Gavin D
17 March 2019 12:43:47
Met office

Friday 22 Mar - Sunday 31 Mar

The south of the UK looks to remain largely dry and settled to begin with, and it could perhaps be quite warm at times in some central and eastern parts of the UK, with the best of the drier and brighter weather here. However, unsettled conditions are more likely in the far north and northwest, where wet and windy weather is more likely from time to time. Temperatures are most likely to be roughly around the average for the time of year, although some warmer periods are likely in the south when the sun shines, whilst occasionally in the north it may be rather cold, perhaps even with a risk of some overnight frost at times.

Monday 1 Apr - Monday 15 Apr

As we head into April, the forecast looks more uncertain, but it seems most likely that we will see changeable conditions across the UK once again, with wet and windy weather interspersed with drier and brighter spells. By the middle of the month, we may see a return of more widely settled weather. Temperatures could potentially start off a little warmer than average.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Gavin D
18 March 2019 12:25:02
Met office

Saturday 23 Mar - Monday 1 Apr

Confidence is low for this weekend, but it looks sunny for many, once patchy rain in the south clears. There will be some blustery showers in the northwest though, with the risk of gales in the far north. Through the latter stages of March, we will see a good deal of dry weather across central and southeastern parts of the UK, with bright or sunny spells. It will be more changeable across the northwest, with rain and strong winds from time to time. Temperatures are most likely to be around the average for the time of year, although some warmer periods are likely in the southeast when the sun shines. However, occasionally in the northwest it may be rather cold.

Tuesday 2 Apr - Tuesday 16 Apr

For the start of April, changeable conditions are likely, with near normal temperatures across the UK. Thereafter, the forecast looks more uncertain, but it seems most likely that we will see changeable conditions across the UK once again. Wet and windy weather may be interspersed with drier and brighter spells, with the most unsettled conditions still probable in the north. By the middle of the month, we may see a return of more widely settled weather. Temperatures could potentially start off a little warmer than average, but they may fall nearer to the seasonal average for a time in early April.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Gavin D
19 March 2019 12:26:12
Water shortages in England 'within 25 years'

Within 25 years England will not have enough water to meet demand, the head of the Environment Agency is warning.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47620228 
Gavin D
19 March 2019 12:29:07
Met office

Sunday 24 Mar - Tuesday 2 Apr

Confidence in details is low for Sunday and Monday, but southern districts will probably be dry with sunny spells whilst further north blustery showers may be wintry in the far north and northwest where there's also a risk of gales. Rather cold in the north with some overnight frost, with temperatures closer to normal in the south. During the last week of March and into early April, there is likely to be a good deal of dry weather across central and southeastern parts of the UK, with bright or sunny spells. It will be more changeable across the northwest, with rain and strong winds from time to time. Temperatures will be mainly near normal in the north, and with some warmer periods in the southeast.

Wednesday 3 Apr - Wednesday 17 Apr

There is considerable uncertainty in the forecast during this period, and confidence is currently low. However, during the first week of April it does look most likely that we will see changeable conditions becoming established across the UK once again. Wet and windy weather may be interspersed with drier and brighter spells, with the most unsettled conditions still probable in the north. By the middle of the month, there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled weather. Temperatures probably starting off a little warmer than average, but they may fall nearer to normal for a time early in the month

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Gavin D
19 March 2019 21:53:45

Next week


Becoming settled again
Chillier nights


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/47619636

Gavin D
20 March 2019 12:19:43

Met office


Monday 25 Mar - Wednesday 3 Apr


On Monday the far southwest will probably have a dry day with sunny spells, but elsewhere it will be cloudier with showers. Windy for many, with a risk of gales in the northeast and east. Through much of the rest of the week high pressure is expected to dominate, bringing some fine and dry weather, especially in the east and southeast. However the far northwest will be breezier and cloudier, with occasional outbreaks of rain. During the final days of March and into the start of April the changeable conditions in the northwest are likely to become more widespread. Temperatures often close to normal in the north, but with some warmer periods elsewhere, particularly during the earlier part of this period.


