Of course these averages are rolling ones for the MTD.
As the month progresses the target will shoot up just like it plummets in October.
I'm very much keeping the powder dry re any predictions of cold month. The start of April 2019 was cold but this was quickly forgotten as we hit an epic heatwave over the Easter period (falling late that year in the second half of the month).
2012, 2016 and 2021 are probably the only examples in the last 30 or so years where cooler conditions have sustained during the month