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Offline Surrey John  
#81 Posted : 26 September 2021 07:20:09(UTC)
Surrey John

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 19/10/2007(UTC)
Posts: 992
Man
Location: West Wiltshire

Another month where I was miles out with my prediction.

Will have to try and guess better in October, do I just guess now, or wait 4 days and still guess wrong.

Bradford on Avon, Wiltshire

35m ASL

Online lanky  
#82 Posted : 26 September 2021 07:47:40(UTC)
lanky

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 4,985
Man

Originally Posted by: Surrey John Go to Quoted Post
Another month where I was miles out with my prediction.

Will have to try and guess better in October, do I just guess now, or wait 4 days and still guess wrong.

You and everyone else

Everyone has gone too low in September and everyone except Hippydave went too high in August

I guess we are all more predictable than the actual weather on here

 

Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Offline Spring Sun Winter Dread  
#83 Posted : 26 September 2021 08:50:35(UTC)
Spring Sun Winter Dread

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 01/01/2016(UTC)
Posts: 220
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Aylesbury, Bucks

Yes

I guess I'd just seen the "scorching hot start to September followed by 3 weeks of cool dross" pattern too many times to believe this year would be the exception

But it truly has been. September started on full blast summer mode and even now as I sit here in the 26th , this could pass for a mid July day easily. As could almost any day in the month.

Online ARTzeman  
#84 Posted : 26 September 2021 10:17:16(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,969
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Slight Rise..

Met Office Hadley      16.9c.      Anomaly      3.1c provisional to 25th

Metcheck                   16.18c     Anomaly      2.46c

Netweather                16.8c       Anomaly      3.1c

Peasedown St John   16.3c      Anomaly     2.02c.          

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#85 Posted : 26 September 2021 13:45:13(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,655
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

Slight Rise..

Met Office Hadley      16.9c.      Anomaly      3.1c provisional to 25th

Metcheck                   16.18c     Anomaly      2.46c

Netweather                16.8c       Anomaly      3.1c

Peasedown St John   16.3c      Anomaly     2.02c.          

4 days left - Shame a change is taking place from tomorrow - If that hadn't happened reckon we could have a 17.0C

 

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline Caz  
#86 Posted : 26 September 2021 17:51:18(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,637
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: lanky Go to Quoted Post

You and everyone else

Everyone has gone too low in September and everyone except Hippydave went too high in August

I guess we are all more predictable than the actual weather on here

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Caz  
#87 Posted : 26 September 2021 17:56:40(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,637
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread Go to Quoted Post
Yes
I guess I'd just seen the "scorching hot start to September followed by 3 weeks of cool dross" pattern too many times to believe this year would be the exception
But it truly has been. September started on full blast summer mode and even now as I sit here in the 26th , this could pass for a mid July day easily. As could almost any day in the month.
June and July were lovely here but August was very cloudy and has been far surpassed by September!  If this month had been like August, it would have been a long winter but I don’t mind going into Autumn now we’ve had some warm sunshine! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Online ARTzeman  
#88 Posted : 27 September 2021 10:12:55(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,969
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley      16.9c      Anomaly      3.1c provisional to 26th

Metcheck                   16.21c    Anomaly      2.49c

Netweather                16.81c    Anomaly      3.12c

Peasedown St John    16.27c    Anomaly      1.99c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Online ARTzeman  
#89 Posted : 28 September 2021 10:25:47(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,969
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        16.8c        Anomaly       3.0c provisional to 27th

Metcheck                     16..06c     Anomaly       2.34c

Netweather                  16.72c      Anomaly       3.03c

Peasedown St John     16.1c        Anomaly      1.82c.            

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline four  
#90 Posted : 28 September 2021 10:47:44(UTC)
four

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 21,258
Location: N.Y.Moors

Mean falling quickly now but final 2 or 3 days won't make much difference, currently 14.6C (+2.0C) here
Online ARTzeman  
#91 Posted : 29 September 2021 11:50:08(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,969
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       16.6c       Anomaly       2.9c provisional to 28th

Metcheck                    15.89c     Anomaly       2.17c

Netweather                 16.58c     Anomaly       2.89c

Peasedown St John    16.1c     ANOMALY       1.82C.  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Online ARTzeman  
#92 Posted : 30 September 2021 10:15:43(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,969
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        16.4c       Anomaly       2.8c provisional to 29th

Metcheck                     15.71c     Anomaly       1.98c

Netweather                  16.28c     Anomaly       2.69c

Peasedown St John     15.72c     Anoamlyy      1.44c.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Saint Snow  
#93 Posted : 30 September 2021 21:26:32(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 54,340
Man
Location: St Helens

No October temp thread?

 

(hope late entries don't get docked )

 

 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline GezM  
#94 Posted : 01 October 2021 08:25:14(UTC)
GezM

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,290
Man
United Kingdom
Location: St Albans

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow Go to Quoted Post

No October temp thread?

 

(hope late entries don't get docked )

 

 

I was just looking for the October thread myself. I'm sure Mr GW will give us reasonable time to get our predictions (guesses) in after the thread appears. 

Not sure why I'm that interested really as I must be near rock bottom after September 

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#95 Posted : 01 October 2021 09:49:10(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,655
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: GezM Go to Quoted Post

 

I was just looking for the October thread myself. I'm sure Mr GW will give us reasonable time to get our predictions (guesses) in after the thread appears. 

Not sure why I'm that interested really as I must be near rock bottom after September 

I'll sticky the October thread as soon as I see it.

 

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline The Professional  
#96 Posted : 01 October 2021 11:07:38(UTC)
The Professional

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 31/12/2010(UTC)
Posts: 185
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Kings Worthy

Final answer for September is 15.92c, from here: https://www.metoffice.go...bs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021. This is 0.09c higher than the final August figure.

So everyone ends too low for September, but with WI the closest - impressively, only 0.18c shy. Congrats, a big gain on the rest of the field!

Offline GezM  
#97 Posted : 01 October 2021 11:24:14(UTC)
GezM

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,290
Man
United Kingdom
Location: St Albans

Well done Whether Idle. An excellent prediction in a month of a big anomaly!
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Offline Saint Snow  
#98 Posted : 01 October 2021 13:28:23(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 54,340
Man
Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: The Professional Go to Quoted Post
Final answer for September is 15.92c, from here: https://www.metoffice.go...bs/hadcet/cet_mean_2021. This is 0.09c higher than the final August figure.

So everyone ends too low for September, but with WI the closest - impressively, only 0.18c shy. Congrats, a big gain on the rest of the field!

 

Like me and a couple of others, WI is liable for a 0.2c 'correction' for a late entry.

 

 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline Hippydave  
#99 Posted : 01 October 2021 14:08:01(UTC)
Hippydave

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/12/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,654
Location: Tunbridge Wells

Congratulations to WI

Been a funny year CET wise, with some large swings month to month and even during some months, making it hard to judge. Probably find that volatility will disappear in time for winter and we'll get months of wet and mild

Home: Tunbridge Wells

Work: West Malling

Offline Whether Idle  
#100 Posted : 01 October 2021 14:59:57(UTC)
Whether Idle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 03/09/2006(UTC)
Posts: 9,187
Man
Location: Dover

Thanks guys. I have a penalty to pay. Anyway it’s up to the boss. Its fair. The irony is I was going to go for an outrageous 16.01 but forgot to do it and then changed my prediction for the worse after I panicked having forgotten to do my entry. Serves me right.

I would advise all to get their predictions in by midnight tonight. By PM to GW.

Edited by user 01 October 2021 15:01:42(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
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