Met Office Hadley 17.0c.    Anomaly  1.1c.   Provisional to 22nd.

Metcheck             17.27c.   Anomaly  1.05c.

N-W                    17.56c.   Anomaly  1.36c.

My      Mean         17.6c.

Met Office Hadley 17.0c.    Anomaly  1.1c.   Provisional to 22nd.

Metcheck             17.27c.   Anomaly  1.05c.

N-W                    17.56c.   Anomaly  1.36c.

 

My      Mean         17.6c.

That's good - so we're back on 17C.

My CET calculations this month are very close to the provisional Hadley data. Up to yesterday I have a figure of 17.04C. I expect little change for the rest of the month. A very small decline to 16.91C is the current prognosis. So a second above average month for 2013 although nowhere near as warm as July.

Met Office Hadley 17.1c. Anomaly 1.2c. Provisional to 23rd.

Metcheck          17.33c. Anomaly 1.10c.

N-W                 17.62c. Anomaly 1.42c.

My  Mean          17.7c. 

Met Office Hadley 17.1c. Anomaly 1.2c. Provisional to 24th.

Metcheck 17.25c. Anomaly 1.02c.

N.- W.      17.56c. Anomaly 1.36c.

My Mean   17.6c.

Met Office Hadley 17.0c. Anomaly 1.2c. Provisional To 25th.

Metcheck             17.26c. Anomaly  1.03c.

N-W                    17.6c.   Anomaly 1.4c.

My    Mean     17.5c.      

Interestingly my mean for August is now running ever so slightly higher than July.

July averaged 17.6c here, August is currently running at 17.7c.

Last month was unusual for Southeast Kent as our local average was well below the CET of 18.3c (abundance of cool NE'lies here). This month is different. Locally we are running above the CET by some margin. SST's are higher, the airmass is more WSW'ly, the weather in the CET area is cooler and more unsettled and there has been a tendency for better weather in the far south this month.

A finish of 16.8c, which is looking quite likely after corrections, would give us the joint 6th warmest summer since 1989. Not bad considering there have been a lot of decent summers in the past 25 years.

Met Office Hadley   17.1c.   Anomaly    1.2c. Provisional To 26th.

Metcheck               17.24c. Anomaly    1.02c.

N-W                       17.6c.  Anomaly    1.4c.

My Mean                 17.5c.     

A finish of 16.8c, which is looking quite likely after corrections, would give us the joint 6th warmest summer since 1989. Not bad considering there have been a lot of decent summers in the past 25 years.

Indeed Dave. Kevin's Summer index for Manchester shows up how good summer 2013 has been overall.

Looks like the warmest August since 2004 is guaranteed now!

Met Office Hadley   17.0c. Anomaly 1.2c. Provisional To 27 th.

Metcheck               17.21c. Anomaly 0.98c.

N-W                      17.58c. Anomaly 1.38c.

My   Mean              17.6c.

Met Office Hadley    17.0c.   Anomaly   1.2c. Provisional To 28 th.

Metcheck              17.19c.    Anomaly   0.96c.

N - W.                 17.56c.      Anomaly  1.36c.

My   Mean           17.6c.

Oooh! Looks like I'll be close then this month. Makes a change

Latest position suggesting a finishing number of 16.96C. Will be interesting to see how far I am out this month. My mean is currently very similar to the Hadley provisional. However, no data has been available from Rothamsted all month so this may mean my estimate is a little further off than normal. Actual final Hadley may be a little lower.

Oooh! Looks like I'll be close then this month. Makes a change

Alyhough provisiponal is c 17.0c (in which case I would be spot on) presumably there will be an adjustment( probably down)

Met Office Hadley   17.0c.    Anomaly   1.1c.  Provisional To 29th.

Metcheck              17.22c.   Anomaly   0.99c.

N - W                    18.58c.   Anomaly  1.38c.

My Mean       17.6c. 

Met Office Hadley   17.0c. Anomaly  1.2c.  Provisional To 30 th.

Metcheck               17.22c. Anomaly 0.99c.

N - W                    17.38c. Anomaly 1.38c.

My Mean                17,6c.  

Final Hadley figure for August is 16.88C http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013

Warmest August since 2004. Warmest July and August combination since 2006. First time both July and August have been more than 0.5C above the 1971-2000 mean since 2003.

So we have a number of winners this month who all correctly predicted 16.9C:

Easterly Beasterly, Hippydave, marting, Nemi and Rob Snowman. Well done all.

Philip Eden's CET series finished at 17.1C http://www.climate-uk.com/

The maximum CET was the warmest since 2004. Interestingly the minimum CET was actually cooler than August 2012 but still the 20th warmest on record.

The maximum CET of 29.7C on the 1st was the warmest since 25th July 2006. Only 3 days in July 2006 saw a maximum CET exceed 30C.

The summer CET finishes at 16.31C (calculated using daily means rather than simply averaging the 3 monthly figures which gives 16.27C per Hadley http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/ssn_HadCET_mean_sort.txt).

2006 and 2003 were both about 1C warmer than 2013 at 17.23C and 17.33C respectively. 1995 was the warmest summer in recent times at 17.37C with 1976 the warmest ever with 17.77C. 1997 was also warmer than 2013 with 16.57C. 

2013 is the 8th warmest summer since 1976 based on the CET mean. The maximum CET was the 17th warmest on record and the 7th warmest since 1976.