picturesareme
24 May 2020 17:02:37

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


 


Yes but on the same page it admits the forecast can still be lower than the actual levels, as O3 is unpredictable at certain times of year.


It quotes March/ April but there seems to be evidence of unusually low O3 overhead at different times of the year too.



I think you have missed the point. The point was just because they are forecasting on the automated forecasts an 8 it doesn't mean that is what is expected as they automatically rounded it up.


The 8's on the forecast maps or in reality the 7's that have been at times widespread over past weeks will be due to lower then normal ozone above.

Bertwhistle
25 May 2020 11:35:48

Friday forecast:


8s for the most of S England & S Wales ; 7s up into the Highlands, even N of Aberdeen.


6 for the N of Shetland. As good as it gets (apart from the rare 9s in S Devon Retron sometimes spots!)


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/gcp1by0nd#?map=MaxUVIndex&fcTime=1590710400&zoom=9&lon=-1.23&lat=60.59


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
26 May 2020 14:30:05

Chilton 7.5


Reading 7.8


Camborne 7.9


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
28 May 2020 15:15:49

Reading 8.0


Camborne 8.1


Chilton below 8


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
29 May 2020 10:01:10

8s forecast today as far as the far N of Wales and N Lincolnshire; and tomorrow- as far as Dentdale in N Yorkshire!


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/gcp1by0nd#?map=MaxUVIndex&fcTime=1590796800&zoom=9&lon=-1.86&lat=54.20


Don't think I've seen it forecast as far N as that. Linked to the clear air of the Dales?


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
29 May 2020 15:23:30

Camborne & Reading both 8.0


Chilton 7.7


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
31 May 2020 09:19:43

7s forecast as far N as Wick and even Thurso.


Surely reduced pollution under lockdown has impacted on this? It's quite late now for the spring 03 thinning, but regardless, I haven't seen 7 forecast for the far N coast of Scotland before.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/gcp1by0nd#?map=MaxUVIndex&fcTime=1590883200&zoom=9&lon=-3.47&lat=58.39


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
02 June 2020 17:43:25

Last two days Reading: 7.6, 7.8


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
02 June 2020 17:45:20

Reading: 17 days so far this year with a UV of 7 or more. 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
13 June 2020 12:57:21

After a darker spell, Reading has managed 7.2 today and Chilton 7.5


That's 20 days of 7+ with an 8 on 5th.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
14 June 2020 16:29:44

Seems I was premature about Chilton yesterday- 7.8; unless this is yet another data service subject to adjustments. Best if data is not published provisionally- not much point in it.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
20 June 2020 09:05:19

8 forecast right up to N Yorks and beyond, to Barnard castle in Teesdale (County Durham) on Wednesday!


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/gcp1by0nd#?map=MaxUVIndex&fcTime=1592956800&zoom=9&lon=-2.19&lat=54.70


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Retron
20 June 2020 16:35:56
FWIW, the first 9s have appeared on the UV map - but only over the Channel Isles!
Leysdown, north Kent
Bertwhistle
20 June 2020 16:38:06

Originally Posted by: Retron 

FWIW, the first 9s have appeared on the UV map - but only over the Channel Isles!


Thanks Darren- it's always you that spots them first!


Add - 3 days' worth forecast for Jersey; still impressed.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Retron
21 June 2020 04:55:19

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


 


Thanks Darren- it's always you that spots them first!


Add - 3 days' worth forecast for Jersey; still impressed.



They've made it to England now - screenshot attached, as it'll probably come and go as the forecasts update through the day!


(Click for full size)



Leysdown, north Kent
Bertwhistle
21 June 2020 12:21:58

Originally Posted by: Retron 


 


They've made it to England now - screenshot attached, as it'll probably come and go as the forecasts update through the day!


(Click for full size)




Yep; interesting this time that most of Cornwall is included by Wednesday:


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/gbvmf1rg9#?map=MaxUVIndex&fcTime=1592956800&zoom=9&lon=-4.60&lat=50.27


And it extends into Dorset (as far N as Gillingham) and Somerset (Wincanton)as well. Amazing.


8s as far as Durham including almost all of England and the whole of Wales; and 6 in Sella Ness in N Shetland.


The 9s are gone by Thursday. I wonder if the Channel Isles will ever suggest a 10.


Edit- unlikely as even the resorts of SW France like Biarritz are only up for a 9!


 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
22 June 2020 15:32:06

Reading 8.3


Chilton 8.7


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Retron
22 June 2020 16:35:09

FWIW, the latest model run has 8s into Scotland... not sure if I've ever seen them that far north before.


Could be quite a shock in store for our northern contingent if that comes to pass!



Leysdown, north Kent
Bertwhistle
23 June 2020 14:22:36

Today's highlights: 8.6 in Leeds and 7.0 in Lerwick. Both could be records.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Bertwhistle
24 June 2020 10:28:06

Incredible.


The whole of Cornwall, most of Devon and most of Dorset forecast 9 today!


 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
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