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Offline idj20  
#961 Posted : 07 November 2019 17:18:17(UTC)
idj20

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Location: Folkestone (near the coast)

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 Go to Quoted Post

 

Agreed Marcus - We often say, lets get the pattern in first and then look for the cold. The 850s are not that exciting. But this pattern really is fascinating. Let us hope its not just Jam tomorrow.



Just a break in the wet weather would do us just fine and the past couple of runs offers a glimmer of hope. After all it is only November and some of us in the UK probably have had double the November average rainfall and this is just the first week of the month! 

JACKO4EVER  
#962 Posted : 07 November 2019 18:21:24(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Gooner Go to Quoted Post

 

Would have been sooner but had a few technical issues 

 

Some decent blocked charts around has to be said 

whats that Marcus, tears over Arsenal blow your keyboard? 🤣

some hints in FI again of northern blocking, interesting output for sure 

Offline Russwirral  
#963 Posted : 07 November 2019 18:31:51(UTC)
Russwirral

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Location: Wirral

GFS FI showing a real nice Limbo run.

Kinda wants to do a bit of everything, but mostly i think its trying to get its head around the ongoing northern blocking conundrum

Offline Shropshire  
#964 Posted : 07 November 2019 18:45:00(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Russwirral Go to Quoted Post
GFS FI showing a real nice Limbo run.

Kinda wants to do a bit of everything, but mostly i think its trying to get its head around the ongoing northern blocking conundrum

All too early for anything decent unfortunately.

 

From December 27th 2020, zonality will be banned from mixing with the UK. We appreciate that this may come as a shock to younger people and old Uncle Barty. This ban will last for a minimum of ten days.
Offline Heavy Weather 2013  
#965 Posted : 07 November 2019 18:49:58(UTC)
Heavy Weather 2013

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Location: Muswell Hill, North London

Another dip and extension of the cold on the 850s

Here are the ensembles. 

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

Gustys reverse psychology could be doing the trick 😉

Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

Offline ballamar  
#966 Posted : 07 November 2019 18:53:28(UTC)
ballamar

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Originally Posted by: Shropshire Go to Quoted Post

 

All too early for anything decent unfortunately.

 

no it isn’t - if the pattern persists will go cold

Offline Bertwhistle  
#967 Posted : 07 November 2019 19:09:54(UTC)
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Location: Central Southern England

Check out the GFS 850 ensembles: warm Moscow, snowy Inverness.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

August 2020: best heatwave since '95

Online Brian Gaze  
#968 Posted : 07 November 2019 19:12:04(UTC)
Brian Gaze

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Offline Gusty  
#969 Posted : 07 November 2019 21:00:40(UTC)
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For the first half of November this is a fairly notable run of sub 10c maxes for London ! Signs of something less cool later on hopefully. Again it's deep in FI and cannot be taken too seriously yet. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground...m/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11

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Online Brian Gaze  
#970 Posted : 07 November 2019 21:13:50(UTC)
Brian Gaze

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GFS was upgraded today.

Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Online Saint Snow  
#971 Posted : 07 November 2019 21:16:56(UTC)
Saint Snow

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Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze Go to Quoted Post

GFS was upgraded today.

 

The phrase "everything is relative" comes to mind.

"Poverty exists not because we cannot feed the poor, but because we cannot satisfy the rich."

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

Offline White Meadows  
#972 Posted : 07 November 2019 22:50:02(UTC)
White Meadows

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Location: West Sussex

Hello all, looking forward to another fast approaching silly season.

Recent output continues to be interesting with tonight’s pub run repeating a trend for the jet diving very far south with possible north/ north easterly airflow over the UK next week & beyond 🥶

Offline RobN  
#973 Posted : 07 November 2019 23:05:16(UTC)
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Location: South East Gloucestershire

Originally Posted by: White Meadows Go to Quoted Post
Hello all, looking forward to another fast approaching silly season.

I think it's already arrived

Rob

Most of the time in south east Gloucestershire near the River Thames 75m ASL.

Offline Argyle77  
#974 Posted : 08 November 2019 01:22:54(UTC)
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Very interesting output,the thing is,we have seen this before during the Autumn then once we hit December everything reverts to type again.
Can remember a few years back,we had lots of HLB throughout the Autumn, to only disappear come Dec,never till return untill Spring,can't remember the year,but a common trend to get HLB in any other season accept Winter!

Only recent exception was nov2010 which carried on throughout Dec,can we hit the jackpot again.well the longer this pattern continue ,the greater the chance and it's been going on a fair while already.

Edited by user 08 November 2019 01:24:04(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline White Meadows  
#975 Posted : 08 November 2019 06:37:56(UTC)
White Meadows

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Location: West Sussex

Originally Posted by: Argyle77 Go to Quoted Post

Very interesting output,the thing is,we have seen this before during the Autumn then once we hit December everything reverts to type again.
Can remember a few years back,we had lots of HLB throughout the Autumn, to only disappear come Dec,never till return untill Spring,can't remember the year,but a common trend to get HLB in any other season accept Winter!

Only recent exception was nov2010 which carried on throughout Dec,can we hit the jackpot again.well the longer this pattern continue ,the greater the chance and it's been going on a fair while already.

i think it was 2016-17 which was expected to deliver the goods with blocking as we approached winter, coupled with a promising met office extended outlook. Still, the hair dryer got stuck in the on position and we ended up milder than average again.

2009 and 2010 were excellent winters here, the best in recent times. 

Offline Shropshire  
#976 Posted : 08 November 2019 06:43:57(UTC)
Shropshire

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Location: Staffordshire

Originally Posted by: Argyle77 Go to Quoted Post

Very interesting output,the thing is,we have seen this before during the Autumn then once we hit December everything reverts to type again.
Can remember a few years back,we had lots of HLB throughout the Autumn, to only disappear come Dec,never till return untill Spring,can't remember the year,but a common trend to get HLB in any other season accept Winter!

Only recent exception was nov2010 which carried on throughout Dec,can we hit the jackpot again.well the longer this pattern continue ,the greater the chance and it's been going on a fair while already.

Yep and everything is pointing to a zonal December. As you say 2010 didn't begin until the end of the month.

 

From December 27th 2020, zonality will be banned from mixing with the UK. We appreciate that this may come as a shock to younger people and old Uncle Barty. This ban will last for a minimum of ten days.
Online Brian Gaze  
#977 Posted : 08 November 2019 07:22:13(UTC)
Brian Gaze

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I'll start a new thread at 7:30am. 

Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

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