Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login. New Registrations are disabled.

Notification

Icon
Error

50 Pages«<23456>»
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline nsrobins  
#61 Posted : 29 January 2019 11:05:59(UTC)
nsrobins

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 18,617
Location: South Hampshire

New warnings out for Thursday/Friday which at the moment poses a greater risk than this evening and over a wider area.
Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

Offline tallyho_83  
#62 Posted : 29 January 2019 11:33:39(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: nsrobins Go to Quoted Post
New warnings out for Thursday/Friday which at the moment poses a greater risk than this evening and over a wider area.

Whilst today is such a downgrade and turning out to be a right damb squib and damp it is!!

Plus no snow showers behind the front - that were previously forecast for tonight!!

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline tallyho_83  
#63 Posted : 29 January 2019 11:55:26(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

A BIG DOWNGRADE FOR Today as predicted it's mostly rain band heading SE but an upgrade for Thursday's snow? But the fact today has been such a downgrade and turning out to be a damp squib what's to stop Thursday's snow event from being downgraded?

Bare in mind yesterday there was a potential for 1-3cms and up to 5cms of snow accumulating - now there is not talk of any snow falling in the south and south east let alone accumulating!

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline Arcus  
#64 Posted : 29 January 2019 12:09:25(UTC)
Arcus

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 7,829
Man
United Kingdom
Location: North Yorkshire

Sunday 3 Feb - Tuesday 12 Feb

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud will probably start to edge in from the west, bringing rain, with risk of sleet and hill snow. This will tend to ease before it reaches northern and eastern areas, so here it may remain brighter. Thereafter, the weather is likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around the coasts. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Jan 2019

 

 

Wednesday 13 Feb - Wednesday 27 Feb

Cold or very cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds becoming established. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, but this poses the risk of significant snow should very cold conditions become established.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Jan 2019

Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

She stayed with me until she moved to Notting Hill, She said it was the place she needs to be

Where the cocaine is fair trade, and frequently displayed, is the Buena Vista Social Club CD

Offline Arcus  
#65 Posted : 29 January 2019 12:11:39(UTC)
Arcus

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 7,829
Man
United Kingdom
Location: North Yorkshire

"temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold" is the "big" change.

Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

She stayed with me until she moved to Notting Hill, She said it was the place she needs to be

Where the cocaine is fair trade, and frequently displayed, is the Buena Vista Social Club CD

Offline warrenb  
#66 Posted : 29 January 2019 12:23:03(UTC)
warrenb

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 06/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 3,692
Man
Location: Kent

Yes and still only in the short term outlook, the longer remains for cold or very cold
Offline Rob K  
#67 Posted : 29 January 2019 12:36:39(UTC)
Rob K

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 02/05/2006(UTC)
Posts: 24,041
Location: Northeast Hampshire

So we have gone from "a low chance" to "a greater chance" of easterlies? I'm even more confused now.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Offline marco 79  
#68 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:00:32(UTC)
marco 79

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 13/11/2010(UTC)
Posts: 2,193
Man
United Kingdom

It's like the East Midlands train service ..always later than the timetable....but it does eventually turn up!....
Home : Mid Leicestershire ...135m ASL
Offline Maunder Minimum  
#69 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:02:23(UTC)
Maunder Minimum

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 08/09/2007(UTC)
Posts: 36,619
Man
Location: Copenhagen (work) and West Worcestershire (home)

Originally Posted by: Rob K Go to Quoted Post
So we have gone from "a low chance" to "a greater chance" of easterlies? I'm even more confused now.

Yes, I had to check and rub my eyes, but the Met Office is not backing down on the extended risk of cold from an easterly quarter.

And the GFS Parallel does give us a proper HLB in deepest FI. But we have been chasing deepest FI since December.

Edited by user 29 January 2019 13:04:26(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

New world order coming.
Offline tallyho_83  
#70 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:06:35(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

Watch the Met office with Adian McGiven Live:

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline Gooner  
#71 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:17:49(UTC)
Gooner

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 44,837
Man

Originally Posted by: Rob K Go to Quoted Post
So we have gone from "a low chance" to "a greater chance" of easterlies? I'm even more confused now.

Not removed then Rob 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun

Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L

Offline kmoorman  
#72 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:25:20(UTC)
kmoorman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 12/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 2,340

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 Go to Quoted Post
Watch the Met office with Adian McGiven Live:

https://youtu.be/ThuIt2EvrO0

 

Very interesting.  Thank you

Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)

Work: Canary Wharf, London

Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968

Offline tallyho_83  
#73 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:25:24(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 Go to Quoted Post
Watch the Met office with Adian McGiven Live:

https://youtu.be/ThuIt2EvrO0


 

Did anyone just pick up on what the Met office meteorologist  guest Jenny said? re the longer range weather as we head further into Feb?

