Friday 4 Feb - Sunday 13 Feb

Sunshine and showers are expected at the start of this period, these showers most frequent and wintry in the north and northwest, merging at times into longer spells of rain in the north. Many east and southeastern parts will remain mostly dry. It will be windy for all with gales likely. Temperatures will be near normal but could feel much colder in the wind. A north/south divide is expected to continue through the rest of the period with settled conditions and milder temperatures prevailing in the south, whilst unsettled and wetter conditions with strong winds are seen across northern regions, especially the northwest with near average temperatures. Some, mostly short-lived, spells of colder temperatures are likely in the north and northwest, where some wintery showers could develop.

Monday 14 Feb - Monday 28 Feb

The current north-south split to the weather is likely to continue from mid-February and through to the second half of the month. Northern areas, especially the northwest, are likely to see nearer average temperatures with more rain and strong winds interspersed with a few short-lived colder spells. Southern regions are likely to see warmer, drier and overall, more settled conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Friday 4 Feb - Sunday 13 Feb

Sunshine and showers are expected at the start of this period, these showers most frequent and wintry in the north and northwest, merging at times into longer spells of rain in the north. Many east and southeastern parts will remain mostly dry. It will be windy for all with gales likely. Temperatures will be near normal but could feel much colder in the wind. A north/south divide is expected to continue through the rest of the period with settled conditions and milder temperatures prevailing in the south, whilst unsettled and wetter conditions with strong winds are seen across northern regions, especially the northwest with near average temperatures. Some, mostly short-lived, spells of colder temperatures are likely in the north and northwest, where some wintery showers could develop.

Monday 14 Feb - Monday 28 Feb

The current north-south split to the weather is likely to continue from mid-February and through to the second half of the month. Northern areas, especially the northwest, are likely to see nearer average temperatures with more rain and strong winds interspersed with a few short-lived colder spells. Southern regions are likely to see warmer, drier and overall, more settled conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

They'll be looking into the meteorological spring in the next update. Astonishing how quickly it comes round.

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They'll be looking into the meteorological spring in the next update. Astonishing how quickly it comes round.

We haven't even had much of a winter up until now as well, but what's the betting that we get more northern blocking with resulting colder weather, once we get into the spring?

 

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We haven't even had much of a winter up until now as well, but what's the betting that we get more northern blocking with resulting colder weather, once we get into the spring?

 

Quite possibly, John. I remember that happening in March 2008 which came on the back of a mild and largely snowless winter, not unlike this one and the cold lasted until well into April.

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Saturday 5 Feb - Monday 14 Feb

Scattered showers across the northwest and down parts of the east coast will die away towards the start of this period. Elsewhere is expected to be dry and partly cloudy, with cloud increasing across the northwest throughout Saturday, this bringing rain later. It will be windy with gales around northern coasts, but lighter winds in the south. Temperatures will be mild by the end of the day. A north/south divide is expected to continue through the rest of the period with settled conditions and milder temperatures prevailing in the south, whilst unsettled and wetter conditions with strong winds are seen across northern regions, especially the northwest, with near average temperatures. Some, mostly short-lived, spells of colder temperatures are likely in the north and northwest, where some wintry showers could develop.

Tuesday 15 Feb - Tuesday 1 Mar

The current north-south split to the weather is likely to continue from mid-February and through to the second half of the month. Northern areas, especially the northwest, are likely to see nearer average temperatures with more rain and strong winds interspersed with a few short-lived colder spells. Southern regions are likely to see milder, drier and overall, more settled conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Sunday 6 Feb - Tuesday 15 Feb

Most places fairly cloudy on Sunday, and outbreaks of rain will move southeast through the day, with colder conditions to the north, and milder conditions to the south. Through the rest of the period high pressure remains to the southwest of the UK and is expected to push low pressure systems towards the north of the country. This will lead to an unsettled picture for much of the UK with heavy rain, stronger winds and a risk of wintry precipitation in the north while the south is expected to remain largely dry. It will be milder for many especially in the south of the country while brief colder incursions from the north are possible throughout the period.

