Top Ten Junes by descending position from the Hadley CET series:

1) 18.2  1846

2) 18.0  1676

3) 17.3  1826

4) 17.1  1822

5) 17.0  1976

6) 16.9  1762, 1798

8) 16.8  1858

9) 16.6  1775

10) 16.4  1726, 1728, 1818, 1940, 1970.

 

So for June 2018 to get into the 'Top Ten' then it would need to reach at least 16.4 to gain the joint tenth position with five other summers.

Clearly a very warm June, with say anything 16.4 or over is very infrequent, as it has only happened fourteen times since 1659. It will be very interesting to see where June 2018 finally ends up!

 

Good information.  As things stand something in the region of 16.5 is not an unreasonable guess, but the output is volatile.

Hadley 15.9C  (+2.0C deviation from norm); provisional to 19th.

Met Office Hadley          15.9c.      Anomaly       2.0c. Provisional to 19th.

Metcheck                       15.61c     Anomaly        1.47c

Netweather                     16.06c    Anomaly         1.96c

Darwen                         17.4c      Anomaly        1.54c

Hexam                          15.1c      Anomaly        0.56c

Mansfield Woodhouse    15.8c      Anomaly        0.32c

Peasedown St John       17.3c.    Anomaly       0.95c.

Mean Of 10 Stations.  16,46c.       

Wondered if we might get to 17.0C But to lift it by 1.1C in 10 days is a hard ask.

Wondered if we might get to 17.0C But to lift it by 1.1C in 10 days is a hard ask.

 

Its looking very toasty next week with highs of 28c being forcast for this time next week so this June could end up around 16.5c to 17c yet.

One thing is for sure it will be one of the driest on record,imby we have had less than 2mm of rain all month and probably wont get a drop more.

Its looking very toasty next week with highs of 28c being forcast for this time next week so this June could end up around 16.5c to 17c yet.

One thing is for sure it will be one of the driest on record,imby we have had less than 2mm of rain all month and probably wont get a drop more.

Rainfall is amazingly low. I don't think I've had more than one light shower this whole month.

There won't be any more next week - that's almost certain.

Met Office Hadley           16.0c.      Anomaly      2.1c. Provisional to 20th.

Metcheck                        15.59      Anomaly      1.44c

Netweather                     16.14c    Anomaly       2.25c

Mansfield Woodhouse    15.6c      Anomaly        0.25c

Peasedown St John       17.8c      Anomaly        0.95c.

10 Station mean    16.22c.    

We’d need daily averages of around 19c to the end of the month to get to 17c.  That wouldn’t be difficult if nighttime lows were 18c, like they were here last night.  

Met Office Hadley         15.9c.     Anomaly       1.9c. Provisional to 21st.

Metcheck                      15.49c    Anomaly        1.34c

Netweather                   16.04c    Anomaly         1.95c

Clevedon Weather        17.5c      Anomaly       1.06c

Hexam                        14.6c      Anomaly       0.06c

Mansfield Woodhouse  15.5c     Anomaly     0.15c

Peasedown St John    17.1c.      Anomaly     0.75c.     

10 Station Mean  16.22c.

An estimate of the CET mean for each day of the remainder of June is as follows:

23rd 13.9C

24th 15.6C

25th 18.2C

26th 19.9C

27th 19.4C

28th 19.9C

29th 19.4C

30th 19.6C

Assuming the CET is currently around 15.9C up to yesterday and with today's CET around 13.1C due to a cool start this morning that would give a final CET of around 16.4C. The figures above may be a little conservative but equally we usually have a downward adjustment from the provisional Hadley figures. 

So I would say that something around 16.4 - 16.5C looks most likely as a final CET for June at the moment.

The smallest deviation from the 1981-2010 mean this year so far was 0.82C in January. Every other month has been at least 1.3C above or below the mean. There has been nothing average about 2018 so far.

A 16.4 - 16.5C finish for June would be almost exactly 2C above the 1981-2010 mean which would be the biggest anomaly so far this year.

Met Office Hadley        15.8c.     Anomaly      1.8c.

Metcheck                     15.47c    Anomaly      1.32c

Netweather                  15.96c    Anomaly      1.87c

Cheadle Hulme            16.4c      Anomaly       0.04c

Clevedon Weather       17.4c      Anomaly       0.96c

Mansfield Woodhouse  15.6c      Anomaly       0.25c

Peasedown St John  17.1c.     Anomaly       0.75c.

