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Offline Global Warming  
#201 Posted : 31 December 2015 14:26:28(UTC)
Global Warming

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This month has been warmer than several Octobers and one May since 1990:

December 2015 9.8C (est)

October 1982 7.8C
October 1983 8.5C
October 2003 9.2C
October 2008 9.7C
May 1996 9.1C

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#202 Posted : 31 December 2015 14:28:20(UTC)
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Great post here from the Met Office with all the stats on the rain and heat this month

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2015/early-dec-stats

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#203 Posted : 31 December 2015 14:44:14(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle Go to Quoted Post

 

A very pertinent point. I find your data analyses very useful and interesting GW.

Thanks very much for your comments.

Just calculated the mean minimum temperature for Bournemouth Hurn this month and it is 9.4C. Compare that to the 1981-2010 mean which is 1.6C and you have an anomaly of 7.8C.

The 1981-2010 mean maximum for December at Hurn is 8.7C. So the nights have been warmer this year than the days normally are in December. A total of 16 days in December had a minimum temperature in double figures at Hurn.

The average number of air frosts in December at Hurn is 12.2 days. This year - zero. Lowest temperature was 0.3C at 0600 on the 9th.

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Bertwhistle  
#204 Posted : 31 December 2015 15:53:16(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

 

Thanks very much for your comments.

Just calculated the mean minimum temperature for Bournemouth Hurn this month and it is 9.4C. Compare that to the 1981-2010 mean which is 1.6C and you have an anomaly of 7.8C.

The 1981-2010 mean maximum for December at Hurn is 8.7C. So the nights have been warmer this year than the days normally are in December. A total of 16 days in December had a minimum temperature in double figures at Hurn.

The average number of air frosts in December at Hurn is 12.2 days. This year - zero. Lowest temperature was 0.3C at 0600 on the 9th.

Totally and utterly amazing. I remember as a child being fascinated by the Rickmansworth (Herts) frost hollow but I don't know if there are recordings from that site anymore. Benson comes up from time to time and also a Surrey site- might be Redhill. Is Hurn unique because of its sandy soil insulation? Is it classed as a frost hollow the way the others are?

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Remember Finlake!

Offline Global Warming  
#205 Posted : 31 December 2015 16:07:03(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle Go to Quoted Post

 

Totally and utterly amazing. I remember as a child being fascinated by the Rickmansworth (Herts) frost hollow but I don't know if there are recordings from that site anymore. Benson comes up from time to time and also a Surrey site- might be Redhill. Is Hurn unique because of its sandy soil insulation? Is it classed as a frost hollow the way the others are?

My understanding is that it is the sandy soil at Hurn which is the main reason for the low minima. So not a frost hollow in the true sense of the phrase as the land is relatively flat at Hurn (hence why the airport is there). Redhill was a typical frost hollow, the name gives it away. But this site closed some time ago. Off the top of my head I can't recall the exact characteristics of Benson.

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Sevendust  
#206 Posted : 31 December 2015 17:04:05(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

 

My understanding is that it is the sandy soil at Hurn which is the main reason for the low minima. So not a frost hollow in the true sense of the phrase as the land is relatively flat at Hurn (hence why the airport is there). Redhill was a typical frost hollow, the name gives it away. But this site closed some time ago. Off the top of my head I can't recall the exact characteristics of Benson.

Correct. I've been there a few times and it's low lying but flat and like much of the New Forest area it has sandy soil

Dave

Alton - deep in the Hampshire Alps

Offline Sevendust  
#207 Posted : 31 December 2015 17:05:20(UTC)
Sevendust

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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

This month has been warmer than several Octobers and one May since 1990:

December 2015 9.8C (est)

October 1982 7.8C
October 1983 8.5C
October 2003 9.2C
October 2008 9.7C
May 1996 9.1C

Never realised that was such a cold month.

What I do remember is the incessant rain!

Dave

Alton - deep in the Hampshire Alps

Offline Bertwhistle  
#208 Posted : 31 December 2015 18:28:21(UTC)
Bertwhistle

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Originally Posted by: Sevendust Go to Quoted Post

 

Never realised that was such a cold month.

What I do remember is the incessant rain!

Just a typo- 1992 was that cold. 1982 was something of nothing (10.1)

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Remember Finlake!

Offline KevBrads1  
#209 Posted : 31 December 2015 18:40:50(UTC)
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It's hard to put this month in words because it's so off the scale. For me, it's beyond extraordinary. 

Unbelievable, climatologically ridiculous.....

The current CET mean minimum is warmer than any CET minimum recorded for April!

