Looking back at the predictions on page 5 there are a huge number of people in with a good shout

CET now at 3.0c but expected to bounce back with the last few days of the month lilely to be 3 or 4c above average, based on the latest forecasts probably end up around 4.2c but its difficult to call with these large daily deviations from the mean

With 3.0C to the 24th and another cold minimum last night, I don't think it will rise to anything like 4.2C by the end of the month. If the CET to the 25th stays unchanged at 3.0C then the last 6 days of the month would have to average 9.2C to get up that high!

 

I think it will stay comfortably under 4C, maybe around 3.7C?

Looking at the weather forecasts and the Meto website, it appears to me that the cold will hang on for much of the country until at least tomorrow afternoon.

So the window for January warming is shortening - originally, I expected the mild air to be over us 24 hours sooner than it now appears it will be.

2.9c how much lower will it go?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Whilst of course the interest of the thread is CET I would hazard aguess that we are heading for one of the dullest Januaries on record.

Here in Winchester including today there have been only 4 days that had  significant sunshine-Jan 1st,11th ,13th and today.Anyone got a feeling of figures to date?

18.9 hours to date against an average of 46.1 hours. 

Whilst of course the interest of the thread is CET I would hazard aguess that we are heading for one of the dullest Januaries on record.

Here in Winchester including today there have been only 4 days that had  significant sunshine-Jan 1st,11th ,13th and today.Anyone got a feeling of figures to date?

It varies quite a bit across the country but up to yesterday Odiham and Heathrow had recorded 27% of the normal sunshine for the whole of January with 17.1 and 15.9 hours respectively. Many other parts of England are between 40-50% of normal.

Northern Scotland has done quite well this month. Kinloss has recorded 82% of its normal sunshine although that only amounts to 35.8hours.

Whilst of course the interest of the thread is CET I would hazard aguess that we are heading for one of the dullest Januaries on record.

Here in Winchester including today there have been only 4 days that had  significant sunshine-Jan 1st,11th ,13th and today.Anyone got a feeling of figures to date?

It varies quite a bit across the country but up to yesterday Odiham and Heathrow had recorded 27% of the normal sunshine for the whole of January with 17.1 and 15.9 hours respectively. Many other parts of England are between 40-50% of normal.

Northern Scotland has done quite well this month. Kinloss has recorded 82% of its normal sunshine although that only amounts to 35.8hours.

I thought it had been dull - but I didn't know it was that bad.

I reckon - now you mention it - that 27% of normal sunshine is close to what I have had round my area.

One reason why the snow lasted so long - no sun to melt it.

2.42c here,down 1.48c on Jan 2012

Mean max 4.46c

Mean min 0.38c

Mean min is close to that of 2012,but the mean max is 2.66c lower

I do not record sunshine hours but i know for a fact it has been exceptionally dull with 23/28 days seeing no sunshine at all.

http://www.metoffice.gov...adcet/cet_info_mean.html

METO to 27th Jan 3.1 C( -0.7c)

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Latest Had CET is 3.2, -0.6C  ( to 28th) .There are 3 days left of January, which look to be on the mild side.Assuming an average CET of 8c for these three  days then there would be an increase of 0.46C on the monthly CET leaving it around 3.7  or -0.1 versus mean. 

The average  for winter Dec Jan combined would be 4.25 bang on the 1961-90 mean.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Latest Had CET is 3.2, -0.6C  ( to 28th) .There are 3 days left of January, which look to be on the mild side.Assuming an average CET of 8c for these three  days then there would be an increase of 0.46C on the monthly CET leaving it around 3.7  or -0.1 versus mean. 

 

The average  for winter Dec Jan combined would be 4.25 bang on the 1961-90 mean.

Yes a very average winter so far, if you go by the stats, which conceal some pretty wild swings in temperature: two cold weeks, three mild weeks, two cold weeks, one mild week, roughly.

But I suppose most "average" winters also contain such contrasts.

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/yaf_postst9321p9_January-CET-watch.aspx

Haley to 29th  3.4 c  -0.4C.

3.6c to the 30th. That could be the final figure?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

It's going to end close to average.

The CET came out at 3.5;

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

The coldest January since 2010.

Congrats to Taylor1740 who got the CET exactly right.

 

I now expect the final figure at the end of the month to come in at 3.45C

That was a damn good punt from a week out. It actually came out at 3.46C:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013

This was exactly 0.25C below the estimated values mean, which came out at 3.71C.

The CET came out at 3.5;

Interesting that the Manley CET came out slightly higher at 3.7

http://www.climate-uk.com/

The CET came out at 3.5;

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

The coldest January since 2010.

Congrats to Taylor1740 who got the CET exactly right.

I didn't get many points for this one - I went for 4.5C as I recall.

No I didn't - just ckecked. I went for 6C.

Congratulations to Taylor1740 who correctly predicted a figure of 3.5C for January.

Not surprisingly the minimum temperature was only just below average due to the large amount of cloud around during the month. The maximum temperature was more than 1C below average.

The rolling 12 month CET mean now stands at 9.54C. This is the lowest figure since August 2011. It could go lower yet because we still have March 2012 in the rolling mean which was a very warm month. The mean could get down to around 9.3C if we have a cool February and March. Only Nov 2010 - Jan 2011 were cooler than this in recent times. You then have to go back to Nov 1996 to Jan 1997 to find a figure lower than 9.3C.