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Offline Sussex snow magnet  
#1 Posted : 12 January 2019 23:04:19(UTC)
Sussex snow magnet

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/12/2010(UTC)
Posts: 163
Man
Location: Sussex

I like to look at the past CET's, partly to see what the reality was of some of the years we all remember well and to see where the potential upcoming spell might sit in the records,appreciate it's not all about the temperature but it's a good guide.

Generally we look at the record books on the basis of the calendar months, so years like feb 86/ dec 10 stick out but whatever may come over the next few weeks is likely to span Jan and Feb so have had a look at the CETs for the 2nd Half of Jan/last 10 days/last 7 days/ last half Jan/first half Feb and the first half Feb.

Where do people think the upcoming spell will sit/what do you hope for?



1895 -1.9 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1776 -4.2 Last 10 days Jan 1776 -5.5 last 7 days Jan 1776 -3.6 last half Jan 1895 -4.3 First Half Feb
1855 -1.1 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1795 -3.2 Last 10 days Jan 1947 -2.7 last 7 days Jan 1795 -3.6 last half Jan 1855 -2.2 First Half Feb
1917 -1 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1945 -2.7 Last 10 days Jan 1895 -2.6 last 7 days Jan 1881 -3.1 last half Jan 1917 -2.2 First Half Feb
1991 -0.6 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1784 -2.4 Last 10 days Jan 1945 -2.6 last 7 days Jan 1940 -2.7 last half Jan 1991 -1.5 First Half Feb
1963 -0.5 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1963 -2.4 Last 10 days Jan 1784 -2.4 last 7 days Jan 1963 -2.6 last half Jan 1947 -1.2 First Half Feb
1799 -0.5 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1947 -1.8 Last 10 days Jan 1795 -2 last 7 days Jan 1814 -2.1 last half Jan 1799 -1.1 First Half Feb
1830 -0.4 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1814 -1.6 Last 10 days Jan 1954 -1.8 last 7 days Jan 1838 -1.7 last half Jan 1963 -0.8 First Half Feb
1838 -0.4 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1940 -1.5 Last 10 days Jan 1803 -1.7 last 7 days Jan 1784 -1.7 last half Jan 1773 -0.8 First Half Feb
1947 -0.4 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1895 -1.3 Last 10 days Jan 1979 -1.4 last 7 days Jan 1829 -1 last half Jan 1986 -0.8 First Half Feb
1773 -0.3 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1979 -1.2 Last 10 days Jan 1917 -1.3 last 7 days Jan 1880 -0.9 last half Jan 1900 -0.7 First Half Feb
1784 -0.3 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1881 -1.2 Last 10 days Jan 1831 -1.2 last 7 days Jan 1830 -0.8 last half Jan 1784 -0.7 First Half Feb
1986 -0.2 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1780 -1.1 Last 10 days Jan 1871 -1 last 7 days Jan 1879 -0.8 last half Jan 1838 -0.6 First Half Feb
1900 -0.1 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1879 -1.1 Last 10 days Jan 1996 -0.7 last 7 days Jan 1945 -0.8 last half Jan 1830 -0.5 First Half Feb
1816 -0.1 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1917 -1.1 Last 10 days Jan 1855 -0.6 last 7 days Jan 1823 -0.6 last half Jan 1841 -0.4 First Half Feb
2012 -0 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1880 -0.5 Last 10 days Jan 1879 -0.6 last 7 days Jan 1917 -0.5 last half Jan 1816 -0.4 First Half Feb
1845 -0 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1954 -0.4 Last 10 days Jan 1950 -0.5 last 7 days Jan 1810 -0.4 last half Jan 1902 -0.3 First Half Feb
1847 -0 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1871 -0.3 Last 10 days Jan 1814 -0.5 last 7 days Jan 1815 -0.4 last half Jan 1956 -0.3 First Half Feb
1956 0.01 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1933 -0.3 Last 10 days Jan 1940 -0.4 last 7 days Jan 1855 -0.4 last half Jan 1845 -0.3 First Half Feb
1902 0.02 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1992 -0.2 Last 10 days Jan 1780 -0.4 last 7 days Jan 1979 -0.3 last half Jan 1919 -0.2 First Half Feb
1919 0.06 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1829 -0.2 Last 10 days Jan 1865 -0.4 last 7 days Jan 1772 -0.1 last half Jan 2012 -0.2 First Half Feb
1841 0.06 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1813 -0.2 Last 10 days Jan 1880 -0.4 last 7 days Jan 1780 -0 last half Jan 1847 0.04 First Half Feb
1803 0.13 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1865 -0.2 Last 10 days Jan 1910 -0.3 last 7 days Jan 1942 0.06 last half Jan 1803 0.22 First Half Feb
1940 0.18 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1815 -0.2 Last 10 days Jan 1857 -0.3 last 7 days Jan 1933 0.09 last half Jan 1844 0.26 First Half Feb
1782 0.23 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1950 -0.1 Last 10 days Jan 1963 -0.2 last 7 days Jan 1897 0.15 last half Jan 1818 0.31 First Half Feb
1860 0.23 2nd half jan/ 1st half feb 1855 -0.1 Last 10 days Jan 1912 -0.2 last 7 days Jan 1848 0.19 last half Jan 1782 0.36 First Half Feb
Offline jhall  
#2 Posted : 13 January 2019 10:25:40(UTC)
jhall