Thursday 4 Apr - Thursday 18 Apr


During the first week of April it looks most likely that we will see changeable conditions more widely across the UK. Wet and windy weather may be interspersed with drier and brighter spells, with the most unsettled conditions still probable in the north. By the middle of the month confidence is low, however there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled, drier weather. Some wetter interludes are still likely at times, particularly in the northwest, and with showers perhaps coming up from the south at times. Temperatures overall probably a little warmer than average, but they may fall nearer to normal for a time early in the month.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Gavin D
20 March 2019 12:22:40

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Extended fine and settled weather next few weeks


_________________________________


Wednesday 20 March—Sunday 24 March


Becoming colder and more unsettled


Much of the UK will see mild and settled weather until Friday, with a cloudy warm sector lingering across the country at times. This will bring rather cloudy conditions for many today, and there will be some patchy rain or drizzle across Scotland and Northern Ireland. The best of the sunshine will be across central and eastern Britain, where it will be very mild for the time of year. Clear spells with occasional mist or fog patches across England and Wales tonight, but remaining breezier with outbreaks of rain in Scotland.


High pressure will linger just to the south of the UK on Thursday, maintaining largely dry conditions with sunny spells, although there could be a few spots of drizzle in the west. A slow-moving front will bring persistent rain at times to north-west Scotland, which will continue overnight, but it will remain very mild for all. A deep area of low pressure is expected to move to the north-west of Scotland on Friday, bringing strong winds to northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, while a cold front will push a band of increasingly patchy rain south-east across central and northern Britain. The best of the sunshine will be in southern and central areas. It will become colder in the north overnight, with hail, sleet and snow showers for western Scotland.


Winds will ease for all on Friday, with settled and dry weather for England and Wales, although the sunshine will be rather hazy. Further blustery wintry showers will affect Scotland, perhaps with the odd rumble of thunder. A cold night will follow with a frost in places. It will remain windy in the north on Sunday, with further showers or longer spells of rain, but dry and breezy with sunny spells in the south.


Monday 25 March—Sunday 31 March


High pressure dominating


Through next week, high pressure will dominate the weather across much of the country. Monday may start off on a chilly note across eastern Britain, perhaps with the odd shower, although high pressure will soon build in from the west, giving a dry and settled end to the day, and winds will become light. Some mist or fog may form overnight, and it will be rather chilly locally. These largely dry and settled conditions will be maintained on Tuesday and Wednesday, thanks to high pressure located right on top of the country. Although the nights may be cold with some fog patches, the days will be fine with a good deal of sunshine.


After midweek, high pressure may slip a little to the south or south-west of the UK, allowing fronts to bring cloud and occasional bands of rain to north-western areas; particularly across Scotland and Northern Ireland. It will become increasingly breezy here too, although winds will remain light elsewhere. It will remain on the mild side for all areas though, with south-westerly flows predominating. By the end of the week, the main alternative pattern is for low pressure to extend its grip more widely across the UK from the north-west, leading to windier and wetter conditions, particularly in the north.


Monday 1 April—Sunday 14 April


Fine, warm and largely dry


By the first week of April, it looks like high pressure will build more strongly north across the UK and indeed much of northern Europe. The widespread extent of high pressure will prevent Atlantic lows areas from making their traditional approach towards the UK, forcing them to skirt closer to Iceland. Therefore, there will be a lot of dry, calm weather across central and southern Britain in particular, while weak fronts could bring patchy rain to northern Britain at times, perhaps lingering close to north-west Scotland where the rain could be persistent. An isolated weak front could even bring a few spots of rain to England and Wales, interrupting the otherwise dry, fine and settled weather here.


With winds often from the south or south-west, temperatures will be above average for all, particularly across England and Wales where the strengthening sunshine will boost temperatures further.


As we look towards the middle of April, there is still a consistent signal for high pressure to remain quite extensive across and close to the UK. This should be more widespread across the UK and north-east Atlantic than early in the month, and so we expect it to become drier and calmer more widely, including across northern Britain. There is a risk of occasional short northerly airflows bringing colder bursts of air to the north and east of the country, but temperatures should still remain above average for all areas, with winds remaining light and a good deal of sunshine during the days. There is, however, some uncertainty regarding the exact orientation and location of the high, with a slight risk that low pressure becomes more influential towards the UK, as the main high pressure areas shifts further east towards Scandinavia.