10 Station Mean    16.26c.   

It can hold at this for my liking! 

An estimate of the CET mean for each day of the remainder of June is as follows:

23rd 13.9C

24th 15.6C

25th 18.2C

26th 19.9C

27th 19.4C

28th 19.9C

29th 19.4C

30th 19.6C

Assuming the CET is currently around 15.9C up to yesterday and with today's CET around 13.1C due to a cool start this morning that would give a final CET of around 16.4C. The figures above may be a little conservative but equally we usually have a downward adjustment from the provisional Hadley figures. 

So I would say that something around 16.4 - 16.5C looks most likely as a final CET for June at the moment.

The smallest deviation from the 1981-2010 mean this year so far was 0.82C in January. Every other month has been at least 1.3C above or below the mean. There has been nothing average about 2018 so far.

A 16.4 - 16.5C finish for June would be almost exactly 2C above the 1981-2010 mean which would be the biggest anomaly so far this year.

 

Met Office Hadley         15.7c.      Anomaly       1.8c. Provisional to 23rd.

Metcheck                      15.45c     Anomaly       1.31c

Netweather                   15.95c     Anomaly       1.86c

Alton                           16.3c       Anomaly       1.23c

Canvey Island              16.9c       Anomaly       0.28c

Cheadle Hulme             16.3c      Anomaly        -0.94c

Clevedon Weather         17.5c     Anomaly         1.06c

Darwen                        16.9c     Anomaly         1.04c

Hexam                         14.6c     Anomaly         0.06c

Mount Sorrel                15.8c      Anomaly         0.32c

Mansfield Woodhouse    15.5c      Anomaly         0.25c

Peasedown St John        17.2c     Anomaly         0.85c

Treviskey Redruth          15.3c.    Anomaly         0.0c.

10 Station Mean   16.23c. 

Surprised to see it drop again.

Must be the cool nights.

Met Office Hadley            15.8c.     Anomaly      1.8c. Provisional to 24th.

Metcheck                         15.7c      Anomaly      1.43c

Netweather                      16.0c      Anomaly      1.19c

Canvey Island                 17.0c      Anomaly      0.38c

Clevedon Weather           17.6c      Anomaly      1.16c

Mansfield Woodhouse      15.7c      Anomaly      0.22c

Peasedown St John       17.3c.      Anomaly       0.95c.

10 Station Mean 16.38c.                  

Met Office Hadley          15.8c.     Anomaly       1.8c. Provisional to 25th.

Metcheck                       15.78c    Anomaly        1.63c

Netweather                    16.16c    Anomaly        2.07c

Hexam                   15.0c.     Anomaly       0.46c

Mansfield Woodhouse    15.8c    Anomaly    0.45c. 

Cheadle Hulme       16.5c     Anomaly   1.14c

Peasedown St John    17.7c  Anomaly   1.35c.  

Treviskey Redruth     15.4c.  Anomaly   0.1c.

10 Station Mean       16.55c.

Met Office Hadley       16.0c.       Anomaly       2.0c.  Provisional to 26th.

Metcheck                    15.88c      Anomaly       1.73c

Netweather                 16.31c.     Anomaly        2.21c

Canvey Island       17.1c          Anomaly       0.48c

Darwen          17.6c        Anomaly       1.56c

Clevedon Weather      18.0c      Anomaly    1.56c

Mansfield Woodhouse   15.8c     Anomaly   0.45c

Peasedown St John   17.9c.  Anomaly  1.55c.

10 Station Mean   16.67c.         

Met Office Hadley       16.0c.       Anomaly       2.0c.  Provisional to 26th.

Metcheck                    15.88c      Anomaly       1.73c

Netweather                 16.31c.     Anomaly        2.21c

Canvey Island       17.1c          Anomaly       0.48c

Darwen          17.6c        Anomaly       1.56c

Clevedon Weather      18.0c      Anomaly    1.56c

Mansfield Woodhouse   15.8c     Anomaly   0.45c

Peasedown St John   17.9c.  Anomaly  1.55c.

 

10 Station Mean   16.67c.         

Oddly when Hadley was last at 16.0 a week ago Metcheck was at 15.59 and 10 station mean at 16.22. So the others have risen while Hadley CET has gone down then up to the same place. Suggests the downward adjustment at month end may not be so big this month.