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 612

Fascinating stuff, but I find that the format makes it a little hard to follow. Four separate tables might have been clearer.

Cranleigh, Surrey
Offline Bertwhistle  
#3 Posted : 13 January 2019 15:15:00(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/11/2015(UTC)
Posts: 4,926
Location: Central Southern England

Good work SSM.

It's funny that 2012 and 1956 both have similar 2nd half Jan/ first half Feb and also first half Feb alone.

Odd thing is, I wasn't alive in 1956 but Feb 56 sticks in my mind. Feb 2012- can't remember a thing about it.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Remember Finlake!
Offline Bolty  
#4 Posted : 13 January 2019 17:38:20(UTC)
Bolty

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 10/06/2016(UTC)
Posts: 2,210
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Failsworth, Manchester - alt: 93m asl

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle Go to Quoted Post

Good work SSM.

It's funny that 2012 and 1956 both have similar 2nd half Jan/ first half Feb and also first half Feb alone.

Odd thing is, I wasn't alive in 1956 but Feb 56 sticks in my mind. Feb 2012- can't remember a thing about it.

A very anticyclonic month split almost perfectly down the middle temperature-wise. The first half was very cold with a widespread heavy snow event on the 4th. The second half was exceptionally mild, dry and spring-like.

Personally I remember it quite well actually. And the March that followed it too was quite something.

Offline Deep Powder  
#5 Posted : 13 January 2019 18:26:55(UTC)
Deep Powder

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,430
United Kingdom
Location: Near Leatherhead 100masl

Originally Posted by: Bolty Go to Quoted Post

 

A very anticyclonic month split almost perfectly down the middle temperature-wise. The first half was very cold with a widespread heavy snow event on the 4th. The second half was exceptionally mild, dry and spring-like.

Personally I remember it quite well actually. And the March that followed it too was quite something.

Also remember it well. This http://www.frostedearth.co.uk/news/all-time-surrey-record-broken-with-minus-18.3c/

was recorded by well known local (to where I live) weatherman Ian Currie. On the morning of the 11th Feb we went for a walk over the surrey hills and it was bitter, but beautiful as it was so cold the air was clear and there was a lovely alpinesque glow! Great stuff 😎

Near Leatherhead 100masl

Loving the weather whatever it brings, snow, rain, wind, sun, heat, all great!
Offline Bertwhistle  
#6 Posted : 13 January 2019 18:56:08(UTC)
Bertwhistle

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/11/2015(UTC)
Posts: 4,926
Location: Central Southern England

Originally Posted by: Bolty Go to Quoted Post

 

A very anticyclonic month split almost perfectly down the middle temperature-wise. The first half was very cold with a widespread heavy snow event on the 4th. The second half was exceptionally mild, dry and spring-like.

Personally I remember it quite well actually. And the March that followed it too was quite something.

Now March I do remember, Scott. We had a week hereabouts with maxima >19C- can't find anything in the local record to quite match it!

May was also good second half, but I'm right OT now.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Remember Finlake!
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