Next Update


How far into April can we expect to see the fine and settled conditions last?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Solar Cycles
20 March 2019 12:32:46
Looking good on the beeb update. I pay far more attention to this than the awful MetO ones.
Gavin D
21 March 2019 12:15:33

Tuesday 26 Mar - Thursday 4 Apr


High pressure is expected to dominate at first, bringing largely settled weather with bright or sunny spells. However, weak fronts may bring more cloud and some rain to the far north where it will remain breezier. Patchy overnight frosts are likely but there should be a gradually warming trend for daytime temperatures. High pressure should gradually lose its influence towards the end of March. Southern and southeastern areas will remain mostly fine, though with some fog. Spells of rain and stronger winds are likely to spread from the northwest into central areas. Temperatures are generally expected to continue to rise, becoming very warm for some, whilst in the northwest they will remain nearer normal. Further frontal systems are expected to push in from the Atlantic for the start of April.


Friday 5 Apr - Friday 19 Apr


At the start of this period it looks most likely that we will see changeable conditions as spells of wet and windy weather spread from the west. Towards the middle of the month confidence is low; however there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled and drier weather. Some wetter interludes are still possible, particularly in the northwest, and also showers perhaps coming up from the south at times. Temperatures are likely to remain above normal throughout.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Gavin D
22 March 2019 09:50:49

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook



  • Several more fine days

  • Rain by the end of the month

  • April looking showery


Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers*  https://weathertrending.com/2019/03/22/john-hammond-month-ahead-all-sorts-april/


*Subscription is free but you must sign up to view

Gavin D
22 March 2019 12:25:52

Wednesday 27 Mar - Friday 5 Apr


Through the latter part of next week, high pressure will continue to dominate bringing widely settled weather. This will bring plenty of dry conditions with bright or sunny spells and light winds for most. Any rain is likely to be confined to the far north and northwest. Temperatures should be pleasantly warm at times, particularly in the south. As we head through next weekend and into the following week, many areas are likely to turn more unsettled. Cloudier, wetter and breezier conditions across the northwest are likely to spread southeastwards into more central and western areas. Temperatures are likely to also trend closer to average, with some colder interludes possible. However, many southern and southeastern areas could well stay largely dry with warm sunny spells.


Saturday 6 Apr - Saturday 20 Apr


At the start of this period it looks most likely that we will see changeable conditions as spells of wet and windy weather spread southeastwards across the UK. The most unsettled conditions are likely to be in the northwest, with more settled weather across southeastern areas. Temperatures should be near average for most. Towards the middle of the month confidence is low; however there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled and drier weather. Some wetter interludes are still possible, particularly in the northwest. It could well turn warm at times, particularly in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast


Gavin D
23 March 2019 11:23:08

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Mostly fine weather with a brief unsettled period


_________________________________


Saturday 23 March—Sunday 31 March


High pressure dominating


This weekend will see some briefly unsettled conditions, mainly in the north, as a frontal system moves northeast of Scotland bringing some stronger winds and scattered sharp showers to Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Further south it will stay largely dry and fine, however. Through next week, high pressure will dominate the weather across much of the country. Monday may start off on a chilly note across much of Britain, but clear skies and light winds will make for a settled day. This trend is expected to continue through the working week, with largely clear skies and light winds with increasingly mild afternoons as the week goes on.


By Thursday and Friday highs will likely be in the mid-to-upper teens across England. Overnight, widespread fog is expected, especially in the Midlands and East Anglia, although valleys in Wales and Scotland like see some fog too. This could become dense in places, resulting in some morning travel disruptions. The main exception to the fine and settled weather will be northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, where weak fronts will approach from the north throughout the week. The high to the south will keep the fronts from getting too close, but they will still bring in cloudy skies and patchy light rain with a moderate breeze. Over the weekend of the 30th and 31st the high pressure will gradually shift eastwards into Central Europe, which will allow a frontal system to move in from the northwest. This will likely bring rain to mostly northern and western counties, while central and eastern Britain stays mostly dry but becomes increasingly cloudy.


