, it becomes more likely that low pressure systems will track rather further south, so although the southern UK should stay wet and reasonably mild with temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average, the north of the country, especially Scotland, will have an increasing likelihood of drier and colder incursions with overnight frosts and fog.

That is not to say that it will be dry every day but any wetter spells would be shorter and less frequent, and with easterly wind flows western Scotland could have some of the country's best weather through the second half of the week. An alternative scenario is for low pressure to weaken more quickly and drop further south with high pressure building more from the north and east. This would produce colder and drier conditions more widely, although especially across the northern half of the country.

Monday 11 November – Sunday 24 November

Turning milder and wetter

Confidence is rather low through this period because we will probably see changes in the weather pattern, and the timing of such changes is uncertain. Nevertheless, around the middle of the month it looks like the jet stream weakens, and thus low pressure systems associated with it become less vigorous and adopt a more southerly track into western and south-central Europe. This is likely to be compounded by high pressure building towards the UK from the north and northeast to deliver a drier, calmer and chillier period across most of the country with more widespread overnight frost and fog risks. T

he highest chance of any rain would be for southernmost regions. The risk to this forecast is that low pressure would linger and cause the mild, wet and windy weather to linger for longer. During the third week of November it looks like low pressure systems will reinvigorate and take a more northern track, thus bringing a return to milder, wetter and windier conditions across the British Isles. It is uncertain exactly when this change back to unsettled weather might occur, and there is about a 30 per cent risk that the high pressure will influence the weather pattern for longer, allowing chilly and rather dry weather to linger until late-November.

Further ahead

We'll take a closer look at how the forecast for the rest of November and early December is shaping up.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Online Gavin D  
#912 Posted : 31 October 2019 16:45:14(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
Man
United Kingdom

Tuesday 5 Nov - Thursday 14 Nov

Tuesday is looking rather unsettled with patchy rain and showers, some heavy, for much of the UK. The worst of the weather looks to be in the southeast with drier conditions further north with a few showers. It will be rather cold for most and remaining breezy. Looking further ahead, the unsettled theme continues with further outbreaks of rain for most parts interspersed with drier and brighter spells. The far north may become drier and cooler at times with some wintry showers over northern hills. The changeable weather is likely to clear southeastwards towards the end of the week leaving more settled conditions for the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures a little lower than average, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Friday 15 Nov - Friday 29 Nov

Through mid to late November, confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with cold, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. More changeable conditions may occur in the latter part of the period in alignment with a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds over the UK. This could bring more unsettled weather, especially to western parts where there could be the possibility of gales. The east looks like it may see the best of any drier weather, though probably staying windy. Although temperatures are more likely to be below average at the start of the period, they are expected to come near average towards the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Offline Maunder Minimum  
#913 Posted : 31 October 2019 19:46:03(UTC)
Maunder Minimum

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Joined: 08/09/2007(UTC)
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Man
Location: Copenhagen (work) and West Worcestershire (home)

I see the Met Office are still sticking with the idea of the tropical PV getting organised and zonal conditions ensuing.

That would be the form horse of course, but I hope they are 150% wrong.

New world order coming.
Offline tallyho_83  
#914 Posted : 31 October 2019 21:15:07(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 9,851
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum Go to Quoted Post

I see the Met Office are still sticking with the idea of the tropical PV getting organised and zonal conditions ensuing.

That would be the form horse of course, but I hope they are 150% wrong.

 

La Meteo:

 

@ 0:40 Scotland: - JFF of course!

 

https://youtu.be/yfkRFIYl0rQ

 

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

Online Gavin D  
#915 Posted : 01 November 2019 12:20:10(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
Man
United Kingdom

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • Cold air returns next week
  • Possible drier spell mid-month
  • Mixed messages as winter nears

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/11/01/john-hammond-month-ahead-cold-run-warm-winter/

Online Gavin D  
#916 Posted : 01 November 2019 14:09:24(UTC)
Gavin D

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 25/06/2011(UTC)
Posts: 12,715
Man
United Kingdom

Wednesday 6 Nov - Friday 15 Nov

Overnight frost and light winds on Wednesday. It will be dry and bright for most with scattered showers along northern and eastern coasts. A band of rain and windy conditions should move in from the west through the day. Some snow possible on northern hills.Looking further ahead, the unsettled theme continues with further outbreaks of rain for most parts interspersed with drier and brighter spells. The far north may become drier and cooler at times with some wintry showers over northern hills. The changeable weather is likely to clear southeastwards towards the end of the week leaving more settled conditions for the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures a little lower than average, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Saturday 16 Nov - Saturday 30 Nov

Through mid to late November, confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with cold, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. More changeable conditions may occur in the latter part of the period in alignment with a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds over the UK. This could bring more unsettled weather, especially to western parts where there could be the possibility of gales. The east looks like it may see the best of any drier weather, though probably staying windy. Although temperatures are more likely to be below average at the start of the period, they are expected to come near average towards the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Offline tallyho_83  
#917 Posted : 02 November 2019 03:41:21(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 9,851
Location: Devon

Weather Online - seasonal:

So a mild and wet December? - makes a change! NOT! :/

What will it take to have a cold and wintry DECEMBER or Christmas week for a change!? :( - Surely one is well over due by now!?

https://www.weatheronlin...rts/seasonal-outlook.htm

Mind you their forecasts are always incorrect!? I wish I knew how they issue their seasonal forecasts or what models they base them on?

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

Offline KevBrads1  
#918 Posted : 02 November 2019 08:48:08(UTC)
KevBrads1

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 17/03/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,032
Location: Irlam

Storm naming system. Any ideas why today's low pressure hasn't been named?

MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX 2020: 174 up to 14th of July

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

Online doctormog  
#919 Posted : 02 November 2019 08:56:36(UTC)
doctormog

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 70,744

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 Go to Quoted Post

Storm naming system. Any ideas why today's low pressure hasn't been named?

Apparently it is not deemed worthy of an amber warning based on the current warning matrix as the (current) high wind speeds are unlikely.

Yes, that doesn’t not make sense to me either.

Offline KevBrads1  
#920 Posted : 02 November 2019 09:04:15(UTC)
KevBrads1

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 17/03/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,032
Location: Irlam

Originally Posted by: doctormog Go to Quoted Post

 

Apparently it is not deemed worthy of an amber warning based on the current warning matrix as the (current) high wind speeds are unlikely.

Yes, that doesn’t not make sense to me either.

Already it is being panned

Thanks

@metoffice

for not naming or making this storm particularly news worthy. Its bloody chaos in Cornwall. I suppose it doesn't pose a risk to someone's fence panel in the home counties

https://twitter.com/cornwalltrainer/status/1190553602298929154

MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX 2020: 174 up to 14th of July

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

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