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Offline ARTzeman  
#101 Posted : 15 February 2014 12:14:28(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

I did find a page with January percentages on  weathercast.co.uk     Monthly review had good information.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#102 Posted : 15 February 2014 12:30:52(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley....... Still awaiting update.

Metcheck              5.75c.   Anomaly    1.55c.

N-W                      6.19c.   Anomaly    1.99c.

Mount Sorrel          5.40c.   Anomaly    1.20c.

My   Mean              5.0c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#103 Posted : 16 February 2014 11:49:33(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley    5.4c.        Anomaly       1.6c.   Provisional  to  15th.

Metcheck                5.76c.      Anomaly        1.76c.

N-W                       6.14c       Anomaly         1.94c

Mount Sorrel           5.37c       Anomaly          1.17c

My  Mean                5.1c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#104 Posted : 17 February 2014 11:42:27(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,164
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley   5.4c.    Anomaly      1.7c.    provisional to   16th.

Metcheck              5.77c.    Anomaly     1.57c.

N-W                     6.14c.   Anomaly       1.94c.

Mount Sorrel        5.34c.    Anomaly       1.14c.

My Mean              5.0c.

 My  Annual Mean   5.4c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#105 Posted : 18 February 2014 11:54:13(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley    5.5c.   Anomaly   1.8c.    provisional to  17th.

Metcheck                5.78c.  Anomaly   1.58c.

N-W                       6.23c.  Anomaly    2.04c.

Mount Sorrel           5.48c.   Anomaly    1.28c.

My Mean                 5.2c.

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#106 Posted : 19 February 2014 12:01:22(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley   5.6c.      Anomaly      2.0c.      provisional to 18th

Metcheck              5.79c.     Anomaly      1.59c.

N-W                     6.32.       Anomaly      2.13c.

Mount Sorrel         5.58c.     Anomaly      1.38c.

My  Mean              5.3c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#107 Posted : 20 February 2014 12:24:41(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley           5.7c.     Anomaly    2.1c.    Provisional to   19th.

Metcheck                       5.80c.   Anomaly    1.60c.

N-W                              6.41c.   Anomaly    2.22c.

Mount  Sorrel                5.80c.    Anomaly    1.60c.

My Mean                       5.4c.  

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#108 Posted : 20 February 2014 20:18:39(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,841
Location: South Cambridgeshire

I'd love to hit it square on.

5.7C atm.

I went for 6.

It looks like staying mild as well.

5.7 atm.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline ARTzeman  
#109 Posted : 21 February 2014 11:15:10(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley  5.9c.   Anomaly 2.2c. Provisional to 20th

Metcheck              5.81c.  Anomaly 1.61c.

N-W                     6.53c.  Anomaly  2.34c.

Mount Sorrel         5.79c.  Anomaly  1.59c.

My Mean               5.6c.

 

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#110 Posted : 22 February 2014 11:12:40(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley     5.9c.     Anomaly      2.2c.       provisional   to 21st.

Metcheck                5.82c.    Anomaly      1.62c.

N-W                       6.49c.    Anomaly       2.23c.

Mount Sorrel           5.78c.    Anomaly       1.58c.

My  Mean                5.5c.  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#111 Posted : 23 February 2014 11:09:07(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

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Posts: 26,164
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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley    5.9c.      Anomaly     2.3c.    Provisional  to  22nd.

Metcheck                5.83c.    Anomaly     1.63c.

N-W                        6.53c.   Anomaly      2.34c.

My   Mean                5.6c.

 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Stormchaser  
#112 Posted : 23 February 2014 11:51:45(UTC)
Stormchaser

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Location: West Hants

Extrapolating from the provisional Hadley figure to 22nd Feb using GFS raw data leaves us almost dead-on 6*C for the final figure.

Not sure how much of a correction is then likely to occur - perhaps only 0.1*C or so?

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :)

Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports

2018's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 30.9*C 8th July | T-Min: -7.7*C 28th Feb | Wettest Day: 19.2mm 14th October | Ice Days: 4 (28 Feb - 2 Mar & 18 Mar)

Keep Calm and Forecast On

Offline ARTzeman  
#113 Posted : 23 February 2014 12:07:47(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Gusty and  Hungry  Tiger will be happy with that... 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#114 Posted : 23 February 2014 12:48:08(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Posts: 24,841
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

Gusty and  Hungry  Tiger will be happy with that... 

I feel well pleased now.

5.9C. Just 0.1C to go.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#115 Posted : 24 February 2014 10:44:24(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Location: South Cambridgeshire

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline ARTzeman  
#116 Posted : 24 February 2014 11:54:10(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 26,164
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met office Hadley       6.1c      Anomaly      2.4c.     provisional  to 23rd.

Metcheck                  5.84c.   Anomaly       1.64c.

N-W                         6.69c.   Anomaly       2.5c.

Mount Sorrel             6.08c.   Anomaly       1.88c.

My Mean                   5.7c.    

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline ARTzeman  
#117 Posted : 24 February 2014 11:59:04(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

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Posts: 26,164
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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

 

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

 

TWO People below

TWO People above

   

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#118 Posted : 24 February 2014 19:20:02(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

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Posts: 24,841
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

 

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

 

TWO People below

TWO People above

   

Whatever it ends up as - I'll be close, which is good.

 

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#119 Posted : 24 February 2014 19:21:50(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,841
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Very much on the mild side Gavin. Latest output this morning supports a CET for the second half of February of 7C. That would push the overall mean for the month to just above 6C.

If that verifies the CET for the winter as a whole would finish at just about exactly 6C which is 1.5C above the 1971-2000 mean.

Odds on now for the warmest winter since 2006/7.

The winter CET has only exceeded 6C on six occasions since 1900 with all bar one of them since 1975.

Prior to 1900 the winter CET exceeded 6C on five occasions.

So this winter could be the 12th warmest on record in the CET series.

There sure will be some interesting stats crunching when this winter ends on Saturday. You've been bang on with this month coming in extremely mild for its last couple of weeks.

 

Gavin S.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.

Offline Global Warming  
#120 Posted : 24 February 2014 22:08:23(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,158

I have not had a chance to do my own CET calculations this month but based on the provisional Hadley data the CET should finish around 6.28C. So even once the month end adjustments are taken into account I would expect us to still finish at 6C or more.

The overall winter CET should also finish just above 6C. So still on course for the 12th warmest on record in the CET series.

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