Monday 1 April—Sunday 7 April


Temporarily more unsettled, wetter, and windier


Following on from the previous weekend, Monday looks to see a very gradual shift in the pattern from high pressure dominating to more unsettled weather with low pressure in charge. The high will likely be sluggish to shift eastwards, so this transition is expected to be very gradually with western and northern areas becoming wet and windy one or two days before central and eastern areas do. Occasional fronts will move in, pushing ever further eastwards before dissipating.


Some strong winds are likely for Scotland and Northern Ireland at times Low pressure is expected to dive south into the western Mediterranean in the second half of the week and into the weekend. While this low is over the UK it will be rather showery across the country, but these will gradually shift southward as the low heads across France. But even after the low heads off to the south, a large low pressure trough will remain over the UK which will generally keep things unsettled. High pressure building in the east will strengthen through the end of the week and weekend, and herald things to come for the UK, although its impacts during the first week of April will likely be minimal.


Monday 8 April—Sunday 21 April


Fine, warm and largely dry


High pressure will gradually build over the UK and Central Europe, bringing a return of the settled weather from the end of March. Conditions will likely be settled, calm, and dry for most of the country, although once again the notable exception to this will be northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, where weak fronts will bring light rain and mostly cloudy skies. Overall high pressure is expected to be a major player in the weather for the rest of April, however there will likely be some day-to-day variations beyond the middle of the month. Strong high pressure building in the North Atlantic could lead to a wavier pattern over Europe, which will bring some dry, settled periods interspersed with some transient wetter spells as the high centre shifts slightly to the west or east, allowing some weak lows to move close.


There are good signals in place for mostly prolonged high pressure building in from the southwest, which will let up tap into some warmer African air. April is expected to be a generally above average month in terms of temperatures, with some very mild days with afternoon highs for much of the country in the mid-to-upper teens. Spring looks to be rearing its head at long last. There is a degree of uncertainty remaining for mid-to-late April on just how settled things will be. There is a risk that things could take a much stormier turn if high pressure shifts too far eastwards, allowing stronger frontal systems to push in. This is unlikely to result in any widespread and prolonged cold, however.


Next Update


Is winter truly finished for 2019, or might we see a few more cold snaps later in April?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Gavin D
23 March 2019 14:31:32

Thursday 28 Mar - Saturday 6 Apr


Through the latter part of next week, high pressure will continue to dominate bringing widely settled, if at times rather cloudy weather. That said, in any sunshine it will feel pleasantly warm, especially where winds are light. Any rain is likely to be confined to the far north and northwest. As we head through next weekend and into the following week, many areas are likely to turn more unsettled. Cloudier, wetter and breezier conditions across the northwest are likely to move southeastwards at times, but tend to fragment as they do so, meaning relatively little rain for parts of the south. Brighter, showery interludes will then affect the north at times. Temperatures are likely to trend close to average, with some colder interludes possible, particularly in the north.


Sunday 7 Apr - Sunday 21 Apr


At the start of this period it looks most likely that we will see changeable conditions as spells of wet and windy weather spread southeastwards across the UK. The most unsettled conditions are likely to be in the northwest, with more settled weather across southeastern areas. Temperatures should be near average for most. Towards the middle of the month confidence is low; however there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled and drier weather. Some wetter interludes are still possible, particularly in the northwest. It could well turn warm at times, particularly in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast  

Gavin D
24 March 2019 12:25:01

Friday 29 Mar - Sunday 7 Apr


On Friday and Saturday settled weather continues to prevail across central and southern parts, bringing dry but often cloudy weather. Any rain is likely to be confined to the north and northwest where it may be windy with a risk of gales. Going through the following week, many areas are likely to turn more generally unsettled. Cloudier, wetter and breezier conditions across the northwest are likely to move southeastwards at times, but tend to fragment as they do so, meaning relatively little rain for parts of the southeast. Brighter, showery interludes will also affect the north, with the showers bringing some hill snow here. Some warm spells in the south at first, otherwise temperatures are likely be around normal, with some colder interludes possible, particularly in the north.


Monday 8 Apr - Monday 22 Apr


At the start of this period it looks most likely that we will see changeable conditions as spells of wet and windy weather moving southeastwards across the UK. The most unsettled conditions are likely to be in the northwest, with more settled weather across southeastern areas. Temperatures should be near average for most. Towards the middle of the month confidence is low; however there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled and drier weather. Some wetter interludes are still possible, particularly in the northwest. It could well turn warm at times, particularly in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Retron
25 March 2019 04:55:34

Oops...

