The 159 patients who died in England were aged between 32 and 98 years old and all had underlying health conditions apart from 4 aged between 56 and 87 years old.

As with previous days some deaths potentially happened up to 1 week ago they are not all in a single 24-hour period.

 

It's still early days, but it's probably the first indication that we won't reach the numbers of Italy/Spain for the reasons discussed. I don't think we've seen the peak in the number of deaths yet though.

Good to be prepared, but based on the trends will anyone even need to enter the Excel arena that was hurried together? 

Something isn’t adding up here?

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As with previous days some deaths potentially happened up to 1 week ago they are not all in a single 24-hour period.

This makes the daily numbers almost meaningless, weekly averages might be a better indication of mortality.

The 159 patients who died in England were aged between 32 and 98 years old and all had underlying health conditions apart from 4 aged between 56 and 87 years old.

As with previous days some deaths potentially happened up to 1 week ago they are not all in a single 24-hour period.

That final paragraph is key - no chance to draw trends from such data. 

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 Good to be prepared, but based on the trends will anyone even need to enter the Excel arena that was hurried together? 

Something isn’t adding up here?

I wouldn't go that far, I still expect our numbers to deteriorate. The most important number anyway is hospital admissions and I don't know if it gets published daily and consistently.

 

BREAKING:

A further 184 people have died as a result of COVID-19

This is the third successive day that the number of deaths age dropped and this is good news.

Horrendous and terrible for those families affected.

Dead right - But thank God the figures hopefully have peaked.

 

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That final paragraph is key - no chance to draw trends from such data. 

Yes, now I am confused. Does this mean we could actually have another big spike in a few days. It’s really hard to deduce where we are.

 

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Also Sky has the figures. But I am not sure where they get there data from as PHE have not officially updated yet?

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Also Sky has the figures. But I am not sure where they get there data from as PHE have not officially updated yet?

187 is the confirmed figure from worldometer. (159 is the England only amount).

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UK deaths

• England - 1,284


• Wales - 62


• Scotland - 47 


• Northern Ireland - 22

A five day moving average probably a better way to measure deaths. Also suggests we are not yet at the peak, I would expect more rises for at least a few days overall

 

Good to be prepared, but based on the trends will anyone even need to enter the Excel arena that was hurried together? 

Something isn’t adding up here?

Strangely enough ,I said yesterday is there something they aren't telling us ? All of a sudden field hospitals are being erected ready for some big numbers it seems 

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A five day moving average probably a better way to measure deaths. Also suggests we are not yet at the peak, I would expect more rises for at least a few days overall

Well Darren ( Retron ) is expecting a BIG jump very soon 

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9,000 patients are now in hospitals with Coronavirus

An increase of 2,800 since Friday

 

Well Darren ( Retron ) is expecting a BIG jump very soon 

Yup, I don't think we've peaked and the numbers should continue to rise over the next week. Whether it catches up to where it should be or not (20% to 30% a day increases) remains to be seen.

(Then again, deaths from 2 weeks ago being reported... makes a mockery of the whole thing, doesn't it?)

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This makes the daily numbers almost meaningless, weekly averages might be a better indication of mortality.

It's potentially good though as it indicates they're probably doing thorough autopsies on victims to be sure it death was directly caused by coronavirus rather than someone dying whilst infected. 

If this was to be the case then our final dead might end up being lower than some of the countries on the continent. I read somewhere earlier in the outbreak that Italy was basically marking down anybody that died whilst infected as a victim of the virus regardless.

As of yesterday we had 19,522 cases - going on the expected deaths and the associated % , there is going to have to be another 600,000 cases , on that it seems we haven't even bloody started ………………..or there are some very dodgy predictions flying around.

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Perhaps it is more self limiting than widely thought? If that's the case perhaps the Wuhan / China numbers would make more sense.

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Perhaps it is more self limiting than widely thought? If that's the case perhaps the Wuhan / China numbers would make more sense.

This article claims the true death toll in Wuhan was 42,000.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11283933/wuhan-coronavirus-death-toll-cover-up-urns/

Based on a population of 11 million, given numbers of asymptomatic cases - you could have had 8 million infected and 0.5% dead - maybe they have reached herd immunity?

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A remarkable decline if you ask me, from 280 on Saturday.

It does look good on the face of it and I sincerely hope this is the case and it’s a trend.  I don’t want to get too excited about it and I’m wondering, is today’s figure lower because it’s Monday and there’s a greater lag in reporting weekend deaths?  Sorry to put a dampener on it! I’m quite often wrong!  

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