Hungry Tiger
24 February 2014 23:20:58

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


I have not had a chance to do my own CET calculations this month but based on the provisional Hadley data the CET should finish around 6.28C. So even once the month end adjustments are taken into account I would expect us to still finish at 6C or more.


The overall winter CET should also finish just above 6C. So still on course for the 12th warmest on record in the CET series.






Cheers Simon - quite seriously mild this is. I have to say when I went for 6C I thought I was sticking my neck out big time and looks like it will be even more than that .


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
25 February 2014 11:11:16

Met Office Hadley       6.2c.     Anomaly       2.5c.  provisional to  24th.


Metcheck                   5.85c.   Anomaly        1.65c.


N-W                           6.8c.   Anomaly          2.61c.


Mount Sorrel               6.20c.  Anomaly         2.00c.


My  Mean                    5.9c.


Annual   Mean             5.8c.     






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
25 February 2014 15:34:28

Ah well, another rubbish prediction from me - and other year amongst the cellar-dwellars in the competition



 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
26 February 2014 11:35:53

Met Office Hadley  6.2c.       Anomaly      2.5c.   Provisional to  25th.


Metccheck            5.85c.      Anomaly        1.65c.


N-W                     6.84c.      Anomaly        2.65c.


Mount  Sorrel        6.20c.      Anomaly        2.00c


My Mean               5.9c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
27 February 2014 11:21:46

Met Office Hadley        6.3c.       Anomaly      2.5c.   provisional  to  26th.


Metcheck                    5.8c.       Anomaly      1.66c.


N-W                           6.83c.     Anomaly       2.64c.


Mount Sorrel               6.23c      Anomaly       2.03c


My   Mean                   5.9c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
cowman
27 February 2014 13:25:23
My CET looks abit sick this month.
Hungry Tiger
27 February 2014 14:23:06

6.3C


 



http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
27 February 2014 14:48:23

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


6.3C


 



http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html



 


Ally Pally Snowman    +    Marc       Both in the running at the moment.....






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
28 February 2014 11:02:34

MET OFFICE HADLEY           6.3c           Anomaly        2.5c.     Provisional to 27th.


Metcheck                            5.8c.          Anomaly          1.66c.


N-W                                    6.83c         Anomaly          2.64c.


Mount Sorrel                         6.19c.       Anomaly          1.98c.


My Mean                                5.9c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin P
01 March 2014 11:49:47

CET officially comes out at 6.2;


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat


The midest February since 2002 - January was the "coldest" month this winter at at 5.7.


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Global Warming
01 March 2014 13:45:57

The CET to two decimals was 6.17C. The 28th was the coldest day of the month at 4.0C


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2014


Congratulations to Darren S and marting who had the correct prediction this month


The winter CET finished at 6.07C which as expected is the 12th warmest winter in the CET series since 1659


Here are the top 12 winter CET's:


6.77C 1869
6.53C 1834
6.50C 1989
6.43C 2007
6.43C 1975
6.33C 1686
6.23C 1990
6.20C 1796
6.13C 1935
6.10C 1998
6.10C 1734
6.07C 2014


These are the only winters with a CET above 6C

Hungry Tiger
02 March 2014 10:56:20

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


The CET to two decimals was 6.17C. The 28th was the coldest day of the month at 4.0C


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2014


Congratulations to Darren S and marting who had the correct prediction this month


The winter CET finished at 6.07C which as expected is the 12th warmest winter in the CET series since 1659


Here are the top 12 winter CET's:


6.77C 1869
6.53C 1834
6.50C 1989
6.43C 2007
6.43C 1975
6.33C 1686
6.23C 1990
6.20C 1796
6.13C 1935
6.10C 1998
6.10C 1734
6.07C 2014


These are the only winters with a CET above 6C




Thanks Simon.


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Global Warming
02 March 2014 17:20:27

Here are the final charts for February and winter.


The most interesting statistic of the winter is that the minimum CET only fell below zero on three occasions and two of those were -0.1C and -0.2C. All three were in January. There were no negative minimum CETs in either December or February. I am not sure this has ever happened before. A quick flick through the minimum CET series which goes back to 1878 does not reveal any other winters with only 3 negative minimum CET days. 


Frost was definitely notable by its absence this year. Although I did manage to record 12 air frosts over the winter the coldest night was -2.3C and that was the only minimum that went below -1.2C.  


Even in the very mild winter of 1989/90 the minimum CET fell below zero on 7 occasions although 4 of those were in the first half of December. For January and February there were only 3 negative minimum CETs with two of those no lower than -0.4C so very similar to January and February of this year.


1971/2 was also an interesting winter. There were 9 minimum CETs less than zero but only 1 of those was lower than -0.7C (which was 1 Feb with -7.6C).


The other notable feature is how consistent the CET has been all winter with no cold spells or exceptionally mild spells. The mean CET has been close to 6C right the way through with just a bit of a milder spell in mid December.





Global Warming
02 March 2014 20:20:41

Here is the February update for the annual CET competition. Still very close at the top of the table but Martyn has moved into the lead on his own.






Gavin P
02 March 2014 20:38:31

Thanks GW.


Nice to be moving the "right" way.


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Hungry Tiger
03 March 2014 03:31:16

Cheers Simon.



I got a few points there - that's good. I was a bit disappointed to miss it though. At one point I thought I was going to hit it bang on.



Its all good fun - Thanks for those stats.


What an amazing winter it was in a lot of ways.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Ally Pally Snowman
03 March 2014 09:10:06
Just 0.08c off the lead. I'm going to need a very mild March to stay that close. Thanks GW for all your hard work amazing effort you put into this.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Edicius81
03 March 2014 12:30:06
Thanks GW for the competition as well as the great stats.
wallaw
03 March 2014 20:25:27
Thanks as always GW, great stats.
Ian


Stockton-on-Tees

Gusty
05 March 2014 11:45:04

Thanks Simon. Great stuff


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
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