"Brits are set to sizzle in a blistering 26C spring heatwave.
Forecasters predict it could be one of the hottest ever - and last as long as June.
Weather Outlook's Brian Gaze said: "There is potential for the record to be challenged"."

Front page news on today's Daily Star, apparently!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs/the_papers


 


Leysdown, north Kent
Rob K
25 March 2019 07:11:43

Originally Posted by: Retron 


Oops...

"Brits are set to sizzle in a blistering 26C spring heatwave.
Forecasters predict it could be one of the hottest ever - and last as long as June.
Weather Outlook's Brian Gaze said: "There is potential for the record to be challenged"."

Front page news on today's Daily Star, apparently!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs/the_papers


 



Where’s that quote from, Brian? Are they recycling a quote from February?


Or is it a creative reworking of this from the latest Buzz? “The warmest day of the year (which was at the end of February) could be challenged if everything falls into place.”


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
25 March 2019 07:57:00

I read this thread and hoped they (BBC) would use the story for a lead into the weather forecast. 


Sadly not the case at the time I had the TV on. 


On another story they don't build ships like they used to. I noticed I think the infamous liner in Tromso https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9KE8sVz5p2Y&feature=player_embedded_uturn the other day but had no idea she would almost become a wreck a few days later in the North Sea storm with no name.


Someone might be in trouble for cutting corners on ceiling fitting too. 


Nick


Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Gavin D
25 March 2019 10:55:37

Weather Online May and June outlook


Mixed May


Mild June


Issued: Sunday 24th March 2019
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling


*May*



  • A mixed month.

  • Spells of dry weather, but some spells of showery weather too.

  • There could be some heavy showers, especially mid month.

  • Cool spells.

  • Probably best in east.



*June*




  • Ridge of high pressure is likely to bring a fair start.

  • Probably a drier than average month.

  • Driest in the south.

  • Milder for all too.


https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/seasonal-outlook.htm

Gavin D
25 March 2019 10:57:59

Weather Online April outlook


Valid from 31/03 to 27/04 2019


Issued: Sunday 24th March 2019
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling


Chilly overall, mixed with risk of rain, sleet and snow, milder later - This looks to have been left on in error

Indications are that April is going to be dominated by higher pressure overall. This is likely to be bringing dry weather over many areas, but some rain to the north. Indications of a more unsettled end to the month, perhaps windy as well.

*31/3/19 - 6/4/19*

Ridge of high pressure to the south, mainly fair here. Risk of rain at times in Scotland. Windy Scotland.

*7/4/19 - 13/4/19*

Weak ridge of higher pressure build again. Dry for most, sunny spells. Always a risk of some rain in western and northern Scotland though.

*14/4/19 - 20/4/19*

Higher pressure may hold with sunny spells and fair conditions. Mild for all. Mostly dry.

*21/4/19 - 30/4/19*

A moe unsettled end to the month. Chilly, wet and windy. Most rain to north.

**ends**


https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/month-ahead.htm

Gavin D
25 March 2019 11:32:11

Saturday 30 Mar - Monday 8 Apr


After a fine and dry start on Saturday, especially across the south, cloud and outbreaks of rain across central parts will move erratically southeastwards, becoming light and patchy as it does so. Further north, there'll be a mixture of sunny spells and blustery showers, these possibly turning wintry over the hills. Risk of gales in the north. There will probably be a good deal of dry and sunny weather on Sunday after a chilly start in most places. Becoming gradually more changeable into next week, with either a band of rain continuing to move southeast early on, before frontal systems arrive from the Atlantic later. Some warm spells in the south at first, otherwise temperatures are likely to be around normal, with some colder interludes possible, particularly in the north.


Tuesday 9 Apr - Tuesday 23 Apr


At the start of this period it looks most likely that we will see changeable conditions as spells of wet and windy weather moving southeastwards across the UK. The most unsettled conditions are likely to be in the northwest, with more settled weather across southeastern areas. Temperatures should be near average for most. Towards the middle of the month confidence is low; however there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled and drier weather. Some wetter interludes are still possible, particularly in the northwest. It could well turn warm at times, particularly in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast


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