Please send your November CET predictions to me via PM please. This is to ensure we don't get tactical predictions for the last couple of months of the 2015 competition. The deadline for entries without incurring any penalty is 23:59 on Saturday evening (31st). Final deadline is same time on Monday evening (2nd).
Sorry I am short of time so only a brief analysis below.
Novmber historic data summary
Here is the usual rundown of historic data for previous years.
A mix of temperatures in November in recent years. Last year was mild with 8.6C and 2011 even warmer with 9.6C. We have had a lot of mild Novembers in the past 20 years. 2013 was cool with 6.2C and 2010 very cool with 5.2C.
Long run averages:
1971-2000: 6.9C
1981-2010: 7.1C
1995-2014: 7.4C
Here is a chart of the November CET since 1961 with a 10 year moving average
Met Office Contingency planners forecast
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/c/o/A3_plots-temp-NDJ_v1.pdf
Probability analysis suggests a slightly milder than average month.
November CET tracker
Here are the current prediction charts for the first part of November. Very mild sums it up.
Edited by moderator
20 December 2015 20:21:21
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Reason: Not specified