Are you getting that confused with 2010? Dec 2009 brought 2 big drops here (approx 18cm and 17cm level) in the space of a few days. Dec 2010 was very underwhelming with just one decent fall about 1 week before Xmas.

An excellent contribution.

February? But isn't winter normally over by the first week in January?

Yes, this thread needs a self destruct button, usually around January 10th-17th.  Let's go for a median January 14th for 2022 before the white flag is first raised meaningfully.

As I recall, most years, Winter Is Over, occurs every year in early December     If the models do not predict 20 days of snowfall in London by the middle of December, that's it 

WIO at the spring equinox usually around March 22nd 

Oi, there’s no rooms for pesky things like facts in here. 

I'm sure that someone from your neck of the woods thinks winter never starts in Aberdeen?

But then again he seems to think that also applies to all four seasons.

Yes, I believe there is only one season here and it’s not any of the four seasons (however that works ).

It reminds me of this set of cartoons about the weather in Seattle…

Source: https://theoatmeal.com/blog/seattle_weather

You're talking out of your hoop. 

The White flag does not get raised around that time. 

Mid-January is when focus shifts to talking about 1947.

Anyway - back to the thread: Yes - my bones are aching with pending cold too...With a westerly QBO, a weakfish La Niña, the first winter after the Maunder Minimum, signs of an amplified jet, possible negative NAO, the chances of cold incursions and a locked in blocking pattern emerging are never going to be higher: Yes - if it can happen - it should happen this year. Fingers, legs and eyes crossed... I’m going for a rear-guard (in the face of pending warming in excess of 1.5 degrees ref climate change) rip-roarer of a winter, to send Truimpites for their denial scripts. 

I’ll be happy just to see unsalted and hard pack snow on my lane - like those days of old, unmelted for days...and memorable forecasts of sub 492 DAM air heading over the North Sea towards us, towering snow clouds, like Jan 1987, amid a McKasgillesk narrative of snow on snow - a la 1991...bring it on.

Where as I am thinking we need the strat to work for us as a La Nina will probably put us on the wrong side of the jet, with a possible slug shaped high pressure in the mid Atlantic effecting us.

So for me looks milder, but maybe with some colder spells as the jet buckles, hope Im talking rubbish and im wrong.

I think the strat warming will be key...

Gone are the days where I start frantically looking for cold charts to appear in early November when the clocks go back. There have been many years recently where the cold simply isn't cold enough to get to the surface (certainly down here) until after mid January. Thereafter we have a 6 week window of opportunity until around 7th March before the strength of the sun overcomes the thermal lag that takes winter potential into March.

I'm studying Scandinavia this Autumn watching the advance of winter. Its a slow process currently ebbing and flowing in the far north at present, occasionally reaching as far south central Finland and northern Sweden. Currently its devoid of any proper cold air with all stations above 0c (32f) apart from places at altitude in Northern Norway.

I think the strat will be key...