Saint Snow
27 February 2020 14:31:42

Originally Posted by: idj20 

Imagine us trying to pronounce Germany's turn



 


Imagine 'us' trying to pronounce any foreign name?


Would 'we' just mispronounce it in an Anglicised way, but speak louder?


 


 



Martin
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DEW
  • DEW
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27 February 2020 17:40:24

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

 


Or no names at all. It’s all a bit farcical.



Or go capitalist - Wiki says you can sponsor a storm and get naming rights in Germay


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_windstorm#Germany


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
JACKO4EVER
27 February 2020 17:54:36

Originally Posted by: DEW 


 


Or go capitalist - Wiki says you can sponsor a storm and get naming rights in Germay


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_windstorm#Germany



Im all in- I’m naming my first one Storm Trump- blows hot and cold, full of wind and as miserable as a wet weekend. 

RobN
  • RobN
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27 February 2020 19:16:56

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


Imagine 'us' trying to pronounce any foreign name?


Would 'we' just mispronounce it in an Anglicised way, but speak louder?


 


 



It's amusing today listening to some of the media presenter's attempts at the vocalisation of "Jorge".


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
llamedos
27 February 2020 19:23:24

As mundane as it may be........on topic please 


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SJV
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27 February 2020 19:24:06

Originally Posted by: JACKO4EVER 


 


Im all in- I’m naming my first one Storm Trump- blows hot and cold, full of wind and as miserable as a wet weekend. 



and has a distinct orange hue to the sky as well.


 


edit: sorry John 


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RobN
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27 February 2020 22:35:04

GFS 12Z shows a now rare chart phenomenon, even for deep FI...



...not a doubt it'll be gone when the 18Z finishes rolling out.


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
BJBlake
28 February 2020 00:15:50
Tonight's GFS sees the winter long procession of 2013 type Atlantic necklace of depressions and storms, Spamish or otherwise, come to an end by the 9th of March,
As March turns from its entrance as cool bear into roasting lamb - as winter bypasses spring and we turn on the sun lamp....universally welcome - considering the spreading contagion and having suffered this wet blight of a winter for too long...I'd say hi to any high right now, even a Bartlett.
Brecklands, South Norfolk 28m ASL
David M Porter
28 February 2020 00:37:39

Encouraging to see GFS continuing with the theme of HP taking over in FI. We just need that theme to be maintained as the time period in question gets nearer.


Lenzie, Glasgow

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DEW
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28 February 2020 07:40:51

The Atlantic phase seems to be blowing itself out according to GFS after a deep LP off Scotland on Sun 1st/Mon 2nd (i.e. storm Jorge continuing) and a shallow LP in the Channel Thu 5th. HP then develops from the S, moving northwards, to be strongest over Scotland on Mon 9th at 1035mb. Thereafter to Sun 15th HP hangs around but shows the somewhat unusual feature of being split into two main centres, one on each side of the UK, as a shallow trough  from France comes and goes.


ECM sharply different from Sun 8th with deep LP over Scotland and trough to S England with strong northerlies following but a hint of the HP developing on the Atlantic at the same time.


GEFS ens much as yesterday, a spell of wet weather (esp in S & W) through to about Mon 9th with temps on the cool side, somewhat uncertainly milder and drier after that. Snow row figures in decline after week 1.


 Jetstream weaker and all over the place in week 2


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
idj20
28 February 2020 09:57:55

Yes, GFS does look encouraging in terms of holding onto the idea of a high pressure theme in the FI range . . . but on the other hand with the latest ECM run . . . 


Folkestone Harbour. 
four
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28 February 2020 10:12:39
GFS suggests practically no rain here after this weekend for some ten days, none too warm though.
Phil G
28 February 2020 11:11:24

Originally Posted by: idj20 


Yes, GFS does look encouraging in terms of holding onto the idea of a high pressure theme in the FI range . . . but on the other hand with the latest ECM run . . . 



Yes Ian ECM 240 quite different to GFS. Be interesting who 'backs down', or if they meet in the middle.

ozone_aurora
28 February 2020 13:04:55

Not sure it's a right thread, but wish to note some interesting convective clouds just off Brest Peninsula, that is in the middle of a warm sector, looking at current pressure charts.

Seems more like Summer.

sunny coast
28 February 2020 22:02:19
BBC weather 9. 55 favours another deep low for next weekend possibly a named storm. They only give 30 percent probability of a more amplified jet and a high pressure now.
DEW
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29 February 2020 07:22:10

Briefly - I'm pressed for time - GFS has storm Jorge this weekend and has now come in line with yesterdays' ECM in predicting another storm next weekend (Sun 8th, 960mb Shetland, cf SC's post), slack LP during the week between. Thereafter high pressure building from the south, centred to the SE at first with S-ly winds but by Mon 16th retrogressed into the Atlantic with more of a NW-ly.


ECM meanwhile has toned down the storm for the 8th but seems reluctant to develop the subsequent HP


GEFS cool to 10th, then mostly milder but with wide variations. Some rain to 10th (v. little in NE England and Scotland bar a burst around the 10th itself) but less than yesterday forecast and then drier


 


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
BJBlake
29 February 2020 10:09:29

Originally Posted by: DEW 


Briefly - I'm pressed for time - GFS has storm Jorge this weekend and has now come in line with yesterdays' ECM in predicting another storm next weekend (Sun 8th, 960mb Shetland, cf SC's post), slack LP during the week between. Thereafter high pressure building from the south, centred to the SE at first with S-ly winds but by Mon 16th retrogressed into the Atlantic with more of a NW-ly.


ECM meanwhile has toned down the storm for the 8th but seems reluctant to develop the subsequent HP


GEFS cool to 10th, then mostly milder but with wide variations. Some rain to 10th (v. little in NE England and Scotland bar a burst around the 10th itself) but less than yesterday forecast and then drier


 



yes - that has seemed to be a common thread of the GFES - the warming post 10th. It seems gradually though it favours a bless settled version of this warming trend. Will it last? The hint a northerly blast, not uncommon at Easter periods historically, but this late Easter may be after the event. Having said that the 10th - 12th of April is often chill. Possibly a Buchan cold spell from vague memory...polar maritime cool, wet respite will do me...


Brecklands, South Norfolk 28m ASL
idj20
29 February 2020 19:40:25

The 12z GFS seems to be keen on high pressure moving in the second week of March, while ECM is just having f*****g none of it. A very diverging output in the 240 hr range. 


Folkestone Harbour. 
RobN
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29 February 2020 19:55:34

Originally Posted by: idj20 


The 12z GFS seems to be keen on high pressure moving in the second week of March, while ECM is just having f*****g none of it. A very diverging output in the 240 hr range. 



Yes a continuation of the stand-off between the big boys. Which one will blink first?


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
DEW
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01 March 2020 07:37:01

jetstream showing more of a buckled pattern than has been the case for all of Feb, but still strong around the UK for the next few days and again around Mon 16th.


GFS keeps westerlies going for this week, with a final blast on Sat 7th with tail-end northerlies, after which HP to end of run around Tue 17th centred mainly over central England at 1030mb (slight wobble around the 14th)


ECM plays down the storm on the 7th (having been the first to signal this feature, now the first to lose it) but will have nothing to do with a UK high pressure and keeps westerlies to end of run on Wed 11th


BBC hinting that the storm on the 7th will be more significant


GEFS runs agree on cool to 7th after which anything can happen, a lot of temp variability between runs and individual runs up and down. Rain petering out after 10th Mar (not much in N & E anyway).


It doesn't look as if the models have much of a handle on week 2


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
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