Sunday 6 Feb - Tuesday 15 Feb

Most places fairly cloudy on Sunday, and outbreaks of rain will move southeast through the day, with colder conditions to the north, and milder conditions to the south. Through the rest of the period high pressure remains to the southwest of the UK and is expected to push low pressure systems towards the north of the country. This will lead to an unsettled picture for much of the UK with heavy rain, stronger winds and a risk of wintry precipitation in the north while the south is expected to remain largely dry. It will be milder for many especially in the south of the country while brief colder incursions from the north are possible throughout the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Sunday 6 Feb - Tuesday 15 Feb

Most places fairly cloudy on Sunday, and outbreaks of rain will move southeast through the day, with colder conditions to the north, and milder conditions to the south. Through the rest of the period high pressure remains to the southwest of the UK and is expected to push low pressure systems towards the north of the country. This will lead to an unsettled picture for much of the UK with heavy rain, stronger winds and a risk of wintry precipitation in the north while the south is expected to remain largely dry. It will be milder for many especially in the south of the country while brief colder incursions from the north are possible throughout the period.

Sunday 6 Feb - Tuesday 15 Feb

Most places fairly cloudy on Sunday, and outbreaks of rain will move southeast through the day, with colder conditions to the north, and milder conditions to the south. Through the rest of the period high pressure remains to the southwest of the UK and is expected to push low pressure systems towards the north of the country. This will lead to an unsettled picture for much of the UK with heavy rain, stronger winds and a risk of wintry precipitation in the north while the south is expected to remain largely dry. It will be milder for many especially in the south of the country while brief colder incursions from the north are possible throughout the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

 

It maybe an idea to preview your copy and cut posts from the Met Office. Just a thought.

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Generally mild. More unsettled in the North

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Met Office publicly rubbishes Rishi Sunak's claim Britain had a 'colder than usual winter' - which was why energy prices soared - and says it was actually warmer!

 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10476913/Met-Office-denies-Rishi-Sunaks-claims-colder-usual-winter.html#article-10476913

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled in the North. No sustained cold periods.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Interesting re the Polar Vortex:

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/strong-polar-vortex-unusual-weather-united-states-cold-forecast-pattern-fa/?fbclid=IwAR02u5PIhFmr63W_LXI17xxSfoZi2ScqTpoj9BVpbyWmlJiy7uIUASu7eHo 

I was looking at temperatures at 10hpa and it's very rare to see them cooling as we will soon head into Meteorological spring - The stratosphere should in a gradual warming phase and the PV should be weakening but this winter it's the opposite!

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A lot of the media seem to be infected by Daily Express disease.

You would think they might have the integrity to actually look at the Met Office forecast, which says noting of the sort.
Somehow the fabricated -5 snowmaggedon nonsense is being syndicated nationwide 

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Thought this was interesting re how the melting Arctic sea ice will impact on British winters: - Worth a read:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2022/arctic-sea-ice-impacts-on-british-winters

 

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Becoming very unsettled next week

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

Thought this was interesting re how the melting Arctic sea ice will impact on British winters: - Worth a read:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2022/arctic-sea-ice-impacts-on-british-winters

 

No mention then that they were one of the first to attest to the theory that shrinking Arctic sea ice would lead to colder drier winters for the UK. I thought at the time it was a load of old cobblers and it looks as if they are now trying to back track big time.  Typical.

 

No mention then that they were one of the first to attest to the theory that shrinking Arctic sea ice would lead to colder drier winters for the UK. I thought at the time it was a load of old cobblers and it looks as if they are now trying to back track big time.  Typical.

When did the MetOffice say that?  I’ve never seen any such suggestion; nothing more than that a warming Arctic would tend to weaken the polar jet and cause more static/stuck weather patterns, which could mean cold and dry or mild and wet.

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https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/mar/14/met-office-arctic-sea-ice-loss-winter

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled with seasonal to mild conditions

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

Yellow wind warning out for northern Scotland for Wed/Thu.

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A stormy week ahead. Mainly mild

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook