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Offline NeilM  
#61 Posted : 01 March 2015 22:06:52(UTC)
NeilM

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 936
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Walney, Barrow

Damn February and it's less than adequate number of days.

 

I'll go for 6.46C

Walney Island, Barrow - 0m asl

My New website, www.omuiri-photography.co.uk, please visit, feedback welcome.

Offline Saint Snow  
#62 Posted : 02 March 2015 09:24:27(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 43,868
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Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

Ahhh, but you know how fickle the models are and the fat lady hasn't even begun to sing yet! 

 

I jumped 23 places after Feb - I expect to fall at least that far after March

Trump on Jeffrey Epstein:

"I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it — Jeffrey enjoys his social life."

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline ARTzeman  
#63 Posted : 02 March 2015 11:27:49(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,067
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley     6.8c.     Anomaly    2.2c.    Provisional  to   1st.

N-W                        6.78c.    Anomaly   0.49c.

My Mean                  6.2c.     Anomaly   -1.2c.

 

That is all that is updated.   

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#64 Posted : 02 March 2015 16:25:02(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,067
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Metcheck online again.   5.20c.   Anomaly   -0.96c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Caz  
#65 Posted : 02 March 2015 21:05:29(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,408
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow Go to Quoted Post

I jumped 23 places after Feb - I expect to fall at least that far after March

Don't you just love the British weather!!!  

I was top in January, got it spot on again in February and dropped 19 places!  Penalties for getting away from the British winter.    

Never mind, we have another 9 months to score more points. 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Sevendust  
#66 Posted : 03 March 2015 05:37:58(UTC)
Sevendust

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 55,017
Location: Alton, Hampshire

Forget! Late guess 6.8'c
Dave

Alton - deep in the Hampshire Alps

Offline ARTzeman  
#67 Posted : 03 March 2015 11:25:26(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,067
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley     5.6c.    Anomaly       1.0c.

Metcheck                 4.50c.  Anomaly      -1.06c.

N-W                No  Display

Mount   Sorrel   No change  and no response to E-mails.....

My    Mean       5.0c.    Anomaly    -1.66c.

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#68 Posted : 03 March 2015 12:45:24(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,067
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

N-W Temperature Tracker is at the moment       5.49c.    Anomaly    -0.82c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Online Quantum  
#69 Posted : 03 March 2015 20:46:46(UTC)
Quantum

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 27/11/2009(UTC)
Posts: 15,585

7.7C

Tactical voting information during the general election campaign for Leave voters

https://brexitalliance.blogspot.com/

@_BrexitAlliance

Offline lanky  
#70 Posted : 04 March 2015 06:51:51(UTC)
lanky

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,570
Man

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

Don't you just love the British weather!!!  

I was top in January, got it spot on again in February and dropped 19 places!  Penalties for getting away from the British winter.    

Never mind, we have another 9 months to score more points. 

I made it 10

I had the same problem of going away over a month-end last year so I just PM'd GW before I left. The downside was I had to do my guesstimate 14 days before the due date.

To be fair to everyone else, it can be a big advantage to be late with your guess and I think it's right to apply a big penalty (or even treat them as missing), For instance anyone putting in a March figure now would have the advantage of all the official "upping" of the warm spell being forecast just in the last day or two which wasn't so prominent in the models at the end of Feb. So I think it's a case or "rules is rules " for these late guesses (IMO only)

 

Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Offline Saint Snow  
#71 Posted : 04 March 2015 11:31:13(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 43,868
Man
Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

Never mind, we have another 9 months to score more points. 

 

Pssst, Caz! The idea is to score fewer 'points'

 

Trump on Jeffrey Epstein:

"I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it — Jeffrey enjoys his social life."

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline ARTzeman  
#72 Posted : 04 March 2015 11:43:41(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,067
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met  Office Hadley       5.2c.      Anomaly       0.6c.      Provisional  to  3rd.

Metcheck                    4.53c     Anomaly      -1.63c.

N-W                           5.25c.    Anomaly      -1.06c.

My  Mean                    4.8c.     Anomaly      -2.8c.

Caz                             ??

  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Caz  
#73 Posted : 04 March 2015 19:28:24(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,408
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: lanky Go to Quoted Post

I made it 10

I had the same problem of going away over a month-end last year so I just PM'd GW before I left. The downside was I had to do my guesstimate 14 days before the due date.

To be fair to everyone else, it can be a big advantage to be late with your guess and I think it's right to apply a big penalty (or even treat them as missing), For instance anyone putting in a March figure now would have the advantage of all the official "upping" of the warm spell being forecast just in the last day or two which wasn't so prominent in the models at the end of Feb. So I think it's a case or "rules is rules " for these late guesses (IMO only)

    You're quite right it is ten, but Saint was saying his guess for March was naff and I meant he still had a further nine more guesses.  That's the problem with posts that can only quote once, rather than showing the whole conversation.  But it makes it interesting! 

I absolutely agree with the fairness of the penalty system and I'd rather be included late than miss the competition altogether - it's the taking part that counts, so I'm happy!  I really should have pm'd my guess but all my thoughts were with the sun drenched beach waiting for me and a bikini soaked Pina colada - Saint's fault!  Anyway, in my case, it makes no difference whether my guesses are early or late because they're all plucked out of thin air. 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Caz  
#74 Posted : 04 March 2015 19:29:39(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,408
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow Go to Quoted Post

Pssst, Caz! The idea is to score fewer 'points'

 

    Doh!  Blonde, senior and female!  Nuff said? 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Caz  
#75 Posted : 04 March 2015 19:32:51(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,408
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

Met  Office Hadley       5.2c.      Anomaly       0.6c.      Provisional  to  3rd.

Metcheck                    4.53c     Anomaly      -1.63c.

N-W                           5.25c.    Anomaly      -1.06c.

My  Mean                    4.8c.     Anomaly      -2.8c.

Caz                             ??

  

    Well, they're all a little too high for my liking at the moment Art!  I'm on the slippery slope down the table but at least I've experienced the dizzy heights of the top spot! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline Whether Idle  
#76 Posted : 04 March 2015 20:26:19(UTC)
Whether Idle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 03/09/2006(UTC)
Posts: 8,237
Man
Location: Dover

Where is the "league table" available to view?

With model watching its as much about remembering to forget things as it is forgetting to remember.
Offline Caz  
#77 Posted : 04 March 2015 21:40:55(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,408
Woman
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle Go to Quoted Post

Where is the "league table" available to view?

GW always posts the updated table at the end of each month, so the latest one is February's.  Hopefully  this is a link to the February table

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun of the monthly CET competition. Last chance to join in the yearly comp is 2nd March. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.

Offline ARTzeman  
#78 Posted : 05 March 2015 12:19:46(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,067
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley         5.2c.         Anomaly       0.8c.   Provisional  to  4th.

Metcheck                    4.54c.        Anomaly      -1.62c.

N-W                           5.29c.        Anomaly      -1.02c.

My    Mean                  4.8c.         Anomaly      -2.8c.

                  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#79 Posted : 05 March 2015 13:56:38(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,798
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

GW always posts the updated table at the end of each month, so the latest one is February's.  Hopefully  this is a link to the February table

I'll leave the February stats sticked for a few more  days so everyone's had a chance to read it. :-)

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Whether Idle  
#80 Posted : 05 March 2015 19:10:39(UTC)
Whether Idle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 03/09/2006(UTC)
Posts: 8,237
Man
Location: Dover

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

GW always posts the updated table at the end of each month, so the latest one is February's.  Hopefully  this is a link to the February table

Thanks Caz

With model watching its as much about remembering to forget things as it is forgetting to remember.
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