Give the guy a break, he will deliver when he's good and ready.

You have the wrong end of the stick

Here are the December predictions - sorry for the delay

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Table

Thanks, GW and, like others have said, don't worry about the delay. Glad you're OK.

Met Office Hadley        6.3c       Anomaly       1.5c provisional to 19th

Metcheck                    5.98c      Anomaly        0.99c

Netweather                 6.47c      Anomaly         1.38c

Peasedown St John    7.2      Anomaly          2.3c.  

Here are the December predictions - sorry for the delay

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Table

Life is busy  Thanks for all your efforts 

Met Office Hadley       6.1c       Anomaly      1.3c provisional to20th

Metcheck                    5.89c     Anomaly      0.89

Netweather                 6.4c      Anomaly       1.31c

Peasedown St John    6.54c    Anomaly    2.44c.

Thanks for the update GW. Nice to know I'm not out on a limb with a near-average prediction - had that happen more than once this year!

Continuing to see 'neutralising' GFS output, CET-wise. Perhaps even a touch below 5°C to finish, if cold air hangs on right to the end of the year - such an outcome has gained a bit of model support today.

https://twitter.com/peacockreports/status/1473382081044656134

As you can imagine, I've been on a very tension-inducing ride these past few days, with scenarios ranging from an average to mild final week to generally cold or very cold.

A bit of a coming together on 'mostly cold, possible interruption around 30th' by today's 12z set.

The global weather patterns are in an extremely perturbed state at the moment due to a very prolonged Pacific MJO event conflicting with the La Nina base state, so the models are likely to continue having a hard time resolving blocking features, which should tend to feature a lot more than usual for at least a few more weeks.

Which is to say, I'm not anticipating an easy opening month to 2022 for this competition! 

Just did some calculations using my latest final Dec CET estimate which is just below 5°C.

That would mean SSWD won by a country mile with an annual total error of 8.28°C.

In 2nd would be Saint Snow with 9.08°C, while Bolty would claim the final podium place with 9.38°C.

Just did some calculations using my latest final Dec CET estimate which is just below 5°C.

That would mean SSWD won by a country mile with an annual total error of 8.28°C.

In 2nd would be Saint Snow with 9.08°C, while Bolty would claim the final podium place with 9.38°C.

 

This 'cold' snap has been a real disappointment. And chances of a proper freeze over the Xmas period to the NY have receded a lot today. 

Met Office Hadley        6.0c       Anomaly        1.2c provisional to 21st

Metcheck                     5.7c       Anomaly         9.c

Netweather                  6.28c     Anomaly         1.10c

Peasedown St John     6.54c     Anomaly       1.64c.  

This 'cold' snap has been a real disappointment. And chances of a proper freeze over the Xmas period to the NY have receded a lot today. 

Even more so today. I now think that it will be well over 5.0C by the end of the month ....

Given the latest mo December's CET is likely to be in excess of 6c

Reckon my guess of 6.5c is going to be close. Males a change for me to be anywhere near!! 🤣🤣

Met Office Hadley      5.9c      Anomaly      1.0c provisional to 22nd

Metcheck                   5.62      Anomaly       0.63c

Netweather                6.1c      Anomaly       1.01c

Peasedown St John   6.35c     Anomaly    1.63c. 

Latest CET tracker shows a very warm finish to the month. Record date means are possible on 30th and 31st.

Current estimate is for the CET to finish around 6.5C.

Chart 1

Chart 2

Latest CET tracker shows a very warm finish to the month. Record date means are possible on 30th and 31st.

Current estimate is for the CET to finish around 6.5C.

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Chart 1

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Chart 2

What's the prize for the wooden spoon? 

 

What's the prize for the wooden spoon? 

A spoon......

Made of wood.🤣

A spoon......

Made of wood.🤣

Now that's just silly, Dave 

Met Office Hadley          5.9c         Anomaly        1.0c provisional to 23rd

Metcheck                       5.70c       Anomaly         0.70c

Netweather                    6.16c       Anomaly         1.07c

Peasedown St John      6.17c        Anomaly        1.3c.

Latest CET tracker shows a very warm finish to the month. Record date means are possible on 30th and 31st.

Current estimate is for the CET to finish around 6.5C.

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Chart 1

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Chart 2

Thanks GW.  Another very mild December. 

Amazing to think it's 11 years since we had a cold December (though what a December it was) 

Merry Christmas my friend.

Latest CET tracker shows a very warm finish to the month. Record date means are possible on 30th and 31st.

Current estimate is for the CET to finish around 6.5C.

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Chart 1

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Chart 2