I wonder where the overall CET for this winter is now. Must be well in excess of 6.0C

 

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I wonder where the overall CET for this winter is now. Must be well in excess of 6.0C

 

I can’t remember what the CET for December was but January was over 6c.  The current output suggests February’s will fall though. 

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December CET  6.9c

January    CET  6.4c

February to 19th 6.5c.      AVERAGE TO DATE 6.6c  For Winter.  

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December CET  6.9c

January    CET  6.4c

February to 19th 6.5c.      AVERAGE TO DATE 6.6c  For Winter.  

So we're heading for this winter to be in the top 5 for mildness.

The record I beleive is 6.77C

 

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Met Office Hadley         6.5c.    Anomaly     2.9c.  Provisional to 29th.

Metcheck                      6.42c   Anomaly     2.22c

Netweather                   6.97c   Anomaly     2.78c

Peasedown St John      7.5c     Anomaly     -0.1c  

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December CET  6.9c

January    CET  6.4c

February to 19th 6.5c.      AVERAGE TO DATE 6.6c  For Winter.  

 

December's CET was 5.8c, I think the year before was 6.9c, so if February stays at 6.5c we will end up with 6.23c for the winter. It would be the 8th warmest winter on record, tied with 1990.

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Definitely 5.8. For December 2019

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Met Office Hadley now on the 6th day at 6.5c.

Met Office Hadley        6.5c.       Anomaly       2.9c.provisional to 21st.

Metcheck                     6.55c      Anomaly       2.35c

Netweather                  7.0c        Anomaly       2.81c

Peasedown st John     7.5c        Anomaly       -0.1c.

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This month, there seems to have been a repeated pattern whereby cold air (ie 850 temps < -5) sets in quite regularly over UK but with a ridge in close pursuit. Those cold uppers never seem to be adorned with LP more than just fleetingly.

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Despite the cooler conditions next week for a few day’s I’m still going for a winter in the top 5 mildest on official record and (for here) another totally snow free one. Hoping the modelled hour of sleet early Weds am doesn’t spoil it.

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Met Office Hadley        6.6c.      Anomaly      3.0c. Provisional to 22nd.

Metcheck                     6.67c     Anomaly      2.47c

Netweather                  7.12c     Anomaly      2.93c

Peasedown St John     7.6c       Anomaly      0.1c.  

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Met Office Hadley         6.7c        Anomaly       3.0c. Provisional to 23rd.

Metcheck                      6.6c        Anomaly       2.46c

Netweather                   7.19c      Anomaly       3.0c

Peasedown St John      7.7c       Anomaly       0.1c.

  

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Rising still and it’s unlikely to fall below 6c now. Will it equal January?

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I would expect the CET to have now peaked, and to be pegged back to around 6.4 before corrections so a finish in the region of 6.2 would seem plausible.

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I would expect the CET to have now peaked, and to be pegged back to around 6.4 before corrections so a finish in the region of 6.2 would seem plausible.

  That would be slightly lower than January. 

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I would expect the CET to have now peaked, and to be pegged back to around 6.4 before corrections so a finish in the region of 6.2 would seem plausible.

So after 2 poor months, December cost me the title but I'm over that now, it looks like with my prediction of 5.81C I could be back to doing reasonably well, not that I'm following this nearly as closely as I was for the last 6 months of last year!

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Met Office Hadley        6.8c.       Anomaly       3.1c. Provisional to 24th.

Metcheck                     6.68c      Anomaly       2.48c

Netweather                  7.24c      Anomaly       3.05c

Peasedown St John    7.8c         Anomaly        0.2c.    

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Will this really be the peak?  The output suggests it will. 

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Met Office Hadley       6.7c.      Anomaly       3.0c. Provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                   6.55c      Anomaly       2.35c

Netweather                7.15c      Anomaly       2.96c

Peasedown St John   7.7c        Anomaly       0.1c 

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Going down!  What does everyone think it will it go down to?  Maybe lower than January’s 6.39c

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