Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,157
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Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 11/02/2013(UTC) Posts: 904   Location: uttoxeter
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Thanks GW, for the time you put into this comp.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley put up their CET late today.. 4.0c. Anomaly 0.6c. Provisional to 1st. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 4.9c. Anomaly 0.4c. Provisional to 2nd. Metcheck 6.00c Anomaly -0.16c. N-W 5.77c. Anomaly -0.54c. Mount Sorrel 5.07c. Anomaly -1.13c. My Mean 5.6c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 24/10/2008(UTC) Posts: 11,773  Location: West Hants
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For the record... I estimated the CET for the first week from the GFS output over the final few days of February, and it gave an average of 3.0*C for the CET 1st-2nd March. ...which means it's failed miserably  |
If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :)
Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2018's Homeland Extremes: T-Max: 30.9*C 8th July | T-Min: -7.7*C 28th Feb | Wettest Day: 19.2mm 14th October | Ice Days: 4 (28 Feb - 2 Mar & 18 Mar) Keep Calm and Forecast On |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 5.0c. Anomaly 0.4c. Provisional to 3rd. Metcheck 6.0c. Anomaly -0.16c. N-W 5.58c. Anomaly -0.73c Mount Sorrel 4.90c. Anomaly -1.40c. My Mean 4.9c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 24,834 Location: South Cambridgeshire
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 5.0c. Anomaly 0.6c. Metcheck 5.85c. Anomaly -0.31c. N-W 5.5c. Anomaly -0.81c. Mount Sorrel 4.68c. Anomaly -1.62c. My Mean 5.6c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 24,834 Location: South Cambridgeshire
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After seeing the latest synoptics - I don't think I've gone high enough. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley. 5.2c Anomaly 0.6c. Provisional to 5th. Metcheck 5.70c. Anomaly -0.46c N-W 5.7c. Anomaly -0.61c. Mount Sorrel 5.25c. Anomaly -1.05c. My Mean 5.6c |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,157
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It has actually been a slightly cooler than average start to the month due to some cold nights. Much warmer today though and the CET will shoot up in the next few days. Thereafter the CET rise is likely to stop due to some further chilly nights. Overall by the 20th I am currently expecting the CET to be around 7C which is about 1C above average. So nothing exceptional but certainly on the mild side.
SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES |
Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 86m asl |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 5.6c. Anomaly 1.0c. Metcheck 5.66c. Anomaly -0.05c. N-W 6.26c. Anomaly -0.05c. Mount Sorrel 5.90c. Anomaly -0.40c. My Mean 6.1c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 24,834 Location: South Cambridgeshire
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming  It has actually been a slightly cooler than average start to the month due to some cold nights. Much warmer today though and the CET will shoot up in the next few days. Thereafter the CET rise is likely to stop due to some further chilly nights. Overall by the 20th I am currently expecting the CET to be around 7C which is about 1C above average. So nothing exceptional but certainly on the mild side.
  
SHOW EXTERNAL IMAGES |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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ALL ON 6.3c. and over Today.. Met office Hadley 6.3c. Anomaly 1.6c. Provisional to 7th. Metcheck 6.10c. Anomaly -0.06c. N-W 6.71c Anomaly 0.42c. Mount Sorrel 6.11 Anomaly -0.19c. My Mean 6.6c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 6.5c. Anomaly 1.7c. Provisional to 8th Metcheck 6.49c. Anomaly 0.35c. N-W 7.06c. Anomaly 0.77c. Mount Sorrel 6.55c. Anomaly 0.25c. My Mean 7.0c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Guest
Joined: 19/01/2010(UTC) Posts: 6,714
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9 full days in: Mean 3.6c Mean min -0.6c Mean max 7.8c
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 6.9c. Anomaly 2.1c. Provisional to 9th. Metcheck 6.94c. Anomaly 1.25c. N-W 7.54c. Anomaly 1.25c. Mount Sorrel 7.10c. Anomaly 0.85c. My Mean 7.5c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 27/11/2009(UTC) Posts: 15,753
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Originally Posted by: ARTzeman  Met Office Hadley 6.9c. Anomaly 2.1c. Provisional to 9th. Metcheck 6.94c. Anomaly 1.25c. N-W 7.54c. Anomaly 1.25c. Mount Sorrel 7.10c. Anomaly 0.85c. My Mean 7.5c. Cmon artzman make it higher! I don't want another bad month, and this cold spell on the horizion is making me nervous :S |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 7.1.c. Anomaly 2.1c Provisional to 10th. Metcheck 7.26c. Anomaly 1.10c. N- W 7.55c. Anomaly 1.26c. Mont Sorrel 7.05c. Anomaly 0.75c. My Mean 7.5c.. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC) Posts: 26,142  Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset
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Met Office Hadley 7.0c. Anomaly 2.0c. Provisional to 11th. Metcheck 7.32c. Anomaly 1.16c. N - W 7.48c. Anomaly 1.19c. Mount Sorrel 7.00c Anomaly 0.70c. My Mean 7.4c. |
Some people walk in the rain. Others just get wet.
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