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Offline Hungry Tiger  
#121 Posted : 24 February 2014 23:20:58(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Posts: 24,718
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

I have not had a chance to do my own CET calculations this month but based on the provisional Hadley data the CET should finish around 6.28C. So even once the month end adjustments are taken into account I would expect us to still finish at 6C or more.

The overall winter CET should also finish just above 6C. So still on course for the 12th warmest on record in the CET series.

Cheers Simon - quite seriously mild this is. I have to say when I went for 6C I thought I was sticking my neck out big time and looks like it will be even more than that .

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Gavin S.

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Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline ARTzeman  
#122 Posted : 25 February 2014 11:11:16(UTC)
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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.2c.     Anomaly       2.5c.  provisional to  24th.

Metcheck                   5.85c.   Anomaly        1.65c.

N-W                           6.8c.   Anomaly          2.61c.

Mount Sorrel               6.20c.  Anomaly         2.00c.

My  Mean                    5.9c.

Annual   Mean             5.8c.     

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Saint Snow  
#123 Posted : 25 February 2014 15:34:28(UTC)
Saint Snow

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Ah well, another rubbish prediction from me - and other year amongst the cellar-dwellars in the competition

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trump on Jeffrey Epstein:

"I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it — Jeffrey enjoys his social life."

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline ARTzeman  
#124 Posted : 26 February 2014 11:35:53(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley  6.2c.       Anomaly      2.5c.   Provisional to  25th.

Metccheck            5.85c.      Anomaly        1.65c.

N-W                     6.84c.      Anomaly        2.65c.

Mount  Sorrel        6.20c.      Anomaly        2.00c

My Mean               5.9c.

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#125 Posted : 27 February 2014 11:21:46(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        6.3c.       Anomaly      2.5c.   provisional  to  26th.

Metcheck                    5.8c.       Anomaly      1.66c.

N-W                           6.83c.     Anomaly       2.64c.

Mount Sorrel               6.23c      Anomaly       2.03c

My   Mean                   5.9c.

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline cowman  
#126 Posted : 27 February 2014 13:25:23(UTC)
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My CET looks abit sick this month.
Offline Hungry Tiger  
#127 Posted : 27 February 2014 14:23:06(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Gavin S.

UserPostedImage

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline ARTzeman  
#128 Posted : 27 February 2014 14:48:23(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

 

Ally Pally Snowman    +    Marc       Both in the running at the moment.....

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#129 Posted : 28 February 2014 11:02:34(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

MET OFFICE HADLEY           6.3c           Anomaly        2.5c.     Provisional to 27th.

Metcheck                            5.8c.          Anomaly          1.66c.

N-W                                    6.83c         Anomaly          2.64c.

Mount Sorrel                         6.19c.       Anomaly          1.98c.

My Mean                                5.9c.  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Gavin P  
#130 Posted : 01 March 2014 11:49:47(UTC)
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CET officially comes out at 6.2;

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

The midest February since 2002 - January was the "coldest" month this winter at at 5.7.

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://gavsweathervids.com/

Offline Global Warming  
#131 Posted : 01 March 2014 13:45:57(UTC)
Global Warming

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The CET to two decimals was 6.17C. The 28th was the coldest day of the month at 4.0C

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2014

Congratulations to Darren S and marting who had the correct prediction this month

The winter CET finished at 6.07C which as expected is the 12th warmest winter in the CET series since 1659

Here are the top 12 winter CET's:

6.77C 1869
6.53C 1834
6.50C 1989
6.43C 2007
6.43C 1975
6.33C 1686
6.23C 1990
6.20C 1796
6.13C 1935
6.10C 1998
6.10C 1734
6.07C 2014

These are the only winters with a CET above 6C

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Hungry Tiger  
#132 Posted : 02 March 2014 10:56:20(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,718
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

The CET to two decimals was 6.17C. The 28th was the coldest day of the month at 4.0C

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2014

Congratulations to Darren S and marting who had the correct prediction this month

The winter CET finished at 6.07C which as expected is the 12th warmest winter in the CET series since 1659

Here are the top 12 winter CET's:

6.77C 1869
6.53C 1834
6.50C 1989
6.43C 2007
6.43C 1975
6.33C 1686
6.23C 1990
6.20C 1796
6.13C 1935
6.10C 1998
6.10C 1734
6.07C 2014

These are the only winters with a CET above 6C

Thanks Simon.

Gavin S.

UserPostedImage

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Global Warming  
#133 Posted : 02 March 2014 17:20:27(UTC)
Global Warming

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Posts: 6,108

Here are the final charts for February and winter.

The most interesting statistic of the winter is that the minimum CET only fell below zero on three occasions and two of those were -0.1C and -0.2C. All three were in January. There were no negative minimum CETs in either December or February. I am not sure this has ever happened before. A quick flick through the minimum CET series which goes back to 1878 does not reveal any other winters with only 3 negative minimum CET days. 

Frost was definitely notable by its absence this year. Although I did manage to record 12 air frosts over the winter the coldest night was -2.3C and that was the only minimum that went below -1.2C.  

Even in the very mild winter of 1989/90 the minimum CET fell below zero on 7 occasions although 4 of those were in the first half of December. For January and February there were only 3 negative minimum CETs with two of those no lower than -0.4C so very similar to January and February of this year.

1971/2 was also an interesting winter. There were 9 minimum CETs less than zero but only 1 of those was lower than -0.7C (which was 1 Feb with -7.6C).

The other notable feature is how consistent the CET has been all winter with no cold spells or exceptionally mild spells. The mean CET has been close to 6C right the way through with just a bit of a milder spell in mid December.

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Edited by user 02 March 2014 17:22:39(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#134 Posted : 02 March 2014 20:20:41(UTC)
Global Warming

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Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,108

Here is the February update for the annual CET competition. Still very close at the top of the table but Martyn has moved into the lead on his own.

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Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Gavin P  
#135 Posted : 02 March 2014 20:38:31(UTC)
Gavin P

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United Kingdom

Thanks GW.

Nice to be moving the "right" way.

Rural West Northants 120m asl

Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://gavsweathervids.com/

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#136 Posted : 03 March 2014 03:31:16(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Posts: 24,718
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Cheers Simon.

I got a few points there - that's good. I was a bit disappointed to miss it though. At one point I thought I was going to hit it bang on.

Its all good fun - Thanks for those stats.

What an amazing winter it was in a lot of ways.

 

Gavin S.

UserPostedImage

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Ally Pally Snowman  
#137 Posted : 03 March 2014 09:10:06(UTC)
Ally Pally Snowman

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Location: Bishop's Stortford, Hertfordshire

Just 0.08c off the lead. I'm going to need a very mild March to stay that close. Thanks GW for all your hard work amazing effort you put into this.

Edicius81  
#138 Posted : 03 March 2014 12:30:06(UTC)
Guest

Rank: Guest

Joined: 19/01/2010(UTC)
Posts: 6,714

Thanks GW for the competition as well as the great stats.
Offline wallaw  
#139 Posted : 03 March 2014 20:25:27(UTC)
wallaw

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Location: Stockton-on-Tees

Thanks as always GW, great stats.
Ian

Stockton-on-Tees

Offline Gusty  
#140 Posted : 05 March 2014 11:45:04(UTC)
Gusty

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Location: Folkestone

Thanks Simon. Great stuff

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

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https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/

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