Hadley ticks us up to 14.0;

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

But of course, with downwards corrections we're probably only at 13.7.

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Should have stayed lower..

 

Hadley 14.0c.  Metcheck 13.35c.  N-W 14.17c. 

My Mean 14,6c. ..

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Should have stayed lower..

 

Hadley 14.0c.  Metcheck 13.35c.  N-W 14.17c. 

My Mean 14,6c. ..

Looks like I'll be a full 1C out. That will cost me some points.

 

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It's been a odd month. Up at my Dartmoor AWS last week has only seen about 24 hours drop below 14C (it's been warmer here by the coast for sure) here but, otoh, only about as many hours have got above 16C. Mean AWS mean temperature for the month: 13.2C.

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Met Office Hadley.   14.0c.   Anomaly    0.3c.    Provisional to 27 th.

Metcheck               13.32c.  Anomaly   -0.40c.

N-W                      14.15c.  Anomaly     0.45c.

My        Mean         14.6c.  

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Met Office Hadley   14.0c.  Anomaly  0.3c. Provisional to  18 th.

Metcheck              13.36c.   Anomaly  -0.36c.

N - W                   14.8c.    Anomaly 0.48c.

My   Mean             14.0c.           

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With one day to go here we are on 12.0C which is -0.6C

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Met office Hadley  14.1c.   Anomaly     0.4c    Provisional   to 29 th.

Metcheck             13.40c.  Anomaly -0.32c.

N - W                  14.2c.    Anomaly   0.5c.

My        Mean      14.4c.

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The computer models will be getting stern letters from me regarding September's extreme prediction fail

My luck ran out, fair enough, hoping October is kinder, after all my birthday falls at the end of it

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Might manage to move a few places in the table to repair some of the damage caused by bad guesses in other months

provisional to 29th is 14.1c

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

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Does that mean it is 13.7?...

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

Pah!  I had 14.1c ......  How did it fall 0.4c in 1 day?   I demand a recount

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Still far to high...

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html 

Pah!  I had 14.1c ......  How did it fall 0.4c in 1 day?   I demand a recount

What the hell 14.1C to 13.7C this is taking the mickey. And to Artzeman: you are fine, you might even get a nice downard correction. Have a bit of sympathy for those that went too hot! 

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It is the effect of the month end adjustments. The data published daily during the month is only provisional and is subject to quality control and other adjustments to get to the final figure. These adjustments are only done at the month and are partly to ensure the data is consistent with historic data right back to when the series started. If you look back at my charts from a few days back you will see I was anticipating 13.7C as the final figure after adjustments and that is what we got.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013 

Good result for me 🙂

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13.7C is where we ended up.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

So I was 1.3 out. I went for 15C.

Oooops.

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Here are the final charts for September. Sorry they are late. A very average month overall but a real mix of cooler and warmer weather within that.

Annual CET competition update – September

An interesting month as a number of people in the top 10 had fairly large prediction errors this month. We lost one person from the competition - Llamedos.

Nemi has a second month in the top spot with a significantly extended lead which is now just over 1C.

Taylor1740 remains in second but only just ahead of The Professional who has moved ahead of Norseman.

Weathermac and Roonie are both up three places this month.

Stormchaser and Easterly Beasterly go three places in the other direction.

Gavin P squeezes into tenth place for the second time this year.

Further down the table we have a number of significant risers headed by nouska. Essan, Surrey John, Sussex snow magnet and domma are the others.

alan (no prediction) and Global Warming are the biggest fallers of the month.

markwells and vince are now rather adrift at the bottom of the table.

Thanks GW

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