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March CET watch - Central England Temperature analysis and discussion

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Global Warming		#61 Posted : 02 March 2014 20:44:28(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,192		Here are the 62 predictions so far for March. Entries remain open until 23:59 SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES
		Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl


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cowman		#62 Posted : 02 March 2014 21:09:55(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 11/02/2013(UTC) Posts: 904 Location: uttoxeter		Thanks GW, for the time you put into this comp.


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ARTzeman		#63 Posted : 02 March 2014 23:12:44(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley put up their CET late today.. 4.0c. Anomaly 0.6c. Provisional to 1st.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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ARTzeman		#64 Posted : 03 March 2014 11:51:52(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 4.9c. Anomaly 0.4c. Provisional to 2nd. Metcheck 6.00c Anomaly -0.16c. N-W 5.77c. Anomaly -0.54c. Mount Sorrel 5.07c. Anomaly -1.13c. My Mean 5.6c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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Stormchaser		#65 Posted : 03 March 2014 23:09:12(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 24/10/2008(UTC) Posts: 11,798 Location: West Hants		For the record... I estimated the CET for the first week from the GFS output over the final few days of February, and it gave an average of 3.0*C for the CET 1st-2nd March. ...which means it's failed miserably
		If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :) Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2018's Homeland Extremes: T-Max: 30.9C 8th July \| T-Min: -7.7C 28th Feb \| Wettest Day: 19.2mm 14th October \| Ice Days: 4 (28 Feb - 2 Mar & 18 Mar) Keep Calm and Forecast On


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ARTzeman		#66 Posted : 04 March 2014 11:40:20(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 5.0c. Anomaly 0.4c. Provisional to 3rd. Metcheck 6.0c. Anomaly -0.16c. N-W 5.58c. Anomaly -0.73c Mount Sorrel 4.90c. Anomaly -1.40c. My Mean 4.9c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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Hungry Tiger		#67 Posted : 04 March 2014 12:00:07(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 24,922 Location: South Cambridgeshire		http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
		Gavin S. TWO Moderator. Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.


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ARTzeman		#68 Posted : 05 March 2014 12:09:10(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 5.0c. Anomaly 0.6c. Metcheck 5.85c. Anomaly -0.31c. N-W 5.5c. Anomaly -0.81c. Mount Sorrel 4.68c. Anomaly -1.62c. My Mean 5.6c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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Hungry Tiger		#69 Posted : 05 March 2014 14:27:20(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 24,922 Location: South Cambridgeshire		After seeing the latest synoptics - I don't think I've gone high enough.
		Gavin S. TWO Moderator. Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.


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ARTzeman		#70 Posted : 06 March 2014 11:56:03(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley. 5.2c Anomaly 0.6c. Provisional to 5th. Metcheck 5.70c. Anomaly -0.46c N-W 5.7c. Anomaly -0.61c. Mount Sorrel 5.25c. Anomaly -1.05c. My Mean 5.6c
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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Global Warming		#71 Posted : 06 March 2014 21:57:53(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,192		It has actually been a slightly cooler than average start to the month due to some cold nights. Much warmer today though and the CET will shoot up in the next few days. Thereafter the CET rise is likely to stop due to some further chilly nights. Overall by the 20th I am currently expecting the CET to be around 7C which is about 1C above average. So nothing exceptional but certainly on the mild side. SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES
		Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl


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ARTzeman		#72 Posted : 07 March 2014 11:27:51(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 5.6c. Anomaly 1.0c. Metcheck 5.66c. Anomaly -0.05c. N-W 6.26c. Anomaly -0.05c. Mount Sorrel 5.90c. Anomaly -0.40c. My Mean 6.1c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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Hungry Tiger		#73 Posted : 07 March 2014 17:00:30(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 24,922 Location: South Cambridgeshire		Originally Posted by: Global Warming It has actually been a slightly cooler than average start to the month due to some cold nights. Much warmer today though and the CET will shoot up in the next few days. Thereafter the CET rise is likely to stop due to some further chilly nights. Overall by the 20th I am currently expecting the CET to be around 7C which is about 1C above average. So nothing exceptional but certainly on the mild side. SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES
		Gavin S. TWO Moderator. Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.


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ARTzeman		#74 Posted : 08 March 2014 11:15:42(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		ALL ON 6.3c. and over Today.. Met office Hadley 6.3c. Anomaly 1.6c. Provisional to 7th. Metcheck 6.10c. Anomaly -0.06c. N-W 6.71c Anomaly 0.42c. Mount Sorrel 6.11 Anomaly -0.19c. My Mean 6.6c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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ARTzeman		#75 Posted : 09 March 2014 12:12:35(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 6.5c. Anomaly 1.7c. Provisional to 8th Metcheck 6.49c. Anomaly 0.35c. N-W 7.06c. Anomaly 0.77c. Mount Sorrel 6.55c. Anomaly 0.25c. My Mean 7.0c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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Frost Hollow		#76 Posted : 10 March 2014 08:06:34(UTC)
Rank: Guest Joined: 19/01/2010(UTC) Posts: 6,714		9 full days in: Mean 3.6c Mean min -0.6c Mean max 7.8c

ARTzeman		#77 Posted : 10 March 2014 10:54:26(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 6.9c. Anomaly 2.1c. Provisional to 9th. Metcheck 6.94c. Anomaly 1.25c. N-W 7.54c. Anomaly 1.25c. Mount Sorrel 7.10c. Anomaly 0.85c. My Mean 7.5c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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Quantum		#78 Posted : 10 March 2014 23:18:32(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 27/11/2009(UTC) Posts: 16,213		Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Met Office Hadley 6.9c. Anomaly 2.1c. Provisional to 9th. Metcheck 6.94c. Anomaly 1.25c. N-W 7.54c. Anomaly 1.25c. Mount Sorrel 7.10c. Anomaly 0.85c. My Mean 7.5c. Cmon artzman make it higher! I don't want another bad month, and this cold spell on the horizion is making me nervous :S
		Tactical voting information during the general election campaign for Leave voters https://brexitalliance.blogspot.com/ @_BrexitAlliance


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ARTzeman		#79 Posted : 11 March 2014 12:52:51(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 7.1.c. Anomaly 2.1c Provisional to 10th. Metcheck 7.26c. Anomaly 1.10c. N- W 7.55c. Anomaly 1.26c. Mont Sorrel 7.05c. Anomaly 0.75c. My Mean 7.5c..
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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ARTzeman		#80 Posted : 12 March 2014 10:58:42(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,430 Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset		Met Office Hadley 7.0c. Anomaly 2.0c. Provisional to 11th. Metcheck 7.32c. Anomaly 1.16c. N - W 7.48c. Anomaly 1.19c. Mount Sorrel 7.00c Anomaly 0.70c. My Mean 7.4c.
		Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet. I Just Blow my horn


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