Edited by user 29 January 2019 13:28:01(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline stophe  
#74 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:30:28(UTC)
stophe

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 24/06/2007(UTC)
Posts: 2,360
Location: Stevenage,STN

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 Go to Quoted Post

 

 

Did anyone just pick up on what the Met office meteorologist  guest Jenny said? re the longer range weather as we head further into Feb?

https://youtu.be/ThuIt2EvrO0?t=1346

 

Offline Solar Cycles  
#75 Posted : 29 January 2019 13:33:31(UTC)
Solar Cycles

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 04/09/2008(UTC)
Posts: 18,483
Man
Location: Blackburn Lancs

Originally Posted by: Arcus Go to Quoted Post

Sunday 3 Feb - Tuesday 12 Feb

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud will probably start to edge in from the west, bringing rain, with risk of sleet and hill snow. This will tend to ease before it reaches northern and eastern areas, so here it may remain brighter. Thereafter, the weather is likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around the coasts. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Jan 2019

 

 

Wednesday 13 Feb - Wednesday 27 Feb

Cold or very cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds becoming established. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, but this poses the risk of significant snow should very cold conditions become established.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Jan 2019

Geez they don’t know when to give up. 😂😂

Offline tallyho_83  
#76 Posted : 29 January 2019 14:07:19(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: stophe Go to Quoted Post

 

Well spotted at 22:25 in the video!?

 

Also the fact she never even mentioned the possibility of it turning milder! Given - (No pun intended to Aidan.) but Given the fact the shorter range output suggest a return to less cold or milder conditions - she /the Met as seen in their text forecast are STILL bullish about it potentially turning colder as we head further into Feb. 

 

 

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline tallyho_83  
#77 Posted : 29 January 2019 14:38:32(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: Arcus Go to Quoted Post

Sunday 3 Feb - Tuesday 12 Feb

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud will probably start to edge in from the west, bringing rain, with risk of sleet and hill snow. This will tend to ease before it reaches northern and eastern areas, so here it may remain brighter. Thereafter, the weather is likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around the coasts. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Jan 2019

 

 

Wednesday 13 Feb - Wednesday 27 Feb

Cold or very cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds becoming established. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, but this poses the risk of significant snow should very cold conditions become established.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 29 Jan 2019

Met O's Updated text forecast: - A slight change/downgrade...? - It was inevitable anyway.

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Tuesday 12 Feb 2019:

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud, outbreaks of rain and hill snow may spread in later. Despite this, some areas may remain fine and mainly dry throughout. Thereafter, the weather is often likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around exposed coasts and hills. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Feb 2019 to Wednesday 27 Feb 2019:

Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February with the potential for some periods where winds are coming from the east. In the setup the weather is likely to be mixed with spells of showery rain, sleet and some snow most likely across the south and east, with northern and western parts perhaps more likely to be drier. Despite the prevalence of mainly cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible.

Updated: 14:24 on Tue 29 Jan 2019 GMT

Edited by user 29 January 2019 14:39:50(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline tallyho_83  
#78 Posted : 29 January 2019 14:46:43(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

Met Office afternoon forecast by Alex Burkill: - Notice the met Office also show more wintry/snow showers widespread for tonight into tomorrow over the SW compared with the BBC foreacast?

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline tallyho_83  
#79 Posted : 29 January 2019 14:48:39(UTC)
tallyho_83

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 15/07/2009(UTC)
Posts: 11,162
Location: Devon

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 Go to Quoted Post

 

Met O's Updated text forecast: - A slight change/downgrade...? - It was inevitable anyway.

UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Tuesday 12 Feb 2019:

A cold, bright and frosty start to Sunday, but cloud, outbreaks of rain and hill snow may spread in later. Despite this, some areas may remain fine and mainly dry throughout. Thereafter, the weather is often likely to remain changeable with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by sunshine and showers. Winds will be brisk at times with gales around exposed coasts and hills. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, particularly across the south, whilst northern parts are likely to remain cold. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Feb 2019 to Wednesday 27 Feb 2019:

Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February with the potential for some periods where winds are coming from the east. In the setup the weather is likely to be mixed with spells of showery rain, sleet and some snow most likely across the south and east, with northern and western parts perhaps more likely to be drier. Despite the prevalence of mainly cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible.

Updated: 14:24 on Tue 29 Jan 2019 GMT

"Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February" - They are still confident of cold and also no mention of it turning milder in the shorter range  just a " temps temporary return to closer to normal". 

Home Location - Exeter Haven Banks (Quayside) (10m asl)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Offline David M Porter  
#80 Posted : 29 January 2019 15:08:16(UTC)
David M Porter

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 03/08/2006(UTC)
Posts: 19,209
Man
Location: Lenzie, Kirkintilloch, Glasgow

Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles Go to Quoted Post

Geez they don’t know when to give up. 😂😂

If they are not seeing clear & consistent signals that make them change their outlook, why should they change anything?

Boris Johnson: "Take it on the chin" will haunt him big time at the next General Election.
Users browsing this topic
50 Pages«<23456>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Code of conduct

× FORUM Settings USER PHOTOS Sky Eye Camera Sky Eye Gallery MODEL CHARTS Arome Arpege ECM ECM ENS GEM GEFS GFS Icon E Fax CFS UK Met UK Met UK UK Met UKV UK Met MOGREPS-G