Remove ads from site

Gavin D
14 December 2022 09:10:54
The met office has updated its level 3 cold weather alert this morning, it will end at noon on Sunday when "a rapid transition to milder conditions is expected" before colder air comes back next week

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/?tab=coldWeatherAlert&season=normal#?tab=coldWeatherAlert 
Crepuscular Ray
14 December 2022 13:45:24
A new yellow warning for more snow here on Friday. With more snow then forecast for Sunday, this harsh winter spell has a way to go!
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Gavin D
17 December 2022 13:05:28
Ian Fergusson saying January will be mixed but overall near average based on the latest detailed seasonal guidance with a risk of blocked, colder and drier weather towards late January and into February
Gavin D
18 December 2022 10:31:43
A potentially historic cold with frigid air mass is set to plunge millions in America and Canada into a big freeze just days before Christmas

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/coldest-arctic-airmass-winter-season-major-storm-christmas-snow-forecast-united-states-canada-mk/ 
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
19 December 2022 10:10:40
So I don’t clog up the Model thread and risk Brian throwing me off the Forum, could I suggest that if anyone still believes today's models are so useless, that you sit down with a nice mug of cocoa and watch this. https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b01q9d86 

It’s on BBC I player but for those who can’t/wont, there's a fuzzier link on YouTube perhaps an illegal copy who knows?
I know it’s been mentioned on TWO before and thank you to whoever mentioned it.

On ‘1963 The Big Freeze’ you can watch models and models and even synoptic charts (legal ones). Not surprisingly back then with less data to work with they still sometimes managed to get the forecasts for thaws and refreezes way out. So I’m really lost as why some people cannot see how the recent forecasts failed to predict the outcome to the recent cold spell. And that the past technologies were always more accurate than today's.
Model 1
UserPostedImage

Model2
UserPostedImage
 
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Gavin D
25 December 2022 17:54:35
The met office has declared an official white Christmas after rain turned to sleet in Loch Glascarnoch, Scotland and Lough Fea in Northern Ireland
picturesareme
21 January 2023 13:06:12
Looking likely this will be the 5th consecutive day with frost persisting on shaded north facing things - especially grass & pavements. 
Gavin D
23 January 2023 09:45:20
West London has had its coldest night in 10 years, with Heathrow dropping to -8.4c and Northolt dropping to -8.2c
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
23 January 2023 10:18:40
Indeed it's been a whilst not notable cold spell, interesting enough in that there is still snow on the ground in this part of Dorset from last weeks small fall.  
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
fairweather
28 January 2023 11:59:58
Well we soon be in straw clutching territory for severe cold if the next two weeks goes according to the current charts. A winter that promised so much and delivered to some before Christmas looks like fizzling out to a "slightly better than average" kind of winter but nothing notable.
S.Essex, 42m ASL
Matty H
31 January 2023 09:04:41
It’s been a largely good winter here so far. Mainly mild and much drier of late too. We’ve had a couple of colder weeks, but that’s to be expected in virtually every winter. Only a month of the worst season on planet earth to go and we can start using the word Spring 
Gavin D
31 January 2023 17:10:33
New York City has broken the record for the latest ever measurable snowfall.

The previous record for the latest ever snow fall was January 29th 1973.

An official snowfall must have at least 0.1 of an inch on the ground.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
31 January 2023 17:32:24

New York City has broken the record for the latest ever measurable snowfall.

The previous record for the latest ever snow fall was January 29th 1973.

An official snowfall must have at least 0.1 of an inch on the ground.

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 



A little ambiguous; it means that New York City has always had a snowfall before Jan 29th
https://news.yahoo.com/drought-yorkers-asking-wheres-snow-014405749.html 
 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Gavin D
01 February 2023 15:15:23
New York City has recorded its first measurable snowfall of the season at 05:30 local time in Central Park, making it the latest seasonal snowfall since 1869
Gavin D
18 February 2023 16:28:53
The Met Office and Met Éireann have still not named a storm since the new names were released on September 1st. 
johncs2016
18 February 2023 17:05:42

The Met Office and Met Éireann have still not named a storm since the new names were released on September 1st. 

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


You can also add the Dutch weather service to that as well as they are also involved as the other part of that same system.
 
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
18 February 2023 18:00:16

New York City has recorded its first measurable snowfall of the season at 05:30 local time in Central Park, making it the latest seasonal snowfall since 1869

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 



Is this in fact lazy journalism, shorthand for 'since records began'?
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Gavin D
20 February 2023 14:18:16
Washington D.C. is forecast to hit 26c on Thursday, just short of the all-time record of 28.9c set in 1930
Gavin D
21 February 2023 12:34:47
France has gone 31 days without recording any rain, matching the record set in spring 2020
westv
22 February 2023 10:47:18
My weather app tells me that it's 5 years to the day since the 2018 Beast from the East.
At least it will be mild!
Gavin D
25 February 2023 09:44:34
johncs2016
01 March 2023 20:04:04
Rather than start a new thread, I have decided to post the final stats for this winter in this thread.

