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June UK temperature analysis and discussion
Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,714  Location: Chineham, Basingstoke
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 55,422  Location: St Helens
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming  Congrats to WI, but a huge disappointment in the final figure after a great start. The overall table isn't going to get the seismic jolt that a figure well into the 16's would have given. |
Martin Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics." Aneurin Bevan
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,714 Location: Chineham, Basingstoke
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Here are the daily stats by station (per my calculations rather than official figures). West was best this month. The maximum temperature at Stonyhurst was almost as high as Pershore College. In the final three days of the month, Stonyhurst was by far the warmest station. Table |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,714 Location: Chineham, Basingstoke
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC) Posts: 23,920  Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Oh wow! Well done WI! That is impressive!  |
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire. Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 12,633 Location: Crowthorne, Berks
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Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month. When was the last time we had got to July 1st without 30C being reached in the UK? Must be a few years ago. |
Darren Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl) South Berkshire Winter 2021/2: Snow Days: 4 Snow Cover Days: 1 Current Depth: 0 cm Max Depth: 1 cm Total Depth: 1 cm Arborfield Winter Snow Depth Totals: 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,714 Location: Chineham, Basingstoke
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Annual CET competition - June update Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month. Table |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,714 Location: Chineham, Basingstoke
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Originally Posted by: Darren S Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month. When was the last time we had got to July 1st without 30C being reached in the UK? Must be a few years ago. 2014 |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 12/01/2013(UTC)
Posts: 1,709
Location: Bolton 160m asl
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Annual CET competition - June update Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month. Table Still 5th so I shouldn't really complain but with a 15.92C prediction I had hoped for so much more this month.... |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 12,633 Location: Crowthorne, Berks
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Annual CET competition - June update Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month. Table How the mighty have fallen!  |
Darren Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl) South Berkshire Winter 2021/2: Snow Days: 4 Snow Cover Days: 1 Current Depth: 0 cm Max Depth: 1 cm Total Depth: 1 cm Arborfield Winter Snow Depth Totals: 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 04/01/2012(UTC) Posts: 9,322 Location: Bishop's Stortford, Hertfordshire
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Annual CET competition - June update Here is the latest competition table. No significant change at the top part of the table this month. Most people had very close predictions. Overall the prediction error was less than 0.5C on average this month. Table Heady days for me , very unusual. |
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 31/12/2010(UTC) Posts: 188 Location: Kings Worthy
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Well done WI. It must also be very unusual to have 6 entrants guess within 0.03c of the final result! I'm very happy finishing 0.02c away, particularly as it looked like I'd be a long way out at the halfway point. Looking at the latest competition table, it's not ridiculous to say that anyone could still win it (including Darren!).
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 01/01/2014(UTC)
Posts: 261
Location: Wrightington, Wigan
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 1,629 Location: Watford
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Well done WI  |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 24/10/2008(UTC) Posts: 12,076 Location: West Hants
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Well done to all who were within half a degree of the actual this month. Given the two halves nature, it was a tricky one to pin down. Incidentally, if you'd predicted the 1991-2020 average for every month so far, you'd be in 24th place, so it's not been an easy year to date! I'm still hauling myself up the steps from near the bottom after the Jan-Feb fiasco. Especially Feb, without which I'd be in 8th place and a bit saner of mind  . Very interested in seeing the July estimates. It's one of those months which is starting differently to how most longer-range forecast products have been predicting it will be overall. Always a trickier customer! |
If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :)
Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2021's Homeland Extremes: T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb) Keep Calm and Forecast On |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 55,422 Location: St Helens
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Originally Posted by: Darren S Disappointed, I thought I was finally going to get some luck in this year's competition mid month. This month was cruel. PS - GW, a tiny point of order: I was sitting in 10th last month and am up to 7th; that's a rise of 3 places not 5. But thanks as always for your superb running of this comp. |
Martin Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics." Aneurin Bevan
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 03/09/2006(UTC) Posts: 9,191 Location: Dover
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Originally Posted by: Global Warming Thanks GW. I figured out the month of 2 halves, my thinking being it was going to go downhill. Getting the month spot on was a tad on the fortunate side. But it moved me up only 5 places in the table as most people hedged their bets. Now to July! |
Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast. |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 17/03/2012(UTC)
Posts: 29,942
Location: Irlam
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The first half of 2021 has been pretty similiar to that of 1966 1996 2.9 5.7 6.5 7.2 11.0 15.4 2021 3.1 5.1 7.2 6.4 10.1 15.5 July 1966 had a CET of 15.0C.... |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC) Posts: 1,382 Location: St Albans
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Originally Posted by: Saint PS - GW, a tiny point of order: I was sitting in 10th last month and am up to 7th Yes, it might be worth checking the latest table. I noticed a certain person in 22nd place has reduced their overall anomaly by about 0 5C this month and has jumped 14 places as a result. Perhaps there was another correction to their results? Edited by user 02 July 2021 09:05:27(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified |
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl) Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl) |
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Rank: Advanced Member
Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC) Posts: 6,714 Location: Chineham, Basingstoke
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Originally Posted by: Saint Snow This month was cruel. PS - GW, a tiny point of order: I was sitting in 10th last month and am up to 7th; that's a rise of 3 places not 5. But thanks as always for your superb running of this comp. Sorry about that. I won't repost the table for that small error. I think the movements for everyone else are correct. |
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