So I don’t clog up the Model thread and risk Brian throwing me off the Forum, could I suggest that if anyone still believes today's models are so useless, that you sit down with a nice mug of cocoa and watch this.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b01q9d86 It’s on BBC I player but for those who can’t/wont, there's a fuzzier link on YouTube perhaps an illegal copy who knows?
I know it’s been mentioned on TWO before and thank you to whoever mentioned it.
On ‘1963 The Big Freeze’ you can watch models and models and even synoptic charts (legal ones). Not surprisingly back then with less data to work with they still sometimes managed to get the forecasts for thaws and refreezes way out. So I’m really lost as why some people cannot see how the recent forecasts failed to predict the outcome to the recent cold spell. And that the past technologies were always more accurate than today's.
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Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft