Not sure if this thread is going ahead; GW I do hope you are okay?

All- I pmd my prediction to GW just in case.

Also all- apologies if I'm just too myopic to have seen the thread somewhere.

Oh!  I hope GW’s OK too. Perhaps he’s busy and hopefully will come along soon with his very useful stats and averages.

I’ve pm’d my December guess. 

Not sure if this thread is going ahead; GW I do hope you are okay?

All- I pmd my prediction to GW just in case.

Also all- apologies if I'm just too myopic to have seen the thread somewhere.

I suggest everyone pm’s their prediction to GW as usual, for him to process when he has the time.  

HT, could you sticky this please?  

I'll sticky this thread. All GW has to do is just enter then what he needs.

I'll sticky this thread. All GW has to do is just enter then what he needs.

 

Sorry I am very behind again as too busy at the moment. Predictions can be made up until midnight tonight.

Historic CET summary for December

1971-2000 5.1C (30 years)  

1981-2010 4.6C (30 years)  

1999-2018 5.1C (last 20 years)  

Thanks GW!  Good to know you’re OK but don’t work too hard! 

Sorry I am very behind again as too busy at the moment. Predictions can be made up until midnight tonight.

Historic CET summary for December

1971-2000 5.1C (30 years)  

1981-2010 4.6C (30 years)  

1999-2018 5.1C (last 20 years)  

Glad you're OK GW; worried for a mo. Were so grateful that you set this up each month, and I don't suppose there's anything we can do to share the load?

Here is the first look at the December tracker.

After a chilly start it looks like temperatures will climb above average as we move into the second week of the month.

TABLE1

TABLE2

Here is the contingency planners forecast from the Met Office. December has a greater than average probability of being milder than average, as does the winter as a whole. Not really surprising when you see what the Met Office's own GLOSEA5 seasonal model has been churning out recently.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/forecast-temp-djf-v1.pdf

Okay so I have predictions now from everyone in the annual competition so I am going to close the December predictions at this point and post the table for you. Some interesting numbers this month. Col and Gusty at opposite ends of the spectrum so should be an interesting month.

TABLE

Okay so I have predictions now from everyone in the annual competition so I am going to close the December predictions at this point and post the table for you. Some interesting numbers this month. Col and Gusty at opposite ends of the spectrum so should be an interesting month.

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

TABLE

Oooh!  That’s interesting indeed!  What a competition!  

Interesting indeed, bring on the cold!

Correct me if i'm wrong but for Col to win the cet needs to be below 4.40.

For a Gusty win it has to be above 5.13

Anything in between the 2 values and gezM wins

Very good contest with the leaders' predictions well spread.

Good luck everyone!Here's hoping I've not guessed too high! 

Oh & of course a big thank you to GW! Hope you're not too snowed under...with work! 

Met Office Hadley           2.4c.       Anomaly        -2.4c Provisional to 1st.

Metcheck                        1.55c      Anomaly        -3.44c

Netweather                     2.48c      Anomaly        -2.63c

Peasedown St John     2.7c         Anomaly       3.27c.          

I'm hoping Mr Ally Pally Snowman wins this month.

 Interesting indeed, bring on the cold!

Interesting indeed.

Bring on the mild