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

Offline Bertwhistle  
#210 Posted : 31 December 2015 18:49:01(UTC)
Bertwhistle

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Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 Go to Quoted Post

It's hard to put this month in words because it's so off the scale. For me, it's beyond extraordinary. 

Unbelievable, climatologically ridiculous.....

The current CET mean minimum is warmer than any CET minimum recorded for April!

Goodness me, you're right, Kev; and only 43 out of 138 Mays have been warmer- so it has been warmer by night than about two thirds of the Mays!

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Remember Finlake!

Offline KevBrads1  
#211 Posted : 01 January 2016 08:10:29(UTC)
KevBrads1

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Originally Posted by: Retron Go to Quoted Post

 

How about the trend line on this? (Source)

Of course, it just so happens that the 30-day period starts just as we had a colder blip, but it really makes for remarkable viewing - a spring-like temperature rise just as we're heading into the depths of winter!

Take out any indication that was December, never in a million years you would guess that was December!

SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

Offline Global Warming  
#212 Posted : 01 January 2016 11:11:18(UTC)
Global Warming

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Final Hadley figure for December is 9.68C

So 1.6C above the previous December record of 8.1C. Needless to say no one in the competition got even close to this figure.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2015

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#213 Posted : 01 January 2016 11:31:07(UTC)
Global Warming

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Here are the charts for December. Not much to add really to what has already been said in this thread. The numbers are truly astonishing. The record has been beaten by 1.6C. Warmest December for at least more than 350 years.

In the CET area the mean minimum and maximum temperature anomalies were very similar. However, the mean maximum was 1.8C above the previous record whereas the minimum was only 0.9C above the previous record.

Every single day in December was above average when looking at the maximum, minimum and mean temperature figures. 5 CET date records including 4 in a row.

SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#214 Posted : 01 January 2016 11:44:39(UTC)
Global Warming

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Here is the CET record breakers page. We have only beaten two of the three high temperature records for December.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_record_breakers.html

Highest maximum CET 15.3C 19/12/2015. Previous record 14.7C 23/12/1977

Highest minimum CET 11.9C 12/12/1994. Highest in 2015 was 11.0C on the 17th

Highest mean CET 13.1C 19/12/2015. Previous record 12.9C 12/12/1994

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline KevBrads1  
#215 Posted : 01 January 2016 11:55:50(UTC)
KevBrads1

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Location: Irlam

9.7

Warmer than any March, warmer than any November bar 1994, warmer than the previous November and that was the joint 3rd warmest November, the mean minimum warmer than any April mean minimum.

It is so off the scale, it's unreal, I feel like when the announcement was made this piece of music should be played with the timpanis banging after each record it has broken is made.

Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site

http://www.youtube.com/c...z2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists

Offline LeedsLad123  
#216 Posted : 01 January 2016 12:00:01(UTC)
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Man
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December 2015 here had an average high of 11.7C and an average low of 6.1C. Overall mean 9.0C.

March 2012 had an average high of 13.5C and an average low of 2.2C (which is actually 0.3C below the LTA). Overall mean 7.8C.

I think it's going to be very hard or even impossible for March to record a higher mean, simply because in March, warm weather is almost always associated with high pressure, so warm days + cold nights, as opposed to December 2015's ridiculous 15C nights and 11C days.

Edited by user 01 January 2016 12:02:53(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Offline Global Warming  
#217 Posted : 01 January 2016 12:01:28(UTC)
Global Warming

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We have now set CET records for 7 of the 12 months in the period since 1994. This includes all months between July and December.

SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Edited by user 01 January 2016 12:33:11(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline springsunshine  
#218 Posted : 01 January 2016 12:17:59(UTC)
springsunshine

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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

We have now set CET records for 7 of the 12 months in the period since 1994. This includes all months between July and December.

Thanks GW. I was on the understanding that March 2012 was also a record warm March??

It would be eresting to see if the record warmest May and June will ever be topped,both standing at 15.1c and 18.2c respectively.

SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Offline Global Warming  
#219 Posted : 01 January 2016 12:29:32(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: springsunshine Go to Quoted Post

 

Thanks GW. I was on the understanding that March 2012 was also a record warm March??

It would be eresting to see if the record warmest May and June will ever be topped,both standing at 15.1c and 18.2c respectively.

March 2012 is only the 4th warmest on record. Warmest is 1957 at 9.2C. Forgot to mark that as red - will amend now.

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#220 Posted : 01 January 2016 12:31:40(UTC)
Global Warming

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Oldest monthly CET record still standing is February with 7.9C set in 1779

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
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