Given below, are the final Winter statistics for Edinburgh, Gogarbank from all of the data which I have available which are:    
       
Temperature (°C):       
       
Lowest Min:    -8.7 on (12/12/2022)
Highest Min:    9.5 on (20/2/2023)
Mean Min:    1.9
Min. Anomaly:    +0.4
       
Lowest Max:    -2.6 on (13/12/2022)
Highest Max:    14.5 on (19/12/2022)
Mean Max:    7.6
Max. Anomaly:     +0.5
       
Ave. Temp.:    4.8
Temp. Anomaly:    +0.5
       
Other Temperature Statistics       
       
Nights with minus double digits temperatures    0
Single Figures Maximum Temperatures    66
Single Figures Minimum Temperatures    64
Double Figures Maximum Temperatures    22
Double Figures Minimum Temperatures    0
       
Number of Frosts       
       
Ground Frosts    37
Air Frosts:    26 (87.5% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Ice Days:    2
       
Snow Depths (cm)       
       
Highest Snow Depth    5 (on 30/12/2022)
Days With Lying Snow    12
Days with snow lying at 09:00 UTC    3
Consecutive Days with snow lying    5 days (09/12/2022 to 13/12/2022)
       
Rainfall (mm):       
       
Total for Winter:    174.6 (83.6% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Wettest Days:    20.6 (on 29/12/2022)
Highest Hourly Total    6.8 (on 30/12/2022 at 11:00 UTC)
Highest 15 min Total    2.8 (on 30/12/2022 at 08:00 UTC)
Rain Days:    33 (89.0% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Dry Days:    41
Longest Dry Spell:    12 days (17/01/2023 to 28/01/2023)
Highest Number of Days without a single dry day:    15 days (18/12/2022 to 01/01/2023)
Highest consecutive number of rain days    10 days (22/12/2022 to 31/12/2022)
    
Wind Speed (mph)       
       
Lowest Mean Wind Speed    0.0 (on 1/12/2022)
Average Mean Wind Speed    9.5 (89.3% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Highest Mean Wind Speed    34.5 (on 16/2/2023)
Highest Wind Gust    54.1 (on 5/1/2023)
       
Pressure (mb)       
       
Lowest Pressure    975.4 (on 30/12/2022)
Average Pressure    1012.5
Highest Pressure    1045.6 (on 4/2/2023)
       
Sunshine Total (hrs)       
       
Total for Month:    143.6 (88.3% of 1991-2020 March Average)
Sunniest Day:    6.5 (on 20/1/2023)
Sunless Days:     30
       
Conclusion:

The winter of 2022-2023 was very much a front loaded winter as it turned out. It was a winter which started off on a very promising note with some very cold weather in the early part of December, and even our first ice days since February/March 2018.

However, that was as good as it got and the winter as a whole was fairly disappointing in the end.

December was the only colder than average month during the winter with each other month getting progressively milder after that. There was some snow during December and January, though not a lot of it with February being a completely snowless month.

There was also a lot of air frosts during the first part of the winter, but the number of air frosts then faded over time with the overall number being slightly below average in the end thanks to a very poor February in that regard.

There was also very little in the way of rainfall for most of the time with December being the only wetter than average month of the winter and even that mostly came in the latter part of that month. Since then, it has continued to get progressively drier here.

Finally, the winter overall was slightly duller than average overall mainly due to an exceptionally dull February, with the winter's only sunnier than average month being experienced during January.

As I said above, it was a poor winter in the end after a very promising start, so I am only going to give it 4/10 on this occasion as a result. That is actually a better mark than what I gave the winter of 2021/21 although that is only really due to the cold weather in the earlier part of the winter.

 
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
tallyho_83
11 March 2023 21:55:02

Rather than start a new thread, I have decided to post the final stats for this winter in this thread.

