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Offline ARTzeman  
#141 Posted : 30 December 2021 11:55:37(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met  Office  Hadley       6.1c      Anomaly      1.4c Provisional to 29th

Metcheck                      6.03c    Anomaly      1.04c

Netweather                   6.48c     Anomaly     1.39c

Peasedown St John      7.22c    Anomaly    2.32c.  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Global Warming  
#142 Posted : 30 December 2021 19:48:58(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Latest CET tracker for December shows a finishing number of 6.27C.

The CET mean for tomorrow (NYE) could get above 13C. The date record for 31 Dec is 11.1C set in 1859 so we will easily beat that. The all time December daily CET mean record is 13.1C set on 19 December 2015. We could get close to that tomorrow.

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline Global Warming  
#143 Posted : 30 December 2021 19:55:52(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Highest temperature today was Cambridge NIAB at 15.6C

Yesterday was Exeter AP at 15.7C

Both days have a date record of 16.1C so we were fairly close.

Tomorrow the date record is only 15.6C so a very good chance it will be broken.

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline ARTzeman  
#144 Posted : 31 December 2021 11:19:27(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        6.3c       Anomaly       1.6c provisional to 30th

Metcheck                     6.26c    Anomaly        1.27c

Netweather                  6.72c    Anomaly        1.63c

Peasedown St John     7.02c     Anomaly       2.12c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Online Caz  
#145 Posted : 31 December 2021 12:38:16(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,948
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Highest temperature today was Cambridge NIAB at 15.6C

Yesterday was Exeter AP at 15.7C

Both days have a date record of 16.1C so we were fairly close.

Tomorrow the date record is only 15.6C so a very good chance it will be broken.

Cheers GW!  

I’m PMing my January guess!

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#146 Posted : 31 December 2021 14:37:30(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,840
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Highest temperature today was Cambridge NIAB at 15.6C

Yesterday was Exeter AP at 15.7C

Both days have a date record of 16.1C so we were fairly close.

Tomorrow the date record is only 15.6C so a very good chance it will be broken.

Just stickied the January CET for you Simon.

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Online Caz  
#147 Posted : 31 December 2021 15:31:46(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,948
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

 

Just stickied the January CET for you Simon.

  Ahhh!  I was looking for that earlier!  Must have dropped off, unless I did a man look!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline fairweather  
#148 Posted : 31 December 2021 17:33:01(UTC)
fairweather

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/01/2017(UTC)
Posts: 9,030
Location: S.Essex

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Highest temperature today was Cambridge NIAB at 15.6C

Yesterday was Exeter AP at 15.7C

Both days have a date record of 16.1C so we were fairly close.

Tomorrow the date record is only 15.6C so a very good chance it will be broken.

So was that wrong on the BBC News last night when they said the date record for New Year's Eve was 14.8C somewhere in Wales?

S.Essex, 42m ASL
Offline Retron  
#149 Posted : 31 December 2021 17:41:25(UTC)
Retron

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 27,931
Location: Leysdown-on-Sea

Originally Posted by: fairweather Go to Quoted Post

So was that wrong on the BBC News last night when they said the date record for New Year's Eve was 14.8C somewhere in Wales?

The record was 14.8C. The higher one mentioned by GW is old data, for whatever reason it's no longer considered relevant.

At least the new record (15.8, but I wouldn't be surprised to see higher after the 18z SYNOP reports) is non-contentious!

 

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#150 Posted : 01 January 2022 11:16:44(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,840
Location: South Cambridgeshire

I'd have nailed this one if that cold spell had materialised.

Missed this one out by miles - went for 4.75C ended up over 6.0C

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline Global Warming  
#151 Posted : 01 January 2022 11:40:48(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline western100  
#152 Posted : 01 January 2022 13:56:26(UTC)
western100

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/10/2010(UTC)
Posts: 494
Location: Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

What was the 2021 Cet?
Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

100m ASL

Twitter…..@Weather4u2

Offline Global Warming  
#153 Posted : 01 January 2022 14:01:52(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Originally Posted by: western100 Go to Quoted Post
What was the 2021 Cet?

Hadley has 10.26C  https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

I think that means I win the annual CET competition as I predicted 10.32C!

You were second with 10.10C.

Here is a reminder of the predictions

Chart 1

 

Edited by user 01 January 2022 14:06:23(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline western100  
#154 Posted : 01 January 2022 14:13:59(UTC)
western100

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/10/2010(UTC)
Posts: 494
Location: Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

 

Hadley has 10.26C  https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

I think that means I win the annual CET competition as I predicted 10.32C!

You were second with 10.10C.

Here is a reminder of the predictions

Chart 1

 

Congratulations on your annual prediction 👍🏼
I was looking good after Day 10 in December then it all went a bit mild 😂

Coldest year since 2013 thanks to a cold spring. 

Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

100m ASL

Twitter…..@Weather4u2

Online Caz  
#155 Posted : 01 January 2022 14:46:29(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,948
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post
 Wow!

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Online Caz  
#156 Posted : 01 January 2022 14:47:29(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,948
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

 

Hadley has 10.26C  https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

I think that means I win the annual CET competition as I predicted 10.32C!

You were second with 10.10C.

Here is a reminder of the predictions

Chart 1

 

Congratulations GW!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Global Warming  
#157 Posted : 01 January 2022 14:52:30(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Here are the charts for December

The minimum CET was over 2C above average although only the 16th warmest on record.

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chart 3

Edited by user 01 January 2022 15:24:07(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline Global Warming  
#158 Posted : 01 January 2022 14:57:50(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Here are the annual charts

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline Global Warming  
#159 Posted : 01 January 2022 15:21:54(UTC)
Global Warming

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 6,714
United Kingdom
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke

Annual CET competition - year-end update

Firstly congratulations to marting for winning the December competition with an error of just 0.04C.

In the annual table there is no change at the top this month. In the end Spring Sun Winter Dread is a comfortable winner by just over 1C. Saint Snow finishes second and Bolty third.

Grandad props up the table this year with an error of 20.02C.

Link to full size table

This table shows all the monthly prediction errors and positions of everyone in the final table. Yellow highlight indicates a prediction error of <0.5C and orange highlight indicates a missed prediction.

Table 2

Edited by user 01 January 2022 15:23:10(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Chineham, Basingstoke, Hampshire, 89m asl

Live weather data: https://www.weatherlink....2-4760-be27-6cc9a5a1fc4c

Offline lanky  
#160 Posted : 01 January 2022 15:22:43(UTC)
lanky

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 5,131
Man

Originally Posted by: Global Warming Go to Quoted Post

Here are the charts for December

As expected 31 Dec saw the highest Hadley CET mean on record for any December date since 1659. Mean CET was 13.2C. Previous highest was 13.1C on 19 Dec 2015.

The minimum CET was over 2C above average although only the 16th warmest on record.

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chart 3

Is that right ?

I thought I saw 12.9 when I went into the MetO database

Martin

Richmond, Surrey

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