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Informative March CET watch - Central England Temperature analysis and discussion
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Offline Global Warming  
#61 Posted : 02 March 2014 20:44:28(UTC)
Global Warming

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Here are the 62 predictions so far for March. Entries remain open until 23:59


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Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
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Offline cowman  
#62 Posted : 02 March 2014 21:09:55(UTC)
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Thanks GW, for the time you put into this comp.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#63 Posted : 02 March 2014 23:12:44(UTC)
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Met Office Hadley  put up their    CET late today..   4.0c.   Anomaly  0.6c.   Provisional to 1st.



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#64 Posted : 03 March 2014 11:51:52(UTC)
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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley      4.9c.    Anomaly          0.4c.    Provisional  to  2nd.


Metcheck                  6.00c    Anomaly         -0.16c.


N-W                         5.77c.   Anomaly          -0.54c.


Mount Sorrel             5.07c.   Anomaly          -1.13c.


My Mean                   5.6c.



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline Stormchaser  
#65 Posted : 03 March 2014 23:09:12(UTC)
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For the record... I estimated the CET for the first week from the GFS output over the final few days of February, and it gave an average of  3.0*C for the CET 1st-2nd March.


...which means it's failed miserably 

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Offline ARTzeman  
#66 Posted : 04 March 2014 11:40:20(UTC)
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Met Office Hadley        5.0c.      Anomaly       0.4c.    Provisional   to  3rd.


Metcheck                    6.0c.      Anomaly      -0.16c.


N-W                           5.58c.    Anomaly      -0.73c


Mount Sorrel               4.90c.    Anomaly     -1.40c.


My   Mean                   4.9c.


 



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline Hungry Tiger  
#67 Posted : 04 March 2014 12:00:07(UTC)
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South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#68 Posted : 05 March 2014 12:09:10(UTC)
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Met  Office Hadley        5.0c.       Anomaly     0.6c.


Metcheck                     5.85c.     Anomaly    -0.31c.


N-W                            5.5c.       Anomaly    -0.81c.


Mount Sorrel                4.68c.     Anomaly    -1.62c.


My   Mean                    5.6c.


 



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline Hungry Tiger  
#69 Posted : 05 March 2014 14:27:20(UTC)
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After seeing the latest synoptics - I don't think I've gone high enough.


 

Gavin S.
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Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com
South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#70 Posted : 06 March 2014 11:56:03(UTC)
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Met Office Hadley.          5.2c       Anomaly     0.6c.   Provisional to  5th.


Metcheck                       5.70c.    Anomaly      -0.46c


N-W                              5.7c.     Anomaly       -0.61c.


Mount Sorrel                  5.25c.   Anomaly        -1.05c.


My Mean                        5.6c 



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline Global Warming  
#71 Posted : 06 March 2014 21:57:53(UTC)
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It has actually been a slightly cooler than average start to the month due to some cold nights. Much warmer today though and the CET will shoot up in the next few days. Thereafter the CET rise is likely to stop due to some further chilly nights.


Overall by the 20th I am currently expecting the CET to be around 7C which is about 1C above average. So nothing exceptional but certainly on the mild side.



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Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl
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Offline ARTzeman  
#72 Posted : 07 March 2014 11:27:51(UTC)
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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       5.6c.       Anomaly     1.0c.


Metcheck                   5.66c.     Anomaly    -0.05c.


N-W                          6.26c.     Anomaly    -0.05c.


Mount Sorrel             5.90c.     Anomaly    -0.40c.


My    Mean                6.1c. 


 



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline Hungry Tiger  
#73 Posted : 07 March 2014 17:00:30(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post


It has actually been a slightly cooler than average start to the month due to some cold nights. Much warmer today though and the CET will shoot up in the next few days. Thereafter the CET rise is likely to stop due to some further chilly nights.


Overall by the 20th I am currently expecting the CET to be around 7C which is about 1C above average. So nothing exceptional but certainly on the mild side.





SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES

Gavin S.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com
South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#74 Posted : 08 March 2014 11:15:42(UTC)
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ALL ON 6.3c. and over   Today..


Met office Hadley        6.3c.       Anomaly      1.6c.   Provisional to 7th.


Metcheck                   6.10c.     Anomaly      -0.06c.


N-W                          6.71c      Anomaly       0.42c.


Mount Sorrel             6.11        Anomaly       -0.19c.


My Mean                   6.6c.       



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#75 Posted : 09 March 2014 12:12:35(UTC)
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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley      6.5c.    Anomaly      1.7c.     Provisional to  8th


Metcheck                  6.49c.  Anomaly      0.35c.


N-W                         7.06c.  Anomaly      0.77c.


Mount Sorrel             6.55c.  Anomaly      0.25c.


My     Mean               7.0c.


  



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Frost Hollow  
#76 Posted : 10 March 2014 08:06:34(UTC)
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9 full days in:


Mean 3.6c


Mean min -0.6c


Mean max 7.8c


 
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Offline ARTzeman  
#77 Posted : 10 March 2014 10:54:26(UTC)
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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley            6.9c.     Anomaly     2.1c.   Provisional to  9th.


Metcheck                        6.94c.  Anomaly      1.25c.


N-W                               7.54c.  Anomaly      1.25c.


Mount Sorrel                   7.10c.  Anomaly      0.85c.


My Mean                        7.5c.    



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline Quantum  
#78 Posted : 10 March 2014 23:18:32(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post


Met Office Hadley            6.9c.     Anomaly     2.1c.   Provisional to  9th.


Metcheck                        6.94c.  Anomaly      1.25c.


N-W                               7.54c.  Anomaly      1.25c.


Mount Sorrel                   7.10c.  Anomaly      0.85c.


My Mean                        7.5c.    



Cmon artzman make it higher! I don't want another bad month, and this cold spell on the horizion is making me nervous :S

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Offline ARTzeman  
#79 Posted : 11 March 2014 12:52:51(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley         7.1.c.       Anomaly      2.1c    Provisional to  10th.


Metcheck                     7.26c.      Anomaly        1.10c.


N- W                           7.55c.       Anomaly       1.26c.


Mont Sorrel                  7.05c.       Anomaly       0.75c.


My   Mean                    7.5c..



Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Offline ARTzeman  
#80 Posted : 12 March 2014 10:58:42(UTC)
ARTzeman

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Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley          7.0c.      Anomaly         2.0c.     Provisional to   11th.


Metcheck                        7.32c.      Anomaly          1.16c.     


N - W                             7.48c.      Anomaly          1.19c.


Mount   Sorrel                 7.00c       Anomaly          0.70c.


My  Mean                        7.4c.


        


 


 


 


 


 



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Others just get wet.
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