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Offline Gavin P  
#141 Posted : 27 September 2013 10:39:46(UTC)
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Hadley ticks us up to 14.0;


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html


But of course, with downwards corrections we're probably only at 13.7.

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Offline ARTzeman  
#142 Posted : 27 September 2013 11:28:38(UTC)
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Should have stayed lower..


 


Hadley 14.0c.  Metcheck 13.35c.  N-W 14.17c. 


My Mean 14,6c. ..



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Offline Hungry Tiger  
#143 Posted : 27 September 2013 13:07:44(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post


Should have stayed lower..


 


Hadley 14.0c.  Metcheck 13.35c.  N-W 14.17c. 


My Mean 14,6c. ..



Looks like I'll be a full 1C out. That will cost me some points.


 

Gavin S.
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Online Devonian  
#144 Posted : 27 September 2013 16:14:07(UTC)
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It's been a odd month. Up at my Dartmoor AWS last week has only seen about 24 hours drop below 14C (it's been warmer here by the coast for sure) here but, otoh, only about as many hours have got above 16C. Mean AWS mean temperature for the month: 13.2C.

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Offline ARTzeman  
#145 Posted : 28 September 2013 11:00:03(UTC)
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Met Office Hadley.   14.0c.   Anomaly    0.3c.    Provisional to 27 th.


Metcheck               13.32c.  Anomaly   -0.40c.


N-W                      14.15c.  Anomaly     0.45c.


My        Mean         14.6c.  



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Others just get wet.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#146 Posted : 29 September 2013 10:47:05(UTC)
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Met Office Hadley   14.0c.  Anomaly  0.3c. Provisional to  18 th.


Metcheck              13.36c.   Anomaly  -0.36c.


N - W                   14.8c.    Anomaly 0.48c.


My   Mean             14.0c.           



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn
Offline four  
#147 Posted : 30 September 2013 08:19:37(UTC)
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With one day to go here we are on 12.0C which is -0.6C

Offline ARTzeman  
#148 Posted : 30 September 2013 11:32:44(UTC)
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Met office Hadley  14.1c.   Anomaly     0.4c    Provisional   to 29 th.


Metcheck             13.40c.  Anomaly -0.32c.


N - W                  14.2c.    Anomaly   0.5c.


My        Mean      14.4c.



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn
Online Stormchaser  
#149 Posted : 30 September 2013 19:18:10(UTC)
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The computer models will be getting stern letters from me regarding September's extreme prediction fail





My luck ran out, fair enough, hoping October is kinder, after all my birthday falls at the end of it

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Offline Surrey John  
#150 Posted : 01 October 2013 12:34:11(UTC)
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Might manage to move a few places in the table to repair some of the damage caused by bad guesses in other months

provisional to 29th is 14.1c

http://www.metoffice.gov...adcet/cet_info_mean.html

Kingston upon Thames

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Offline Roonie  
#151 Posted : 02 October 2013 12:23:09(UTC)
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Still Lurking.......

North Worcestershire
Offline Essan  
#152 Posted : 02 October 2013 13:31:54(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Surrey John Go to Quoted Post
Might manage to move a few places in the table to repair some of the damage caused by bad guesses in other months provisional to 29th is 14.1c http://www.metoffice.gov...adcet/cet_info_mean.html


Pah!  I had 14.1c ......  How did it fall 0.4c in 1 day?   I demand a recount

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Offline ARTzeman  
#153 Posted : 02 October 2013 13:43:57(UTC)
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Still far to high...



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn
Offline Quantum  
#154 Posted : 02 October 2013 18:55:27(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Essan Go to Quoted Post


Originally Posted by: Surrey John Go to Quoted Post
Might manage to move a few places in the table to repair some of the damage caused by bad guesses in other months provisional to 29th is 14.1c http://www.metoffice.gov...adcet/cet_info_mean.html


Pah!  I had 14.1c ......  How did it fall 0.4c in 1 day?   I demand a recount




What the hell 14.1C to 13.7C this is taking the mickey. And to Artzeman: you are fine, you might even get a nice downard correction. Have a bit of sympathy for those that went too hot! 

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Offline Global Warming  
#155 Posted : 02 October 2013 19:06:50(UTC)
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It is the effect of the month end adjustments. The data published daily during the month is only provisional and is subject to quality control and other adjustments to get to the final figure. These adjustments are only done at the month and are partly to ensure the data is consistent with historic data right back to when the series started. If you look back at my charts from a few days back you will see I was anticipating 13.7C as the final figure after adjustments and that is what we got.

The exact figure was 13.66C http://www.metoffice.gov...obs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013
Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline warrenb  
#156 Posted : 03 October 2013 10:09:37(UTC)
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Good result for me :)
Offline Hungry Tiger  
#157 Posted : 03 October 2013 21:20:02(UTC)
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13.7C is where we ended up.


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html


So I was 1.3 out. I went for 15C.


Oooops.

Gavin S.
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Offline Global Warming  
#158 Posted : 13 October 2013 13:53:45(UTC)
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Here are the final charts for September. Sorry they are late. A very average month overall but a real mix of cooler and warmer weather within that.




SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Global Warming  
#159 Posted : 13 October 2013 14:35:10(UTC)
Global Warming

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Annual CET competition update – September


An interesting month as a number of people in the top 10 had fairly large prediction errors this month. We lost one person from the competition - Llamedos.


Nemi has a second month in the top spot with a significantly extended lead which is now just over 1C.


Taylor1740 remains in second but only just ahead of The Professional who has moved ahead of Norseman.


Weathermac and Roonie are both up three places this month.


Stormchaser and Easterly Beasterly go three places in the other direction.


Gavin P squeezes into tenth place for the second time this year.


Further down the table we have a number of significant risers headed by nouska. Essan, Surrey John, Sussex snow magnet and domma are the others.


alan (no prediction) and Global Warming are the biggest fallers of the month.


markwells and vince are now rather adrift at the bottom of the table.







SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
Offline Dougie  
#160 Posted : 13 October 2013 14:47:24(UTC)
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Thanks GW

Ha'way the lads
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