Although none of the models are projecting a Medicane developing I nonetheless think conditions merit the possibility. I'd like to draw attention to the 500hpa and 850hpa temperatures in the south Ionian.
Note the region of cold 500hpa temperatures corresponds quite well with warm 850hpa temperatures. A strong vertical gradient and low wind shear both of which are present result in good conditions for a spin up.
Despite this I would not be bringing this up (due to the models lack of interest in forming a medicane) except there is already very strong convection in that region.
This is not considered to be a tropical like disturbance yet as the convection has limited rotation. However given the environmental conditions, there is a chance this could spin up into a medicane.
Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.