GFS 12z Model Output looks very good for the North Atlantic UK and Europe - domination of Cool and Chilly weather some cold conditions- average and below average temperatures and plenty of Low Pressure tracking from the NW - SE wards hmm.
Happy with ICON, UKMO and GFS.
High Pressure to our North and NW and NE, and also in Central to East USA - more further SE there you go...
Western N Atlantic High Pressure- NE USA PV Low yes, but through North USA areas that is good.
Cold Zonality in November is being shown for UK and West Europe. Greenland and Iceland Cold high pressure and same over the Norwegian Sea and the Arctic Sea to our North and NE.
This evening's ECMWF Output is hopefully going to support this forecast for Saturday and Next week, and also this week Thursday and Friday UK wet and windy chilly weather. Cold and chilly on Saturday- Sunday as well.
Updated Comment for period 1988 to 2023.
The Above average Winters, Spring Summer and Autumn Season in the UK, affected by El Nino and La Nina, though Cold Spells with proper frosts happen to occur in Winter's they tend to last 3-12 days. Some 2-3 weeks of Mild SW flows are a regular thing. UK has mixed weather in all Seasons. It can be mild damp wet in winter, Cold frosty foggy Snowy Spells if very lucky, or it can be frosty and cold in March to May that is the worst part, and sometimes Cloudy overcast very chilly even in May and June or even in September to November, less frost and snow.
Springs, Summer's have trended to be well above average some hot heatwaves lasting 3-5 days with greater amounts of sunshine, and all 4 seasons feature lengthy long fetch mild SW flows sometimes with strong winds and heavy rain or settled dry sunny spells. or extremely heavy thundery showers or longer spells of Thundery rain in any Season in the UK. And 2 year long droughts.