This thread tracks the movements in the Central England Temperature throughout the whole of the year.

To enter the current competition in this thread all you need to do is make your prediction of the mean temperature in the CET area for 2020 in Celsuis. There are two important points to note:
- your prediction should be to two decimal places; and
- your prediction needs to be unique so we have no more than one winner at the end of the year (so first come first served on any particular figure).

Any entry that is not unique and is not adjusted will be amended by me to the nearest available figure (either up or down).

Entries close at 23:59 on 5th January 2019 - please send entries to me via private message.

To assist you with your prediction the chart below shows the CET each year since 1961 (dark green line), the average for 1971-2000 (blue line), average for 1981-2010 (light green line) and a 10 year moving average (light blue line).

DIRECT LINK TO CHART

The 1981-2010 mean is 9.97C.

Between 1994 and 2007 the CET was consistently well above average. From 2008 to 2013 the CET was much more variable with some quite cool years. Since 2014 the consistent warmer theme has returned. Details below:

2008 9.96C
2009 10.11C
2010 8.83C (somewhat distorted by the exceptionally cold December. Otherwise would have finished closer to 9.3C)
2011 10.70C
2012 9.71C
2013 9.57C
2014 10.93C (all time CET record)
2015 10.27C (somewhat distorted by the exceptionally mild November and December - otherwise would have finished under 10C)
2016 10.33C
2017 10.56C
2018 10.68C

Being Brave Now... Choice for myself is.....9.78c. Please. 

9.77 for me please

I think it will become a rare year to get a cet under 10c now so im going for

10.55c please

10.29C for me please GW; a fairly safe bet judging by previous years' outcomes, but I'm gambling on a cool autumn.

Thanks for running this again.

Amazing how meteoric the rise in running mean was over the last two decades, before trailing off again. 

A scorchio summer taking us to a new record 10.98c

Thanks

10.95c record year to go with the hottest year recorded on the planet.

Hopefully this time it will get stickied 

Although I expect 2016 to be the warmest year on record globally, that will not necessary be the case for an obscure island off the west coast of Europe .....

If the MetO are right, a cool Feb/Mar could temper  the summer heatwave   and so I am going for ......


....... 10.34c

I'm going for a supercharged El Nino year at 11.01C

10.63C please 

10.47 please

Cheers for running this again GW.

I doubt I'll be able to get near the yearly CET two years running, but I think we'll end up below 10C, so I'll go for 9.83C.

May as well hope that we get a low solar activity + easterly QBO combination helping to drive cold weather from early on next winter, which in combination with a likely cold Feb/Mar period this year could be sufficient to produce a sub-10*C annual CET.

How's 9.80*C to shake the boat? 

Now just watch as the summer turns out baking hot from start to finish for the first time in a decade 

I think it may just squeeze above ten, so going for 10.01°c.

Thanks Simon.

I'll go for 9.88 please

10.35 for me please if it isn't too late

10.44 please GW