Given below, are the final Winter statistics for Edinburgh, Gogarbank from all of the data which I have available which are:    
       
Temperature (°C):       
       
Lowest Min:    -8.7 on (12/12/2022)
Highest Min:    9.5 on (20/2/2023)
Mean Min:    1.9
Min. Anomaly:    +0.4
       
Lowest Max:    -2.6 on (13/12/2022)
Highest Max:    14.5 on (19/12/2022)
Mean Max:    7.6
Max. Anomaly:     +0.5
       
Ave. Temp.:    4.8
Temp. Anomaly:    +0.5
       
Other Temperature Statistics       
       
Nights with minus double digits temperatures    0
Single Figures Maximum Temperatures    66
Single Figures Minimum Temperatures    64
Double Figures Maximum Temperatures    22
Double Figures Minimum Temperatures    0
       
Number of Frosts       
       
Ground Frosts    37
Air Frosts:    26 (87.5% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Ice Days:    2
       
Snow Depths (cm)       
       
Highest Snow Depth    5 (on 30/12/2022)
Days With Lying Snow    12
Days with snow lying at 09:00 UTC    3
Consecutive Days with snow lying    5 days (09/12/2022 to 13/12/2022)
       
Rainfall (mm):       
       
Total for Winter:    174.6 (83.6% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Wettest Days:    20.6 (on 29/12/2022)
Highest Hourly Total    6.8 (on 30/12/2022 at 11:00 UTC)
Highest 15 min Total    2.8 (on 30/12/2022 at 08:00 UTC)
Rain Days:    33 (89.0% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Dry Days:    41
Longest Dry Spell:    12 days (17/01/2023 to 28/01/2023)
Highest Number of Days without a single dry day:    15 days (18/12/2022 to 01/01/2023)
Highest consecutive number of rain days    10 days (22/12/2022 to 31/12/2022)
    
Wind Speed (mph)       
       
Lowest Mean Wind Speed    0.0 (on 1/12/2022)
Average Mean Wind Speed    9.5 (89.3% of 1991-2020 winter Average)
Highest Mean Wind Speed    34.5 (on 16/2/2023)
Highest Wind Gust    54.1 (on 5/1/2023)
       
Pressure (mb)       
       
Lowest Pressure    975.4 (on 30/12/2022)
Average Pressure    1012.5
Highest Pressure    1045.6 (on 4/2/2023)
       
Sunshine Total (hrs)       
       
Total for Month:    143.6 (88.3% of 1991-2020 March Average)
Sunniest Day:    6.5 (on 20/1/2023)
Sunless Days:     30
       
Conclusion:

The winter of 2022-2023 was very much a front loaded winter as it turned out. It was a winter which started off on a very promising note with some very cold weather in the early part of December, and even our first ice days since February/March 2018.

However, that was as good as it got and the winter as a whole was fairly disappointing in the end.

December was the only colder than average month during the winter with each other month getting progressively milder after that. There was some snow during December and January, though not a lot of it with February being a completely snowless month.

There was also a lot of air frosts during the first part of the winter, but the number of air frosts then faded over time with the overall number being slightly below average in the end thanks to a very poor February in that regard.

There was also very little in the way of rainfall for most of the time with December being the only wetter than average month of the winter and even that mostly came in the latter part of that month. Since then, it has continued to get progressively drier here.

Finally, the winter overall was slightly duller than average overall mainly due to an exceptionally dull February, with the winter's only sunnier than average month being experienced during January.

As I said above, it was a poor winter in the end after a very promising start, so I am only going to give it 4/10 on this occasion as a result. That is actually a better mark than what I gave the winter of 2021/21 although that is only really due to the cold weather in the earlier part of the winter.

 

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 



Thanks for sharing John - Like your attention to detail!! 
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


tallyho_83
11 March 2023 22:11:14
Winter 2022/23 was somewhat mundane after a promising start and was as John alluded to above - a front loaded winter which is common for La Nina winters.

There was a 2 week colder spell early-mid December but very little snow here in Okehampton like many parts of country the cold in December was more of a dry cold and I can perhaps remember it for those sharp frosts/freezing fog and an ice day, there was some wet snow leaving a slushy deposit 2nd week of December and a dusting of powdery snow on night of 13th December - it was my first winter in Okehampton. 

January started on a milder note and there was a short colder snap around 15th to 18th January which brought some wet snow even to Exeter which didn't amount to much and a frontal system brought surprise 2-3" of snow over parts of Cornwall, especially Redruth and even St Austell saw snow. Bobmin got more snow.

February was a total and utter borefest - it was just dull and dry with occasional frost but a lot of anticyclonic gloom really. I can't even remember if there was a named storm either.

We have had some more snow recently but this doesn't count as March is a spring month!

All in all 4/10.

1. mark for night-time min temperature since 2018 I think on 10th December (-6 to -7c)
2. Exeter did see some 2-3 hrs of wet snow on 17th January during the morning but it was more of a slushfest.
3. We had 2 ice days in December 2022
4. Most night time frosts since winter 2017/18

Disappointing snow wise and not that eventful otherwise. Hopefully next winter we will have proper cold and snow and maybe a white Christmas.

 
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Rob K
11 April 2023 09:38:17

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Only just seen this. What an amazing map (and shows that Greece and Turkey are the places to be if you want snow these days!)
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Remove ads from site

Ads