The outlook is more mixed, however I'd not be surprised to see very warm or hot weather returning at short notice. 

---

GFS shows repeated plumes heading north over E Poland to Scandinavia, backed by forecast temps here http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4 . Just a bit further west than forecast and we could have another hot spell.

 

---

Boy it’s quiet in here. Is the output that boring?  

---

Boy it’s quiet in here. Is the output that boring?  

Not boring; just not very good if it's dry, warm and settled weather you're looking for. Really poor 12z ECMWF in particular this evening. Lots of northern blocking and the consequent southerly tracking jet. GEM not quite as bad but still poor. Let's just hope the ensembles are better!

very nice. should keep everyone happy.

 

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

 

---

This morning's GFS and ECM output have LP in the area of the UK for the next week or so - looks localised and showery rather than major depressions pushing fronts across the country. Fax chart and MetO forecasts have brought in a more well-defined showery low over England for Sunday/Monday - the way this has become more prominent over the last few days' forecasts suggests to me it will continue to develop.

But the end of the ECM and GFS runs look sunny and hot leading up to the next bank holiday. Two warm and sunny BHs in a row? Surely not!

---

This morning's GFS and ECM output have LP in the area of the UK for the next week or so - looks localised and showery rather than major depressions pushing fronts across the country. Fax chart and MetO forecasts have brought in a more well-defined showery low over England for Sunday/Monday - the way this has become more prominent over the last few days' forecasts suggests to me it will continue to develop.

But the end of the ECM and GFS runs look sunny and hot leading up to the next bank holiday. Two warm and sunny BHs in a row? Surely not!

Got a week off in 2 weeks time so the graph showing a steady rise and drying out with more members going for the warming up direction looking good for me.    Would be amazing if we get another hot BH weekend again and another 3 days hat trick on sunny days?

This morning's GFS and ECM output have LP in the area of the UK for the next week or so - looks localised and showery rather than major depressions pushing fronts across the country. Fax chart and MetO forecasts have brought in a more well-defined showery low over England for Sunday/Monday - the way this has become more prominent over the last few days' forecasts suggests to me it will continue to develop.

But the end of the ECM and GFS runs look sunny and hot leading up to the next bank holiday. Two warm and sunny BHs in a row? Surely not!

A long way off but one to watch and like you say two sunny and warm BH are indeed rare beasts. Let’s hope we see an uptick in Solar activity for the summer at least, another summer of extensive NB alongside a southerly tracking jet is just too much to bare.

The models seemed to have flipped back for changeable weather through to next weekend with the Royal Wedding in a week's time Is there any consensus on whether the current mixed and changeable conditions will continue pretty well for the foreseeable future to include next weekend or are we moving towards a dryer and warmer spell ?

The models seemed to have flipped back for changeable weather through to next weekend with the Royal Wedding in a week's time Is there any consensus on whether the current mixed and changeable conditions will continue pretty well for the foreseeable future to include next weekend or are we moving towards a dryer and warmer spell ?

 

The 00Z GFS seems to keep high pressure in control in the south much of the time, and has some very decent warmth on offer by the end of the run. 06Z is on the way out so we will see if the theme continues,

 

 

Having said that, the 19th looks like the wettest day of the lot on the ensemble!

---

 

 

 

Tasty!

 

(and toasty!)

 

---

Quite a turn around in the past few days just as it looked like high pressure would build north of the UK it now looks like it will be lower pressure instead meaning a settled spell for the UK

Looks OK there.

---

GFS and ECM have the Azores High or a cell split off from it close to the UK for pretty well all their runs, so mostly dry and settled. But the HP is rather variable, sometimes broad, sometimes narrow, sometimes up towards Scotland, sometimes down over the Channel.

So I don't exclude frontal rain brusing past the NW nor a spell of cold NE winds affecting the SE, both of which can make those affected  wonder what happened to the HP. Need to watch developments day by day.

---

Yes the outlook is becoming increasingly settled it seems with HP much more dominant than it was looking a few days ago. Even this weekend looks milder and drier than it did.

---

The coming week or so looks like pretty standard late spring / early summer fare with. NW/SE split less settled cooler Northwest under Atlantic influence. More generally settled and drier southeast with more influence from the Azores high nudging into continental Europe.

---

Yes the outlook is becoming increasingly settled it seems with HP much more dominant than it was looking a few days ago. Even this weekend looks milder and drier than it did.

Not at this point!